Click here to post your comments …
With the U.S. and foreign markets in an upswing, I have a quick quiz for you that can lead to some very interesting opportunities.
There are no right or wrong answers. Just click here to leave a comment and give me your best guesses:
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months?
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months?
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Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
As you can see,
-
The country ETF represented by the green line is up 65 percent;
-
The one represented by the red line is up 40 percent; and
-
The black one is up only 3 percent.
Care to guess what countries they are?
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? A country where the market has had the best performance so far this year? Or one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
I’d be very interested in your answers. And my team of international experts and I are anxious to share ours as well.
So here’s what to do …
First, register to attend our Weiss Global Forum on August 13. It’s just eight days away. So I suggest you do so promptly by clicking here.
Second, click here or scroll down to the comment area below — not only to take a crack at some of the quiz questions, but also to ask any questions of your own which you’d like us to address at our forum next week. I can’t guarantee we’ll answer them all. But we’ll cover as many as we can.
The First-Ever Weiss Global Forum
This will be the first-ever Weiss Global Forum, bringing together our top experts for an international video conference.
Our mission: To explore with you a wide range of new global profit opportunities (and pitfalls) for the balance of 2009 and beyond.
It will be a monumental 1-hour video event — all with no commercial interruptions or promotions of any kind.
It is absolutely free with no strings attached — our gift to make sure you get candid, unhedged answers to the most crucial questions you have about your investments right now.
This briefing is so crucial to your investment success in the months ahead, I’m hosting it myself, from my headquarters here in Jupiter, Florida.
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I’ll ask Mike Larson, our real estate and banking specialist, whether or not the U.S. housing disaster is over or not.
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Claus Vogt of the Million-Dollar Contrarian Portfolio will join us via live video feed from Berlin to give us the view from Western Europe, Eastern Europe and Russia.
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Larry Edelson will be online from his office in Bangkok to give us his boots-on-the-ground analysis of the sudden economic explosion in China and its impact on natural resource markets. Plus …
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Tony Sagami, editor of our Asia Stock Alert, will identify specific stock opportunities he’s seeing right now in China and the rest of Asia.
The Weiss Global Forum is absolutely free. We do ask, however that you register so we can make sure you receive your instructions for attending prior to the briefing.
Just click this link. We’ll reserve your place for you, and I will immediately send you an email with your login instructions.
Plus, after you register, please click here or scroll down to the comment area below to give me your quiz answers, comments and questions.
Good luck and God bless!
Martin
{ 290 comments… read them below or add one }
i am a subscriber and it seems Claus has been really off target, i am turning exceptic
Martin,
I have a sneaking suspicion that many of us listen to your and your team as our major source of insights into what markets are doing. I use use all of you primarily because your track record on calling changes has been so good these last three years.
I don’t want to answer your questions because I am going to just parrot what you’ve been saying. If you are looking to subscribers for guidance about the future, I think you will get back observations that sound a lot like the observations you’ve been making and broadcasting to us all. Just an observation.
Bill White
1. China
2. Common Market or USA
3. China, USA, Brazil
4. The one that will have the best performance next year.
China, U.S. Germany.
The top line - China
The second - Canada
the third USA
In what time frame do you see the American Dollar being replaced?
1. Brazil
2. U.S.
3. 65% China
40% Brazil
3% US
4. A country that is lagging but which can be bought more cheaply.
I think the green is China, the yellow Brazil and the black the USA.
I’d like to see one of you prognosticate on when we’ll see the inflationary effect of the printing presses. 2011? 2012?
Why haven’t we seen some recos on some of the China stocks that have been going up? EDU, EJ, CFSG, CGA, ACH, and others? They’ve been beating the dickens out of your recos of GIS and WU. How about a few others I haven’t named? Your team is great on generalizations, but then they all want to sell us their newsletters in order to get any names . . .
It is my opinion that as long as the Democrats and rhino Republicans remain in power the USA will continue losing and eroading its world leadership position.
Hopefully the tea party type meeting and participants in them erase both parties.
i thoroughly enjoy your web site but i have not been able to listen to yopu when its recorded so the computer is going back to best buy next week to see why………my questions are …..a) whom,is playing with the energy ups and downs .it does not make a twit of sense………….if we were short in our reserves it should never have dropped the way it did .so the market is playing havoc with us………..b) why is gold bouncing upand down like a yoyo……that does not make any sense either………..
Q1: China
Q2: USA
Q3: Green = China, Red = India, Black = Germany.
Q4: Best market is an active market showing either growth or correction.
China, but I have been burned in the past by some recommended Chinese
stocks so am weary and wary!!
1. Brazil
2. U.S.
3. China
Brazil or Canada
U.S.
4. One which may be lagging right now but is under priced and will shoot to the forefront in the next 12 months. How’s that for a choice?
#1 Brazil top line
Last is open for grabs. France my choice.
Question1 - China
Question2 - USA
Question3 -
Green - Brazil
Red - China
Black - USA
Question4 - I would prefer to invest in an economy that is stable and has direction from it’s govenment.
also - There are traders stating that their is even a better investment than Gold for high inflationary periods. They state that it bettered Gold by almost 300 percent the last time Gold went bullish. Do you know what it might be?
GREEN=CHINA
RED=INDIA
BLACK=U.S.
I MAY HAVE TO WORK…SO I HOPE YOU WILL FIND A WAY FOR US TO VIEW IT OVER THE WEEKEND
China #1, Brazil #2, the U.S. #3. Tell Larry Edelson he’s looking at his gold cycle chart upside down. It looks like gold is getting ready to break through the $1,000. mark and soon.
Question1 - China
Question2 - USA
Question3 -
Green - Brazil
Red - China
Black - USA
Question4 - I would prefer to invest in an economy that is stable and has direction from it’s govenment.
also - There are traders stating that their is even a better investment than Gold for high inflationary periods. They state that it bettered Gold by almost 300 percent the last time Gold went bullish. Do you know what it might be?
If the commercial RE market is in as much trouble as I read, why is the inverse ETF - SRS, doing so poorly? Is it based on the persection of the slight improvement in the residential market?
Would appreciate you thoughts,
Chuck
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months?
CHINA
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months?
USA
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
As you can see,
■The country ETF represented by the green line is up 65 percent;
CHINA
■The one represented by the red line is up 40 percent; and
USA
■The black one is up only 3 percent.
SOUTH KOREA
Care to guess what countries they are?
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? A country where the market has had the best performance so far this year? Or one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
NORMALLY THE COUNTRY WITH BEST PERFORMANCE UNLESS INDICATORS SAY IT’S STOPPING. LAGGING IS FINE IF THE INDICATORS ALL INDICATE THAT MAJOR UPWARD CHNAGE IS POSSIBLE
I’d be very interested in your answers. And my team of international experts and I are anxious to share ours as well.
1 China
2 USA
3 aChina
bCabasda
c USA
lower now
1st China
2nd Australia
3rd US
But Martin if the 65% has been going so strong, why have we not had an EF there catching some gains?
China
Brazil
USA
1. Brazil
2. U.S.
3. China - Brazil - India
4. The less expensive country should be safer
1. Canada
2. USA
3. Top line - China
2nd line - India
3rd line - USA
4. I expect perforomance for both to be about the same. But when they turn (down), they will all get clobberred.
Frankly, even professionals engage in a guessing game. Even the top analyst and investors make forecast but are never actually are able to pinpoint what will happen. Kinda like the weather, we can make a forecast but not be sure of how the market will act or react. Personally, I think Taiwan will be the top line, Brazil next and the U.S. third. Of course, I am human and may very well be totally wrong.
Top- China, Middle - Brazil, Bottom - U.S.
Gotta work Thursday noon. Will a replay be available for those who missed the live event?
I just subscribe recently, but here are my guesses
#1 India
#2 US
#3 India, Malaysia, Japan
#4 Out of the 3, I would be aqcuring the Malaysia ETF. India has risen too much, too quickly. Japan has been laggard for decades. Even the DJIA has almost caught up to the NIKKEI.
