RealtyTrac just released its year-end foreclosure figures for 2008. Total filings climbed 81% to a record 2.33 million (though in fairness, the firm has only been tracking the numbers for four years). The company estimates that 1 in 54 U.S. housing units, or 1.84%, were involved in some sort of foreclosure filing (notice of default, auction notice, etc.) last year. Nevada had the worst foreclosure rate, with 7.3% of the state’s housing units in some stage of default. It was followed by Florida (4.5%) and Arizona (also 4.5%).
More on this topic
(What's this?)
Foreclosure Filings Rose 81% in 2008
(naked capitalism, 1/15/09)
2008 Foreclosures Jump 81%, Dimon Sees Loan Demand Fall
(Todd Sullivan's - ValuePlays, 1/15/09)
Bank of America Foreclosure Shenanigans?
(naked capitalism, 11/17/09)
A "Foreclosure Tsunami" in 2009
(Wealth Daily, 1/16/09)
Related posts:
- RealtyTrac: Foreclosure filings set a new record Kicking the can down the road by instituting temporary foreclosure moratoriums helped suppress filings for a while. But those...
- What happens when drivers of foreclosures are different Today, the Wall Street Journal elucidated a point I have made repeatedly in many venues. Heading off a potential foreclosure...
- Home foreclosure filings hit record 341,180 in March The combination of the expiration of temporary foreclosure moratoriums, rising unemployment, and falling home prices all combined to drive...



{ 7 comments… read them below or add one }
Mike,
It would appear that the prevention of future forclosures should be of the utmost importance and the rhetoric from Washington, seems to support that opinion but they are incapable of formulating a solution that allows for it to happen.
At the risk of being over simplistic I believe there are much more effective ways to inject capital into the financial institutions, remove the threat of future foreclosures, recover losses in 401k’s & IRA’s and provide a means to stimulate the economy.
Hoping not to embarrass myself I’d like to submit the following for your opinion as to the feasibilty of such a program. Soooo… here it is!
If taxpayers are forced to foot the bill for the incompetent handling of national financial issues, let them correct the problem directly.
With Congress, having spent over a half trillion dollars to satisfy the insatiable appetite of banks and willing to dump another several trillion dollars to the abyss they created, it becomes obvious that this is not only dismal management but actually borders on out and out theft.
The money being poured into the financial institutions will never be loaned out until they are confident that the other institutions are solvent. With institutions denying insolvency and their counterparts being unwilling to believe they are solvent, there’ll be no lending.
Banks need cash because they leveraged their accounts beyond good stewardship. They do not have the funds to pay back loans and/or return money, on demand, to their investors. They ran a scam on the premise that homes would continue to appreciate.
According to the United States Census Bureau, in the third quarter of 2008, there were 130.4 million housing units. 75.9% of these units were owner occupied. Dealing with owner occupied homes only, it is possible to revive confidence in our economy, fund the financial institutions and recover lost savings since October 10, 2008; and, all this with half the money Congress is willing to currently spend.
With there being 99,104,000 owner occupied homes (76% of 130,400,000), a one hundred billion dollar investment could have relieved if not removed the mortgage crisis created by the lending institutions. Here’s one suggestion:
Each owner occupied borrower would receive a maximum of one million dollars which “must” be applied to their existing loan balance. If the home owner’s balance is over one million dollars, the remainder would be modified to a maximum of 4.2%. Lenders receive an influx of cash (one million dollars) and still even with the reduced interest rate would not loose money but still stand to make a profit although smaller then anticipated. The home owner would have much more flexibility and motivation to continue making payments and remain in their home.
For those whose loan balance is less than one million dollars, the following would be mandatory.
a. The total loan balance(s) “must” be paid in full
b. One half of the remainder of the one million dollars “must” be deposited into a 5 year CD, backed by the government, (in the taxpayer’s name), leaving;
c. The second half to be placed or invested as the individual chooses.
The premise of item (c) is that an individual will not put this kind of money under their mattress. An example follows:
Owner occupied loan of $300,000.00
1,000,000
- 300,000 Loan balance
________
700,000
- 350,000 To be deposited in 5 year CD or (?), in taxpayer’s name
________
350,000 To be used at home owner’s discretion assuming it too will be deposited in a financial institution.
With an account balance of $350,000.00 and no mortgage payment it seems logical that the economy would be revived by the massive spending that would occur. What to do with those who would once again be less than frugal with their future financial needs could be decided at a later date and by other people.
This plan seems far more reasonable and appropriate to truly help the taxpayer than throwing away trillions of dollars to institutions that have proven their individual profits are more important than the financial security of our country. The current plan(s) all seem to be willing to tax my great grandchildren to compensate for legalized theft. Put the money in the hands of the taxpayer and let it recycle back to the banks as they deem appropriate.
PS. My son spent more time in juvenile hall for shop lifting an electric razor than Madoff, when he made off with 50 billion dollars.
Ken Casper
Palmdale, CA, 93550
The current foreclosures are just the begining. The next wave will come as balwoon payments come due and the owners discover that their debt truely exceeded the value of their homes. Even those that are able to refinance will realize that owning their home is a liability and will opt for a short sale or choose to let the lender take the home.
The next round of foreclosures will include those who have recently lost their job or had to take a pay cut and those that have been living off their savings and have run out.
In addition, the group will increase in size by those who are involved in the retail industry as retailors close and jobs are lost.
The momentum in forclosures will continue for a long time. Then as the supply of available homes increases, the value of home will continue to decline and prudent homeowners will begin to realize that they can duplicate their home for a much lessor monthly cost and will begin to return their homes to their lenders even if they can afford to make the payments, why pay a dollar for for$ .50 worth of goods will be the motivation behind those foreclosures.
I could go on and on, but I assume you get the idea.
Dear Mike Larson , I was very impressed by your article on there is no free lunch. Your advice on preparing for challenges (bike riding) is excellent. Mike , just when is someone going to talk about letting the vultures in to clean up the mess. In nature it is the vulture that has the taste for carrion. I hope to hear a reply. Thank you, Anthony !
So the Gov’t is bailing out like crazy and printing money just because it can… are we looking at CD and treasury yields that will skyrocket? I love how prophetic some of the Money and Markets reporters have been, but this subject seem to be neglected. There are lots of fixed income folks trying to figure out what is coming next.
My reading of the articles indicates:
The Dow is likely to hit 7000, perhaps 5500, so be in short term Treasuries.
“Capitulation” will occur the day the Gov’t realizes that the bailouts have little or no positive affect.
Hyperinflation will then follow the current period of deflation.
Sooooo….. will we be seeing 10% yields on CDs and Treasuries? And when?
Ken’s idea seems to be sound and can set the economy on fire. However, what does it do for all of those who do not have a mortgage nor own a home? It appears to be one of those situations where someone was in the right place at the right time.
Foreclosures will continue until prices come back down to 2000 levels. The fascist US Federal Reserve (no connection to the US government) may try to slow the process down but they cannot stop it.
The smart buyers will walk and tell the banks to sit on it and rotate. They don’t need us to pay off our loans–They already took our money in bailouts.
You say, “We can’t stop Washington Bureaucrats from doing stupid things but we can do something to protect our money.”
The error, here, is thinking that they are simply being stupid. They are being criminals and most of them know exactly what they are doing. We can do something. The wrong thing to do, always, is nothing. These individuals need to be held accountable. I, frankly, am tired of this very reasonable attitude toward these scoundrels.
Call Congress, write letters, get on action commitees, stand up for what is right, tell others and stop making excuses for these people. Enough is enough.