Some interesting news on the commercial marke…

For the past several months, this is what you’ve heard from the financial industry about the scope of thecredit crisis:

“It’s just subprime mortgages.”

Then …

“No, it’s just Alt-A and subprime.”

Then …

“Okay, you’re right. Prime doesn’t look so hot anymore either. But clearly, it’s just residential mortgages.

Then …

“Those auto loans? Alright. You caught me there too. But that’s it. I swear.”

But time and again, I have made the point that this credit crunch was never the resultof just reckless subprime residential mortgage originations. It’s the result of stupid LBO lending … stupidcommercial mortgage lending … high-risk Alt-A and prime mortgage lending … risky auto lending … and so on. Whilethe residential mortgage lenders were the worst offenders, banks and nonbank lenders went overboard extending otherforms of credit. Now they’re paying the price.

In fact, it’s no surprise whatsoever that I’m now reading stories like this one from Bloomberg. It talksabout how spreads on commercial mortgage backed securities, or CMBS, are blowing out due to deterioration in theunderlying commercial real estate market. An excerpt (with a key quote highlighted byme):

“Yields on commercial real estate securities relative to benchmarks rose to near record highs on concern that RivertonApartments, a high-rise complex in Manhattan’s Harlem neighborhood, will default on a loan.

“AAA rated commercial mortgage-backed bonds widened about 37 basis points to 305.57 basis points more than 10-year swaprates during the week ended yesterday according to data from Bank of America Corp. A basis point is 0.01 percentagepoint.

“The gap, or spread, jumped after a trustee report showed payments wouldn’t be made by Rockpoint Group LLC andStellar Management in September on a $225 million loan on the 1,230-unit Riverton. The property was refinanced inDecember 2006 using optimistic assumptions for anticipated income, a practice that became common as prices reachedtheir peak, said Alan Todd, head of commercial-mortgage backed securities research at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

“It is indicative of the type of loans that were allowed to get securitized during this time,” Todd, who isbased in New York, said yesterday in a telephone interview.”

1. Auto industry looking for a bailout, too Some interesting news worth mentioning: It looks like the AUTOMAKERS are now joining the list of companies shoppingfor bailout money...
2. Historic bailout, huge efforts to make home l… Amidst all the $250 billion bailout hoopla, and the previous news that the government will buy up both whole loansand...
3. What happens when drivers of foreclosures are different Today, the Wall Street Journal elucidated a point I have made repeatedly in many venues. Heading off a potential foreclosure...