Answer to Question 1 = china
Answer to Question 2 = USA
Answer to Question 3 china. brazil and USA
Answer to Question 4 = brazil
#3 China, India and US
#1 China
#2 US
Can someone explain what Larry means when he says “hedge” on gold?
1. China
2. The European Union countries.
3. China, US, Italy
4. The country with the best performance. But note that the US market has performed well this year since early March, while its economy has performed poorly.
The ETF TBT shorts 10-year Treasury yields. Both Claus and Edelson have talked about possibly buying it in the future. My question is how can we make money on TBT when Bernanke can keep yields low by buying Treasuries with ex nihilo (out of nothing) dollars?
Thanks
Number 1 Green Line China
Number 2 Red Line Barzil
Number 3 Black Line Canada
I don’t have a crystal ball but your ball has been pretty clear so far but I hope you are wronge about the future of the USA market.
Question1 New Zealand
Question 2 Europe (Common Market)
Question 3 New Zealand, China, India
Question 4 Lagging, buy cheap
We have all of our retirement money in Indexed Annuities with several differant A+ rated insurance companies, it is guaranteed to grow compounded at 8% per year for retirement income, will be guaranteed 6% per year for the rest of our lives at age 70.
I don’t know of any other place to put my money that would be any safer, at this 8% growth rate, do you????
Please respond this is my second request. Chuck Holman 505-328-7878
1- China
2-US
3-China, Brazil, japan
4-Don’t know depend on situation. The high one may go up 40%, the low one may go up >50% in 5 years or level or down.
Money cann’t leave it alone, it will effect us in everyway, need knowledge to float above the water and survive, does not matter I like it or not, It will get me.
1. China
2. China, Brazil, ….
3. What ever grows most in the year ahead
Q1 China
Q2 ?
THE ORANGE GROWTH LINE IS PROBABLY CHINA. FOR THE “GREAT GENERATION”
FOLKS, INVESTING IN A COMMUNIST COUNTRY LIKE CHINA IS SCARY SINCE THEIR
GOVERNMENT MAY JUST ABSORB ALL FOREIGN INVESTMENT MONEY WHENEVER THEY
PLEASE. WHAT IS YOUR THINKING ABOUT THIS?
I write about the correlations of economic and planetary cycles, and strongly suspect the US stock markets–and most of the world’s–is likely to drop around the end of this month and into September.
#1 green,red, black
#2 black
#3 Green
Green = Brazil
Red = China
Black = US
Brazil,India, Canada ok. U.S,A.< Big loss
Answers
1) China
2) USA
3) China (green line), USA (red line),Japan (black)
4) The country with the best performance last year
My expectation is that China will be the country with most appreciation - greatest GDP increase - over next couple years.
I think Brazil and India will do well also - and Australia should benefit from its exports, but it may have a real estate bubble now.
I think the EU will continue to be in trouble due to financial problems with their banks plus difficulties with exports.
I think the USA is in a lot worse situation than the government admits.
best wishes
john sloan
Hmmm,
I’d say China, Canada, US
Q1: China
Q2: U.S.
Q3:Green = China
Red = India
Black = Brazil
Q4: lagging, buy cheap
1. Brazil 2.India 3.Canada USA to tumble
1. China
2. USA
3. Uncertain.
4 A lagging market with solid fundamentals, i. e., an infrastructure building stimulus package.
Q1: China
Q2: India
Q3: Brazil
Q1. China
Q2. EU
Q3. China-green, India-red, U.S.-black
Q4. Country with best possibility for higher than average performance.
3% - USA
40% - China
65% - Brazil
I certainly wouldn’t bet on the USA, so I’d go with the the one with the best performance..
Q1: China
Q2: Japan
Q3: China - Switzerland - USA
Q4: I think I would invest in the economy that is lagging and can be bought cheap
1. China
2. UK
3. green:China: red:India; black: UK
I HAVE TRIED FOR EVER TO GET AN OPINION OF U.S.SAVINGS BONDS. MARTIN HAS EXPRESSED OPINIONS ON EVERY OTHER TYPE OF GOVERMENT BONDS OVER AND OVER SINCE O7.
China, Brazil, Canada
Canada has such a close relationship with US, but I don’t expect that the US will grow in proportion with Canada. A great deal of money is being invested in Brazil and Canada for raw materials by China. I know that this is not an answer to your question, however the US is still the biggest economy in the world. That said, I would invest in Canada/US
It was my understanding gold was to retract and yet it seems to continue upward
What is the reasoning? With the exception of AAPL, the rest of recos by the Cycles etc. seem to be headed South. I hope this very sht. term because these recos are all supposed to be relatively sht. term buys. Just an expensive observation!
3% Europe; 40% U.S.; 65% Russia. Yes, I am very interested in the outcome.
Q1: China, maybe Brazil
Q2:Most likely USA and Europe
Q3:China, Brazil, India
Q4:I will take the undervalued lagging, cheap market
4. The lagging one. It can by more risky but also may have the potential for significant gain later.
My “guesstamates” are as follow:
#1 China
#2 United States (aka. USSA) and no that is NOT a typo.
#3 China, Russia and the United States of America
#4 Best performing thus far this year
Now for some questions. Living in the state of Michigan, where the unemployment rate is higher then average-cresting to eleven percent-what does an investor with very limit funds do? I have decreasing returns on 401-k, from former employer (ticker id-ODP) and that is being further erroded by Smith-Barney admin. cost taken quarterly.
Since you have started pushing ETF’s I have lost confidence in you and your services. You must be aware that under most ETF’s there is no purchase of the underlying shares. All the ETF is doing is tracking the underlying shares and the sponsor is raking in a constant management fee. That in itself is OK. No one works for nothing. But what I object to is that the sponsors of the ETF’s have this giant slushfund (investors money) to use to manipulate their particular sector. The more investors that use ETF’s instead of buying the underlying shares, the easier it is to manipulate the sector. This is reaching, or has already reached, the point where there is no free markets remaining; only some manipulated “eyewash” for the investor to lose money in while the sponsor and other big money “in the know” continually robs the investor through this unfair advantage.
Recently it has come to light that the ETF SLV, who supposedly DOES purchase physical silver for the investor, has been caught with many duplicate serial numbers and other deceptive finagling, and they are the prime suspect in the silver market manipulation designed to distort and suppress the silver price.
Ironically, the investor is the one who is providing the means for these manipulations to take place when they invest in an ETF rather than the underlying shares, because their own money is being used against them. If you are not aware of this, you should be, and if you are not one of those profiting from this scam, you should stop pushing the ETF agenda which is primarily responsible for the markets no longer working, and for the markets having become nothing but a rigged casino in which all money is returned to the “house”. All in my opinion of course.
1. China, 2. USA 3. China, (Emerging Markets), Brazil, USA
I took your advice about the possible fall of the market to below 6000 earlier this year. My wife’s 401 K does not allow ETF etc transactions so she stopped investing 10% of her earnings into the 401K until this further collapse occured. Should she still be out of the market and save her money elsewhere ?
I haven’t a clue as to the first two but I’d bet the third is the US. We’re in dire financial straits and I don’t think it is going to get any better any time soon.
1)china 2)west europe/usa 3)china,brazil,usa 4)i prefer to invest in the country that is outpreforming this year but on a pullback.I dont like to look at quarterly or 12 month returns and not put all my eggs in one basket.But in the future I like southeast asia,brazil and canada,but that doesn’t mean you cant find good opportunities in beaten down areas.Lately markets have been moving together,some more than others but say the usa goees down they all may go down,the global economy thing.
China
Germany
40Best Performance
1. China
2. US
3. China, India, US
4. I would prefer to invest in a country where the market has had the best performance
1.Brazil
2.UK
3.No,I can’t - you didn’t specify major economies.
4.A country that didn’t try to inflate its way out of trouble.
#
1-brazil
#2-russia
#3-top.brazil, china, and usa
#4-top performing
Green line: India
Red line: China
Black line: U.S.
Was I close?
