Mike Larson - Weiss Research expert on housing, interest rates, mortgages, and consumer finance.

From the category archives:

Currency Analysis

If you get a chance, check out my latest video update. It gives you a heads up about what to expect when the two-day Federal Open Market Committee wraps up tomorrow afternoon. Here’s the link.

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Dollar getting vaporized again

by Mike Larson on September 16, 2009

in Currency Analysis, Falling Money

The motto these days seems to be: “Is the market open? Then sell dollars!” I say that because the dollar was weak again in the overnight session. The Dollar Index is currently down 12 bps to 76.40, its lowest level going all the way back to last September. The Japanese yen keeps banging away at [...]

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The import price index came in hot in August, up 2% against expectations for a rise of 1% and a decline of 0.7% in July. The ex-fuels reading, which excludes the impact of oil and gas prices, was up 0.4%. Food and beverage costs were up 1.7%, industrial supply prices were up 6.1%, while both [...]

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The dollar’s collapse is gathering steam in early trading today. The broad-based Dollar Index is down 38 ticks to 76.95 as I write. It has taken out technical support dating back all the way to December. Certain individual currencies, like the Aussie dollar, are trading at the higest level against the buck in more than [...]

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What a day! The bond market is getting crushed and the dollar is falling off a cliff thanks to strong global economic data. The CLSA China Purchasing Managers’ Index got things going overnight when it rose to 52.8 in July from 51.8 in June. That’s the highest reading in a year. Then a few minutes [...]

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To all you currency market watchers out there, how about that yen/dollar exchange rate? The yen is flying against the buck, moving up by as much as 3 yen or so to 91.81 (The chart above shows the yen futures). On a percentage basis, this is the biggest gain for the yen that I can [...]

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Jobless claims just hit, and they were essentially in line with expectations. Initial claims dipped from a revised 625,000 to 621,000 in the most recent week. Forecasts called for a reading of 620,000. However, the upward trend in continuing claims actually moderated for a change. They declined from 6.75 million to 6.735 million, the first [...]

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Lo and behold, it’s another free-fall in the dollar in the wake of the “Geithner Goes To China to Beg for Creditor Mercy” trip. DXY now down 81 bps to 78.34, the low of they day. Gold up $6 and change. Crude oil back to positive after trading down most of the day. And the [...]

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How sad is it that Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has to spend a few days grovelling before our Chinese creditors to try to stop the ongoing meltdown in the Treasury and currency markets? Am I the only one who thinks this is a truly sad state of affairs? Am I the only one who wishes [...]

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Folks, the market is shouting - SCREAMING — that we are on a troublesome economic path. The tinkerers in Washington and Treasury are driving the dollar into the crapper. They’re putting Treasuries into the shredder. The mortgage markets just dislocated in a huge way. And gold is flying toward $1,000 an ounce.
Oh and don’t forget [...]

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