Although China has had a very encouraging 2 quarters it’s still the good ‘ol’ US of A that surpassess all other nations:
GDP 2008 MIL
1.) USA $14,264,800
2.) China $ 7,916,429
3.) Japan $ 4,354,368
4,) India $ 3,288,345
5.) Germany $2,910,490
6.) Russia $2,260,907
7.) Britain $2,230,549
I’ll invest where the fundamentals are strong and where the valuations are positive.
1. Russia 2. China 3. U.S.A The emerging markets took a large hit
and are rebounding the best so far. Looks like the future is going
to be in Asia.
Q1: China
Q2: Germany
Q3: Green Brazil
Red China
Black Japan
Q4: Best performing now
1. China
2. USA
3. Green=Brazil, Red=Canada, Black=?
China
Germany
Brazil 65%
China 40%
USA 3%
A little of both. Even High growth countries can find areas and cos that lagged
Martin,
From what I have read I would think the China is the green line,Brazil is the
red line and the US is the black line. I am saddened by these projections since
I believe that this country has been the fount of capitalism which under BO
is undergoing a drift rapidly to socialism. Of course on a personal level this
in all probability will have no effect on me at this stage of my life(late ’70s) but
I rue the future for today’s youngsters. I would like to have them enjoy the
life I had growing up in this wonderful country.
Dear Mr Weiss:
My response as under.
Q1. China - GDP
Q2. Major economy weakest growth - Japan
Q3. CHINA, 2. INDIA; 3. UK
Q4. S KOREA
1) China
2)US
3)China, US, Germany
4)If the forecast for the country that is lagging is bullish then that choice, if not then the country that is performing well and is forecasted to continue in that direction.
Is there an ETF available that tracks the 100 fastest growing publicly traded companies?
Ed
Is there an ETF trat tracks the 100 fastest growing public companies?
Ed mclean
BRIC nations Brazil is my choice for the best. I don’t trust Russia, and India/China are large populations with many problems.
I also like Canada and Austrialia, possibly Norway. I am very concerned about inflation. I want to have some core holdings in stocks and currencies that will not be affected by inflation as much as the U.S.
Bob
Q1 CHINA-GDP
Q2 MAJOR ECONOMY WEAKEST GROWTH-US
Q3 GREEN CHINA RED JAPAN BLACK US
Q4 INVEST IN CHINESE STOCKS WHEN YOU CATCH THEM ON A DIP
I guess: China - Brazil - USA
If not I might well go broke
The Great Depression will be in a couple of years. As Obama helps it along.
Or if not the cyber warfare will wipe us out in the USA from Coast to Coast with mass devastation, thanks to Russia, China and North Korea or Iran could do it as well with their bomb 300 miles up in space and cause electric magnetic pulse. A horendous time in history coming up, so be prepared to meet your maker when he comes to take care of all this mess and will wipe all forces of evil out.
CM
1. Brazil
2. U.S.
3. Green - 65% = Brazil
Red - 40% = China
Black - 3% = US
4. I want to buy what Brazil and China are buying, regardless of whether they are currently leading or lagging.
Mr Weiss,I am sure China will be the best country for question #1.Japan or the USA will be the weakest for question #2
Best performer CHINA
Worst USA
Q1: China
Q2: Japan
Q3: Green-China; Red-Brazil; Black-USA
Q4: Laggard with potential
Green–China
Red–Brazil
Black–US
Right now, I’m not investing in any of them. Just sitting on my cash.
MARTIN WEISS, SIR,
Regarding cycles and investment timing: I was told that every surfer knows that waves come in octaves, and that the biggest wave is the seventh, so surfers wait for it.
I don’t know if this is correct, or not.
Gurdjieff was a remarkable rapscallion and a genius. He thought it important to be mindfull that there is a gap between two notes of the musical octave. I meant to send this information to Prof. Ravi Batra years ago when he was writing about economic cycles; can’t remember if I did. (He used to come into my little bookshop.)
I hope your new All Weather managed fund takes such into account if it is applicable, and wish you and it the best.
Susan Berry, Octogenarian
I am guessing China, Brazil, and the US, but, actually I thought all three were up more than that. I want to be with the one that is growing the fastest because eventually faster growth will win out.
My question is: Are all the fiat currencies going to lose value and if so where do I stash my cash (other than gold) while I am waiting for the “buying opportunity of a lifetime.”
question 1. China
2. UK
3. Acending US Brazil China
4.China
Precious metals will be most outstanding going forward. Gold has no economy performance to worry with, no political issues unlike a nations monetary unit, and comes without strings attached. Gold & silver cannot be duplicated unlike paper money. It is true. Outside of this primary investment would be good economic economies. CHINA AND BRAZIL COME TO MIND FORE MOST AS LARGE NAME NATIONS GO. MAYBE INDIA TO SOME EXTENT.
#1 Brazil .Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months? #2 European nations, England . Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months? #3 USA.The chart to the right. #1 China #2 Brazil #3 USA
1. china
2.us
3. China Green
4. Invest in lagging economy, more risk reward
I see that many of you look to China and possibly Brazil however I must disagree. I feel China will begin to wither and Brazil I see as remainig flat. I will bet on the US and Europe to rebound first but after a period of unusual reorganization. I believe we are going to see a severe economic downturn after the health care legizlation is passed. It will adversly impact the insurance industry which will create a snowball effect with other supporting businesses from attorneys to financial organizations. All of this will create a even tougher economy and the result will impact China as well as the US.
Brazil #1
India #2
US #3
Like PM small caps on the Canadian vancouver and Toronto exchange. Most leveraged for the money when gold and silver move to a permanent higher sustained price. Best leverage is the Pm miners listed that operate in Mexico. Example id IPT.V or Impact minerals and ENERGOLD DRILLING CORP - EGD:TSX-V. I think we should own physical silbver and gold as well. best form to own silver in would be old US silver coins prior to 1964.
Best wishes, Ray Burton
QI - BRAZIL
Q2 - CHINA
Q3 - MAYBE US?
I AM EXPECTING A MAJOR STOCK MARKET CORRECTION TO 6,000 AND BELOW BY THE END OF THE 4TH QTR. I LIKE ENERGY AND NATL RESOURCES, WATER ,UTILITIES AND WIND. I DON’T LIKE ETHYNOL, SOLAR, HYDRORGEN OR ANY AL GORE STUFF AND NONSENSE.
IS THIS YOUR ANALYSIS?
Top line–China middle line– india Bottom line U.S.A.
It seems as though fundamentals don’t matter.
Q1 Japan
Q2 US
Q3 Japan, China, Europe
Q4 The countries already showing growth, because the laggard may catch up but the more serious downturn will just be beginning.
1. China
2. USA
3. China, Brazil, USA
4. I assume we are limiting this investment to the countries primary stock market index. But whatever the case at any point in time I would invest in the index that has the strongest establish trend. If another country takes the leadership I would change to it assuming I can only invest in one country at a time. In reality I might rotate staying in the top three with the best trend. Currently I have investments in China, Brazil, Korea and the US and am watching India very carefully. I play the trend is my friend game with two moving averages 18/40 for my guide.
The green is China, the Blue is Germany and the black is US
Conventional wisdom says YTD action centered in Asia. Current China GDP of 7.8% supports ytd +70% on China SME and a Shanghai SSE180 +103%! India’s GDP is at 5.8% while iShares India YTD is up 69% and Sensex Prudential at +64%. But there are other high-flyers YTD - - Brazil sports multiple ETFs +80% and Russia Market Vectors ETF +85%. My simple conclusion? Money flows to countries that meet the demand for natural resources + places with know how and labor to use them most efficiently.
High GDP alone doesn’t tell all as UAE is growing at +27.36% but predominantly an oil/energy based economy.
Best GDP Rate - Canada
Q1 BRAZIL Q2 China Q3 US Q4 Canada
Canada and US will prove in 2010 what they can acheive
China
The USA
Green= China
Red is probably India or Brazil and
Black = USA
Invest in dividend paying currencies of commodity countries like Australia and Brazil but not be dependent on a USA company that may not survive a bust.
Biggest concern as a retiree dependent on fixed income pensions is how to survive if the USA goes bust which I think the recent and current admin is working hard to do. If the cycles people are right we have till 2012 or 2013 best case. I visited Russia after they went bust (their ruble went for $1 down to 5500 per dollar) and my pension under similar circumstances would then cover less than one trip to the world’s filthiest public restrooms back before year 2000. In otherwords, pensions would become worthless in the scenario that is currently playing out. Is it time to move?
I would like your opinion on investing in Japan. It is currently lagging other Asia nations but looks promising. 2nd question - are the EWJ Ishare ETF and the JSC SPDR Small Cap ETF good ways to invest? 3rd question - when would be a good time to commit investment dollars?
waiting for next weeks meeting on thurs.
Have you suggestions as to where I may find the answers to real estate in general in the USA in particular Phoenix, Arizona.
Q. Is the housing disaster over or not.
Q. Names of builders or corporations that offer “managed condominiums” as investment property.
Very many thanks.
Q1 Brazil
Q2 US
Q3 Don’t Know
Q4 Cash is King
Let’s get to the questions!
1. major nation growth Canada
2. Major weakest growth US
3. Green Indonesia Red Israel, Black US
4. A country that has been lagging and that can supply world demand for commodities
I agree with the above expectation. However, what do you feel on economic growth of India, Brazil and Australia ?
Rgds/Santana
Answer#1: China
Answer#2: USA
Answer#3: Green line: China; Red Line: India; Black Line: USA;
Answer#4: Not sure. Need your help :-)
Needing to generate income and do so in a manner to protect against the slide of the dollar. What do you recommend, and how do I implement? Thanks for your service.. Steve.
I disagree. There are “right” answers. You pick wisely and invest accordingly then you can realize returns.
Question 1…China
Question 2…USA
Question 3…China, Japan, EU
Question 4…One that is lagging and can be bought cheaply…Reason…There is more upside potential and less downside risk.
Contrarily the one that is best performing is most likely to be expensive thus upside potential is diminished and downside risk is exacerbated.
Q1 = China
Q2 = Brazil
Q3 = USA
Q4 = Invest in the cheapest.
Answer to questions:
(1) China
(2) The U.S.
(3) Green Line-China
Red Line - Brazil
Black Line - India
(4) In the country with the best performance this year.
1. China
2. USA
3. Green - China, Red - India, Black - Brazil
4. a cheaper investment with promise is better that following the crowd of the best; Am I learning?
1.Brazil
2.UK
3.Brazil, China, Japan.
4. Best fundamentals
I would guess China is doing the best, Brazil or the United States is the middle one (up 40%), with England behind us, and Japan at the bottom. As I am a growth investor, I would choose the most rapidly growing country, unless it’s growth were slowing badly (below its 50-day MA, with RSI below 50). Value investing has its advocates, but I don’t have that much time left! The other half of my holdings are in carefully-watched junk-bond funds.
Question: Since the downturn is occurring more slowly than expected, does that imply that the downturn may be bigger than expected. Since the crash began in 2000, the wave structure seems to me to be much larger than that of 1929. I wonder if we’re not going to see a Dow of 400 before this is all over.
–Bill
Dear Martin,
Q1:China
Q2:India
Q3:S.Korea
Q4:Japan
I THINK THAT OF YOUR 3 COUNTRIES THAT DONE THE BEST IN YOUR CHART ABOVE WAS CHINA FIRST, BRAZIL SECOND, AND THE USA THIRD. I KNOW THAT YOU THINK THAT YOUR CUSTOMERS TO YOUR NEWS LETTERS SHOULD BUY CERTAIN STOCKS IN CHINA AND BRAZIL. I DON’T LIKE BUYING STOCKS OF ANY KIND IN CHINA, MAINLY BECAUSE IT IS RUN BY A COMMUNIST GOVT., AND THERE FORE YOU CAN’T TRUST THEM. SOME DAY WE WILL PROBABLY BE A WAR WITH THEM. BRAZIL IS A DIFFERENT MATTER, BUT IT SEEMS LIKE THEY ARE GETTING TO RAPPED UP WITH CHINA TOO MUCH. I STILL PREFER TO BOOST UP AMERICA, AND BUY AMERICAN, EVEN THOUGH AMERICA IS BANKRUPT. AMERICA NEEDS TO AUDIT THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, JUST LIKE RON PAUL WANTS, AND IF THEY DO THEY WILL FIND OUT IT IS A GIANT PONZI SCHEME. SEVERAL PRESIDENTS OF THE USA WERE KILLED BECAUSE OF THEIR TRYING TO CHANGE OR KEEP THE ROTHSCHILD BANKING SYSTEM FROM GETTING POWER OVER OUR MONEY SYSTEM. UNTIL WE OVER COME THESE ELITISTS AMERICA IS NEVER COMING BACK TO THE POWER IT ONCE WAS.
Q1 China
Q2 England
Q3 China, India, USA
Q4 The one that is most likely to increase in short term.
#1 China, Brazil . #2 USA. #3 China= top, Japan =mid., Brazil. #4 Sell all, mmmhomestead in colorado? Draw straws, pitch pennies ??
Brazil
China
USA
China, India, and USA in that order.
First is china, second is ? third is us maybe
q1 china q2 us
green-brazil red china black india
1.China
2.USA
3.A. China
B. India
C.USA
4.USA
1. Australia, 2. Italy, 3. Brazil, Chile, Germany
I WOULD INVEST in none . the world economy is still very fragil. i ;have one stock in china and is doing nothing , I preferto keep still my money in3 mos treasury bills and the res in gold.
Her are MY answers ( opinions) to the 4 questions.
1.The country with the biggest growth will be (predictably) China.
2.The country with the weakest growth will be Canada.
3.On the graph question–my answers are–65%–China,40%–Great Britain.3%–The United States.
4. The last question–What country would I invest in? I doesn’t seem to be so mismanaged and is a DEMOCRACY!
1. China
2. Brazil
3. USA
I would rather have been in China, but right now I would be getting out because that bubble is going to burst soon. I do not know how soon , but I don’t want to be there when it bursts.
Why are we holding inverse ETFs’ that are contrary to the current market rally when you acknowledge that the rally could be sustained until years end?
1. China
2. Europe
3. 1) China, 2) Brazil, 3) Canada
4. A country where the market had the best performance.
The three countries are: 65% - Brazil, 40% - China (or Taiwan, or So. Korea), 3% - Japan. YTD results as of several days ago. Brazil up 75% as of today.
1. China 2.U K 3.China, India, Japan
Q1: China (Their stimulus $ is not from DEBT!!! )
Q2: U.S ( Who will spend the $$ to grow the economy? No home equity remains, Credit Card debt is maxed out for most, Unemployment (real) is 17.5% maybe as high as 18.5%, so for a consumer driven economy, WHO is going to drive the GDP? The upper 3% ultra millionaires? I think NOT!
Q3: Brazil, China, U.S.
Q4: The one that can SUSTAIN that high growth, I’ll bet on Brazil and or China
1.China 2.UK 3.China. India, UK
1) China
2) Europe
3) China 65%; United States 40%; Japan 3%
4) Country with the best performance
What do you think the dollar will do in the next 6 months and how will this affect those three country’s in the graph?
Q1 Emerging markets; China or Brazil
Q2 Spain (in the EU) Venezuela (in South america)Mexico (North america)
Q3 USA for 65, EU for 40 and for Japan 3 percent.
I prefer too invest in a country that has show a good performance during this financial crisis.Only in bad times you know that a country is stable and has the right people who are managing the guvernamental institution .
1)China
2)US
3)GreenChina/redIndia/blackUS
4)I’d prefer to invest in the US. Probably not good financially, but patriotic.
-question–
How do you correlate the MACD, the histogram, volumn, and stocastic vs price that takes place about a week before you recommend the stock?
CHINA
INDIA
USA
THE US MARKET IS A LITTLE AHEAD OF ITSELF, ONLY GLOBAL EARNER ARE PRICED RIGHT. NON -GLOBALS WILL TEST THE BOTOM AGIAN.
I WILL INVEST IN ASIA ON MAJOR PULLBACKS.
I agree that China will drive growth over the next ten years but with 30% vol in the market one must be very selective and time the market correctly. Second countries such as Brazil, Canada and Australia should grow strong and in fact Australia’s recession has been lighter and looking like recovering quicker. Look for Australian lignite to be the next tar sands story. Japan looks like a bottom but it will not be a fast recovery either.
The US seems to side stepped a complete meltdown but the number of corporate loans that need refinancing, and the fact that 60% were financed through CLOs which are now dead in the water, leaves a big risk going over the next three years. Europe is even more precarious.
#1 Best Growth = China
#2 Weakest Growth = US
#3 Brazil 65% China 40% US 3%
#4 Probably China, though not best growth
“lagging…but bought more cheaply” This could describe many countries if only in relative terms. Buying on dips is buying more cheaply. Buying a laggard for that reason alone is dumb.
QUESTION
How do you correlate the MACD, the histogram, volumn, and stocastic vs price action that takes place about a week before you recommenmd a stock
I look forward to your comments.
Hi Martin,
I enjoy reading the information emailed to me daily from you and all the specialists, especially the video forums. I am just a beginner with “little” funds to trade and invest, but I have made small moves upward with help from your site. I love learning, thanks for sharing.
My Quiz answers:
65% Green - China
40% Red - Hong Kong
3% Black - USA
Sincerely, Beth
#1China #2 Usa # 3 China # 4 Brazil Where I can get my best return!
l. China
2. USA
3. Green - China
Red - Brazil or India
Black - USA.
4. A country that has had the best performance so far this year.
Q4. Neither. The market performance should not be the key determining factor for investment. A country which has best performance could be already over-valuated many times, whereas a country with poor performance should be within or under-valuation, however revenues of companies could be dropping and debts on the rise.
I would put it as value for money based on good fundamentals (companies still having good earnings, lower debt ratio, good cash position, low PE ratio ….. blah blah blah). Something like I would prefer to pay $50 for something that is worth $100 than pay $200 for it and hope to sell it off at $300. :o)
Question 1. Brazil or possibly China, but they have MASSES of people & problems!!!
Question 2. U S/ U K –both may be making soon headway now in their GDP, but with the money being printed by the TRILLIONS will come hoome to bit us in the ass–Thank you Obama and Congress!!!!
Question 3. the charts did not appear
Question 4. There is no solid answer to either—The best performing country could still have a weak GDP base, while the lagging country could be developing a firmer base to grow from. Therefore, I will take the ladder!!!
Perhaps you could cover investing in Canadian Oil & Gas Trusts and the prospects of the loonie appreciating as the dollar loses value.
Question #1.
China
Question #2.
USA
Question #3.
China, Brazil, USA
Question #4.
Wherever the greatest economic growth is happening, which usually means stable emerging economies. Some economies can lag and languish for years, cheap isn’t always a good bargain.
I believe we may be surprised by a deflation. Jobs and business are still in decline. We are losing more and more jobs each month. People are saving not buying and the consumer is out of money. How can we have a big inflation when no one is buying or producing anything?
Q1 - China
Q2 - UK
Q3 - Green ETF = China
Red ETF = Brazil
Bkacj ETF = India
Q4 - I would invest in a country that has had the best performance so far this year.
My Question: What percentage of your portfolio should you invest in foreign countries?
I love your books and the insights from your father. and thanks for sending out these emails. I especially like your interviews. I was disappointed with the interview on Bank on Yourself- Yellen was carefully guarded about the details of the insurance product and actual costs/loads, etc. Keep up the good work.
green- India
red- the United States “England”
black- . . . most likely Japan
“the one that has the most lagging growth”
Why did Larry issue a stop loss at purchase price of GLD . . about a week ago?
Without a calm mind, called a ‘financial advisor’ who suggested selling EJ, ISRG, BIDU, EDU, and GLD. . . my ‘bought at low’ (around the reco dates) also foolishly lost TCK recommended on a list of Tony’s along with DGW.
How bout that DEO?
Larry is the precious metals man.
Wha up?
As to question 4, I would rather invest in a country that has a long history of fiscal prudence if there is such a country. Germany comes to mind.
All of your video programs and your associates programs have pauses in their discussions and it is difficult to understand what they are talking about. Please look into the reasons for theses pauses. I am extremely interested in your messages and look forward to receiving them.
Thank you very much.
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months?
Answer #1: Brazil
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months?
Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.
Answer #2: Spain (I’m excluding Eastern European counties because I don’t consider them “major”).
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
Answer #3: 65% growth–China. 40% growth–Brazil (India?). 3% growth–USA.
My question: I own reverse ETFs that are showing large losses. Can I get your advice on selling them while minimizing my losses?
1. Brazil
2. USA
3. Brazil
China
USA
4. Canada
Dear Martin,
I suspect that the two higher lines were for the growth of China and Brazil. I think the bottom line was for the United States. Regarding buying one of them–I would buy either China or Brazil on a pullback but not the US. Question - Do you think the market will be very choppy for the balance of the year? Also, when do you think the “big drop” will occur — spring of next year or earlier (or later)?
Thanks,
Max
1 china GDP. Because there stimulus package is not monetized.
2 us. Because of its debt obligations.
3 China India UK.
4 My answer is both,China growth story ,GDP.have a lot of legs to move up still.
Finding some country that has been lagging should be a speculation play only etc Iceland Krona currency.
1. China
2. USA
3. 65% = China, 40$ = Brazil, 3% = USA
4. One that is lagging now, but has potential.
It would also seem that we should not minimize the basic motivation and resources of the people of S. America. especially Brazil and Argentina.
Q1. Canada
Q2. US
Q3. china, brazil, australia
Q4. Canada
China Red
Brazil Green
USA Black
Invest in Brazil
what is your opinion of mro. thanks mel.
Q1 RSX Russia would not invest is only pure oil play
Q2 EWZ Brazil would invest nice resource play growing own domestic economy
Q3 EWJ only up 2% wouldnt touch it
Q4 EWA,EWC, EWH EWS first 2 great plays for natural resources EWA great exposure to sell to China EWS great banking sector for asia
China, Brazil, Switzerland in that order.
China will grow the most.
India is the second economy and the US is the third.
The best opportunites ahead will be outside of the US and in commodities.
A#1 = China (Shanghai)
A#2 = USA
A#3 = China (+65%), Brazil or India (+40%) and USA (+3%)
A#4 = I want to remain living in the laggard market (USA) but I will continue to invest in the fast growing Communist Chinese market; what interesting times.
1. China
2. U.S.
3. Green- China
Red - U.S.
Black - Brazil
4. The one lagging that can be bought cheaper
I would like to know more about banks closing due to a “bank holiday”, Is that something to be concern about in the future? and if so, how long?
India will be achieving highest growth.
1 China 2-Brazil 3-US
Q1. China
Q2. US
Q3. Green-China
Red-Brazil
Black-US
Q4. Depends on outlook for both
Best GDP growth? I’d say China
Weakest GDP growth: Why on earth would ANYONE be interested in a country like that?
65% ETF growth: China
40% ETF growth: USA
3% ETF growth: UK
I am already heavily invested in the best performer. so I would prefer to invest in an economy whose share market is still lagging - but only lagging because, notwithstanding its potential, it hasn’t come to the full attention of the big funds yet. A good example would be Brazil (India will forever remain a hopeless case, Russia can not be trusted, and the EU countries. as usual, are administered by gutless amateurs).
Your webinars, fireside chats, quizzes, etc. prove that you are still alive and in good health (more’s the surprise!), but your ability to spot good buys is still shaky, you are not putting your amazing “missing link” cycle timing tool to good use in our behalf, and I suspect that this whole recession/depression will be over (even if it endures for a further 4 years) BEFORE either we or you have managed to fully protect our capital, let alone made any sort of a fortune from the debacle.
And this, let it be known, despite the exhortations, backed by selectively chosen statistics, which pad out the endlessly repeated missives headlined by your semi-hysterical, red ink, doom-and-gloom prophecies.
LISTEN TO US! BE SMART! USE REVERSE ETFs TO PROFIT FROM THE MARKET ON THE WAY DOWN!!!!!
Yes, right! Excellent notion! Spot on!
Except that you don’t seem to know, with any more precision than any other economist (pace Richard Mogey) whether the market is indeed on its way down.
And by the time you have decided that it’s NOT on the way down, that we SHOULDN’T be in reverse ETFs, and that, instead, we should be riding the market UP, sure enough, the market indeed turns DOWN. And we’ve lost a third opportunity, while everyone else is making hay.
We’ve heard so much confusing and conflicting nonsense about bears and bulls (let alone “dead cats”), I’m beginning to think you run some sort of a zoo.
But, then, you’re just trying to make an honest living, in a very uncertain world.
God bless!
1. China
2. USA
3. Brazil-Green, China- Red, UK-Black
4. lagging but be bought more cheaply
Q1 China
Q2 England
Q3 England, Germany, USA
Q4 The lagging country
A question for you: When the next major correction hits the U.S. markets, do you think the gold/silver mining stocks will get hit again, like the first correction?
Q1. China with highest GDP
Q2. Weakest positive growth - Russia
Q3. Green-China, Red-Brazil, Black-India
Q4. Invest in the stronger economies because the U.S. and most western economies have not bottomed yet.
GDP is a good figure to use in your investments stratergy but also look at the demographics of that nation. next look for the freedom indexof that country. we may be living and enjoying a good life, having 3 meals a day. but, it is our duty also to see that our fellow man (who may be living on the other side of the border) also enjoys the basic freedom.
the world is being shrunk in this age of communication - but we shd not be greedy and forget the needs of our fellow men - who may be not the same color or race.
investment using our conscience is very important.
i predict that the best countries to invest are india and next brazil
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months?
China
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months?
US
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country. The countries they are: China, India, US(?)
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in?
I would prefer to invest US; however, it might have to be China.
Can imaginations(hopes or expectations ) drive economy?
Best - Probably Brazil
Worst - Of major countries either UK or USA.
UK is in real trouble, America appears to be in a similar state, but is much larger with more mineral assets so should recover quicker. It would help if both countries could get rid of their idiot governments! Still Brown’s government will, I think, be shot down in flames next year. Neither appears to have the guts to do what they should do, both are more interested in re-election, surely they don’t believe in what they are doing!
Obviously the best, but can you trust the governments in South America?
Saying this, although I live In the UK, almost all of my investments are in the USA or Canada!
Keep up the good work
Peter
1. Brazil
2. China
3. usa
Question #1. China
Question #2. England or US
Question #3.
The country ETF represented by the green line is up 65 percent;
China
The one represented by the red line is up 40 percent;
South Korea
The black one is up only 3 percent.
France or England
Question #4.
The one which may be lagging, but can be bought more cheaply
Q1 India
Q2 UK
Q3 China, Japan, Germany
Q4 Where the market has performed best
My concern is the recommendations issued by your World Currency Options (US$ is strengthening short term) which appear at odds to those issued by both your Million Dollar Contrarian Portfolio and The Foundation Alliance (US$ is weakening over next few years). Which is correct?
Australia
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months? China mainland will show biggest decline
Question #3. Care to guess what countries they are? China, India and US
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? Australia and Brazil (high risk for corruption scandals though)
1. Japan
2. Weakest growth; Germany
3. Green: China Red: Brasil: Black: US
4: I would invest in a mix of the best performer en the laggard.
#1 - China
#1 - China
#2 - Western Europe
#3 - green: China
- red: Brazil
- black: USA
#4 - I’ll invest only in solid, healthy and safe markets and companies
Green - Brazil
Red - Germany
Black - U.S.
Q4 - Invest in Brazil.
Martin, Larry etc, you all claim to be in the perfect position to be able to forecast the economic isuses. Except for your own promotional material , i cant see that you are any accurate than most of the economists who seem to have little or no idea where the global economy is heading.
I get the impression that most of have short memories when it comes to your(s) advice !
I have been an avied follower of your mails since mid 08 and have been impressed with the way you reported major collapses before the event.
It would be good to have an update on the progress of the Contrarian fund. This will be of particlar interest to those of us that did not subscribe.
When the markets were at 6500 your view was sell all investments particularly financials into any rally. Do you still consider selling a good option or holding.
Green Brazil
Red China
Black USA
I think these colors are symbolic of the countries’ flags (except USA should be blue)
1. China
2. Brazil
3. USA
Invest in Gold ETFS and physical. Iran, North Korea, Israel are powder kegs on a timeclock.
1. China
2. Eastern European countries
3. Green-China Red-Brazil Black-USA
4. Don’t fight the trend - invest with China
Q1- China
Q2- Weakest - Russia
Q3- Green= China; Red=USA; Black=Canada
Q4- Canada
Martin D. Weiss,
1. Austrailia
2. China
3. Japan
4. The country lagging.
1. China
2. India
3. Brazil
Quiz answers:
1. Brazil
2. U.S.
3. Brazil, China, U.S. (in that order)
4. Neither–nobody can predict the future, so why invest in something that may have already have its best days behind it? Also, why settle for paltry returns, when there is a whole universe of things to invest in, all the way down to credit card debt, mortgage pay-downs, loan payoffs, and stockpiles of food and sundries?
~Just one unemployed housewife’s opinions.
I forgot to add something to my last comment: I read on MSN Money yesterday that China is basically one big bubble that’s about to burst, and that’s why I ranked Brazil ahead of China in your quiz.
~another unemployed housewife’s opinion
Q1 - China
Q2 - US
Q3 - green - China
red - Japan
black - US
Q4 - I WANT to invest in my own country. I am very concerned about the moral and financial state of the US for my children.
China - green
Brazil - yellow
U.S. - black
1) Brazil, best GDP Growth.
2) USA, or one of the EU Countries.
3) Green = Brazil; Red = China; Black = USA
4) Why chase after already bought markets, look for cheap markets that are ready to move…
I believe the green line is china
1) China
2) USA
3) Great Britain
4) Invest in the country that has the greatest growth potential.
Question: Is it OK to start to invest in China now or should we wait for a correction? If there is to be a correction when and how deep would it be?
Correction.
1) China
2) Great Britain
3) Green - China, Red - USA, Black - Great Britain
4) Invest in the country that has the greatest growth potential.
Question: Is it OK to start to invest in China now or should we wait for a correction? If there is to be a correction when and how deep would it be?
Brazil, US, Japan
With all the debt that the US has incurred when is the correction coming
and how much of one?
1- Brazil
2- Europe
3- china, usa, africa
4- Lagging
Martin, I have followed you for years. You are the best. I am not so concerned about personal investing right now. I am far more concerned about my business.
I don’t think its difficult to see which economies will grow or decline. What I want to know is what is the Dollar value in the next 12,24,36 months against other currencies.
Will we have Inflation or Deflation.
These things will have a dramatic effect on my small business, personal wealth and my available funds to invest.
I think the three best economies right now in this order are Brazil, China, India.
Q 1 China
Q 2 USA
Q 3 china, brazil. usa
Q.4 the lagging country if I can find out why.
Comment : Unfortunately, since every part of the USA is surviving on debt I have very little hope for the USA in the long run. The Fed is broke, the state are broke, and the average person is so in debt they are basically broke. Where is the money going to come from to fix this?
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months? Brazil
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months? USA
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
■The country ETF represented by the green line is up 65 percent; China
■The one represented by the red line is up 40 percent; Brazil
■The black one is up only 3 percent. –> USA or Japan
Care to guess what countries they are?
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? A country where the market has had the best performance so far this year? Or one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
I wouldn’t invest in the one, which has the best performance this year. Reason: Possibility of a bubble formation there. Everybody thinks that is the best country to invest in. I’d make my research on my own and invest in the one which is lagging but will have a good performance in the future.
I do not try to predict the stock market. I let it tell me what to do. I have certain core positions. My interest is preservation of capital and dividends as a retired investor.
Regards,
1. China
2. U.S.
3. 65% Brazil, 40% China, 3% No Idea
4. Lagging performance
China, India, US. Right now, the US looks like it has good value. Tea leaves, you gotta love-um.
Martin, I certainly agree with comments by Randall, on 08-05-09. ETFs is tracking the underlying shares and the sponsor is raking in a constant management fee. Investors are getting robbed! Definitely need to be investing in underlying shares and the gentle-man that is right up front with stock recommendations is Tony Sagami. Markets really are a rigged casino in the house’s favor. Sure makes you shy from any investing now!
1 China
2 Australia
Brazil
Q1 India
Q2 The United States of America
Q3 Top: Qatar; Middle: US; Bottom: Japan
Q4 Whichever has the better prognosis for the near future.
Do you think the US dollar will be devalued this year? If so, when? September? How should we be preparing ourselves?
Do you still trust SLV, the silver ETF, after they were alleged to have several duplicate serial numbers of silver bars in their inventory database?
1. China, 2. Brazil, 3. Japan
Martin,
I’m not commenting about your questions, but I do have a suggestion for you. I think that one of your companies should start selling American Eagle Silver Dollar Coins. Why? Because I trust YOU, and I think that your company would charge a fair premium. When silver was trading at around $14 per ounce, American Eagle Silver Dollar Coins were selling for almost $24 each (they are one ounce coins) on eBay and at coin dealers. I am not a coin dealer, so I cannot buy these coins directly from the U.S. Mint, so I am at the mercy of dealers if I want to buy any. A Weiss company should become a dealer, and then sell the coins at a fair markup (maybe $1 or $2 per coin) to your readers.
1 - EWZ (Brazil)
2 - VTI (US)
3.Green –> EWZ = INP (65% - Brazil, India)
3.Red —-> FXI (40% - China)
3.Black —> VTI (3% - US)
4 - Which economy will perform best in the next 12 months ? I dont know, so I like to Diversify as follow:
4.1 - VWO - 30% (Emerging - 15% Trailing Stop)
4.2 - VT - 40% (World Total - 10% Trailing Stop)
4.3 - EEV - 15% (Emerging - Double Inverse - 20% Trailing Stop)
4.4 - SH - 15% (S&P 500 - Inverse - 10% Trailing Stop)
I will appreciate any comment on my answers. Thank you Dr. Martin Weiss for the opportunity to participate in the Quiz.
I am staggered by the Obama WH pushing gross, costly programs like stimulus give-aways, healthcare-by-government, rescues of banking, insurance and automobiles. All are resulting in the creation of national debt out of this world. The U.S. is assuming massive unsustainable debts that require daily selling of billions of debentures at ever increasing interest rates. RESULT: My currency is being debauched so rapidly that I find myself unable to correct my investments into SURVIVABLE NON-DOLLAR- DENOMINATED HOLDINGS. HELP ME.
Richard Earl Hansen 133040
Comment for Jeff Kelsey.
Jeff you can buy directly from the US Mint. You do not need to be a dealer.
1) ISRAEL
2) INDIA
3) CHINA
Thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. Where do you anticipate home mortgage interest rates to be in the next one to six months?
Blessings to you,
Bob Stiles
#1..Red China
#2..Green India
#3..Black US
Since we are retired & in our 80’s, we worry about income/stability, etc. It would be nice if you would occasionally include this segment of our population in your forecasts. It is also great to make something extra with ETFs. but these have to be watched daily,yes, exciting but becomes a real chore when doing yr/own investing.
Since we are retired & in our 80’s, we worry about income/stability, etc. It would be nice if you would occasionally include this segment of our population in your forecasts. It is also great to make something extra with ETFs…but these have to be watched daily…yes, exciting but becomes a real chore when doing yr/ow n investing.
1 China
2 USA
3 Green CHINA.REd India,Black Brazil
4 Spread over both 50 / 50
1) Brazil
2) UK
3) Green = China, Red = India, Black = Iceland
4) One that is lagging
Here’s my comment:
The S & P 500 Index is up 50% in 5 months. How much longer do you think such a rate can continue?
1. China
2. Europe
3. Brazil, South Korea, USA
4. one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
Q1. China
Q2. Euro zone
Q3. China - Green
Brazil - Red
India - Black
Q4. A lagging market with strong potential for growth.
1. Brazil
2. USA
3. 65% - Brazil, 40% - China, 3% - USA
4. Brazil - If US recovers, the rising tide will lift all boats including the ones that have already floated to the top.
If US doesn’t recover, Brazil will still benefit from growth in China, which is quickly outpacing the USA as Brazil’s major trade partner. Brazil is poised for a market correction as it is getting a little ahead of itself - perhaps a good launch opportunity for EWZ.
With inflation looming just around the corner, are there any plans to invest in products that will profit from high inflation?
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months? BRAZIL
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months? SPAIN / UNITED KINGDOM
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
As you can see,
The country ETF represented by the green line is up 65 percent; PERU
The one represented by the red line is up 40 percent; and CHINA
The black one is up only 3 percent. USA
Care to guess what countries they are?
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? A country where the market has had the best performance so far this year? Or one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
I’d be very interested
NEITHER - I would prefer to sit the sidelines for now. It’s to 50/50 to go in and invest now.
65% IS CHINA
40% IS BRAZIL
3% IS THE USA
1. 65%——–BRAZIL
2. 40%——–CHINA
3. 3%——–USA
THE GROWING ECONOMIES ARE THE ONES TO INVEST IN, BUT THE SLOWER ONES(NOT USA) MIGHT HAVE SOME CHEAPER ENTRY INVESTMENTS WTIH A FUTURE.
Question 1: China
Question 2: USA
Question 3:
Green line - China
Black line - USA
Red line - ???
1. China
2. Eurozone
3. China, India, Russia
4. Good performace
1) China
2) UK
3) Green - China
Red - India
Black - USA
4) Probably the country which is lagging but can be bought more cheaply.
Final Question, if I may:
Awhile ago you recommended the Federated Prudent Global Income Fund which at that time had the ticker symbol “PSAFX”. Your recommendation now has the symbol “FPGCX”. Please can you explain the difference and advise if I should sell PSAFX and buy FPGCX?
Thank you.
I Would not invest in any of those markets.
As they are VERY overextended in both price and sentiment
And with global DEFLATION about to raise its head again… it will take DOWN ALL markets and Every investment Vehicle (Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, Real Estate, Precious metals, Currencies,) You name it … Only CASH will be King.
JK
Connecticut USA
Re:What do you think about how the government is spending our money?
Whether Health Care, Cash for Klunkers, bailouts or stimuli, which are masked political paybacks, payoffs or just hush money to make everyone dependent on the government for HANDOUT (remember Hilary’s Christmas present campaign ad?….each justified expenditure is a piece of a larger strategy, hatched by community organizers Richard Cloward and Fances Piven, two 60’s professors of social work at Columbia University. These progressives envisioned capitalism as the root cause of social injustice. Their solution was to organize the NWRO, the National Welfare Rights Organization, in order to bring down “the system” by holding it accountable to its own rules. Their vision was to overwhelm the beaurocracy with entitlement claims in order to crash the system….out of the ashes, their socialist utopia would arise.
Fast forward to 2009, and you can see the economic crisis as being the serious crisis that Hilary and Rahm “do not want to go to waste”. Bailouts, stimuli and expanding entitlements…the triple threat to crash our economy and transition our nation to its new foundation. Still, most Americans believe that our Constitution and Bill of Rights is still just swell, and is a foundation worth preserving.
Meanwhile, the unrestrained jihad is building an ubergovernment around our worn out institutions….executive Czars ruling in Washington, the Apollo group concocting cap and trade, health care, etc. and local community organized ACORNistas as a new govt. employee class to insure proper attitudes locally.
It is important to understand that the purpose of Healthcare reform is neither to make medicine better, any more than cap and trade will do anything for the environment, nor that the stimulus will create jobs or prevent the loss of jobs. This is a design to crash our economy in order to create something different.
It is like riding an airliner that has been hijacked. The passengers are waking up that they are going somewhere other than they originally planned. The problem is the guy in the cockpit can steer us into turbulence or even crash the plane in order to create a new crisis, that he will not waste….so folks, say a prayer and “let’s roll!”
I am holding Series E Savings bonds purchased through payroll reductions over the past 20 years. Should I sell?
Best growth for the year, China
Worst, I hope I’m wrong, but US.
For number 3, I will plead ignorance, but I will read the comments and choices of some of the other contributors.
#4: I would rather buy a low priced investment that looks like it has a good chance of moving up as time goes forward.
Good investing to all.
#1 China #2 Euro or India #3 U S A
Seeing Goldman’s are back in ‘profit’ but have trebled their “one day loss maximum”, it seems to me that last year’s bail-out was only like giving a loan to a gambling addict to pay off his debts.. he only goes straight back to the bookie to place an even bigger gamble, and even if he wins, he cannot keep away until his money runs out again. The ‘end game’ is generally either cold turkey in re-hab, or swimming with concrete shoes in the local creek. As there is no sign of any banking re-hab, I guess its the river-bed? Oh for the old days when the bank manager only lent out money for an umbrella when it was dry and asked for it back when it was raining. At least you knew he was taking good care of your deposits and not using them for his gambling habit!
#1 Brazil
#2 Europe
#3 Green China…Red Brazil…Black USA
#4 The strong one, but only on a decent pullback
1.Oil
2.auto
These are my answers to the first two questions on your quick quiz.
Sorry for my ignorance in understanding the questions. I am knew at this. It may be better that I not participate until I learn the system and know what is being asked.
Answer1 . Brazil will top the chart.
Answer 2. USA will be the country lagging behind.
Answer3. Green is China, Red is Brazil, Black in USA
Quesstions
1. China
2. USA
3. Brazil - 65%, China - 40%, USA - 3%
4. Best performance so far.
#1 China
#2 U.S.
#3 EWZ - Brazil 65%
FXI - China 40%
Dow Jones - U.S. 3%
#4 Invest in the economy with the best performance and follow it closely with a stop loss
Red : = China
Green = Brazil & India
Black = U.S. & UK
Q.4 As you know timing is everything, so if you are in for the long haul then invest in the country that is lagging. If it is short term gain then go for the country that is profiteering from the current financial climate now. But watch for the inevitable gravy train to reach saturation, then be prepared to pay the ferryman.
In other words, we will have to pay for the money currently loaned to us from China.
They expect a decent return, and watch what happens if that doesnt happen one way or the other.
I believe we have created our own monster…everyone is included in this..
1. Brazil should enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months because it is more natural resource independent than any other country in the world, has developed the flex engine, and has huge deep-water oil and gas reserves off its coastal shores.
2. I believe that the United States of America will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months because its government just throws large amounts of borrowed money at its financial problems; the nation is carrying an absurd amount of debt and continues to print tremendous amounts of fiat money; the USA is energy dependent in a huge way but still without a viable energy energy plan.
3. The country ETF represented by the red line with 65% growth is China
The country ETF represented by the green line with 40% growth is either Brazil or India.
The country ETF represented by the black line with 3% growth is the USA.
4. I would prefer to invest in the democratic country which has the best opportunity for sustained growth. I choose Brazil because the country is energy self-sufficient, has abundant natural resources, a sound currency, a growing GNP, and a large land mass which is fertile and suitable for agriculture. My second choice would be Canada.
1. China
2. Great Britain
3. a. China
b. India
c. Brazil
Dear Professor Weisse; With the Congress continuing to spend like drunken fools I expect Red China to sell all of our debt that they have bought on the open market in one massive sell order. That is when I think the Dollar will just turn to dust and some other currency will become the default world trading currency. What will happen here in the U.S. when the Chinese Government does that? Will the U.S. Stock Market go to zero or negative numbers that everyone used to play with in Hight School?
I think that there is still going to be a huge world collapse of everything. The world can’t pull itself out of all this debt when no one has the money to pay off all this imaginary debt with money that the Kapuchin Monkey at the Federal Reserve keeps pulling out of his ass everytime he presses those stupid buttons on his chair or desk. It has no value. The United States Dollar should be backed by a new gold standard. One George Washington U.S. Dollar for one ounce of gold. This would instantly revalue the Dollar and devalue gold at least domestically so that we could stabilize the value of the dollar even if the Chinese dump all of our debt at once. Gold would be devalued and that would make it possible for the gold mines in the U.S. to be opened up since it would cost less to mine for gold since the price of everything will come down when the economic collapse comes. Everyone with a shovel and a spoon would be digging their own claim and mine into the gold areas of the North American Continent.
The price of oil will collapse since the economic collapse will bring everything to a screeching halt and everything will start back over at zero. Well I like my solution but it probably won’t ever happen; what with idiots in Washington that are taking this country down the road to National Socialistache Deutche Arbiter Partei. Arbeit Macht Frei.
I will be away from home when seminar takes place. Will there be a web page to go to to view the record of the event?
Q1:China best
Q2:Britain worst
Q3:Green - China
Red Russia
Black USA
Q4:Invest - a strong currency with good returns Canada? If China has to be US quoted
PS Your Foundation Alliance has surely discovered Oil will be stronger than Gold in 5 years to 11 years and silver could reach $1000 p. oz. in 5 to 30 years
1. China
2. England
3. Brazil, China, India
4. Not enough info
Hello Martin, et.al., I have a question that I hope you and yours can shed some light on: On the subject of the advent of High Frequency Traders (HFTs) and their impact on the markets, and considering that they may account for up to half of the volume in all US markets using computer programs designed only to manipulate prices, do you, Larry, Claus and your associates believe thier impact significantly affects the reliability of technical and cyclical indicates as timing tools? I appreciate the resolve good historical and fundamental analysis provides us but timing the markets often leaves me uncomfortable, and I am wondering how you and your associates factor new technologies and associated market behaviors into your overall guidance? I would also like to thank you all for your work and guidance.
Question #1: China best GDP growth
Question #2: Iceland worst GDP growth
Question #3: Green China, Red India, Black USA
Question #4: best performance so far this year
60% - China
40% - Brazil
3% - USA
Hi Martin,
Before I answer your questions, can you please tell me if you are still holding 5000 being the bottom (short term, long term…etc.) for the DOW. You talked about how you have seen market rallied so much after a big downturn. Yet you asked your subscriber to sell on the rallies right after it hit the bottom in Nov. 2008, and in March 2009. In your safe money report you asked investor to get into DOG and other inverse ETFs when the Market hit it’s low in NOV. 2008. In March 2009, you still did not ask the investors to take at least half of the profit from the inverse ETF.
From Rachel’s post (rachel 08.05.09 at 4:13 PM
i am a subscriber and it seems Claus has been really off target, i am turning exceptic) I can see how people start to feel about the services you provide.
I am not saying that the DOW will or will not hit a bottom at 5000, since I can see the Market rallying so much since March low, and at the same time I can see how many time the market kept hitting the bottom in year 2000 – 2003.
I would like to see a systemic way where you show us to take some profit off the table, instead of going for the home run.
I guess understanding the perception of the majority about the market/economy is as crucial as understanding the fundamentals of the economy.
BTW, I like to read the articles that you provide and I can see myself being with M&M and SMR for a long time.
Best Regards,
Lawrence
Martin, I don’t see any growth when you see Marxists pushing for socialism. This country is heading in a dangerous situation. If they succeed, investment will be only for the elite. Terri
Question #1: Brazil
Question #2: don’t know
Question #3: Green Turkey, Red Brazil, Black USA
Question #4: best valuation
1. China
2. USA
3. China, India, USA
4. China
I’m an Australian investor holding part of my portfolio in Gold which is of course is in US dollars. How should I best hedge my Australian dollar value ?
I have access to the US market through a US broker
1st Best Germany
2nd Worst USA
3rd Germany, China, Canada
4th Invest in the strong market
Red-China. Green-Brazil. Black-USA. I would and have been investing in China and Brazil thanks to Tony’s and everyone else’s valuable insight. Thank you! Gary Alvarez
green china
red india
black australia
I only have 4000a$ i hope gold go through the roof come on inflation
I don’t know enough to answer these question. But, I really want to participate.
Question #1. Which MAJOR national economy do you think will enjoy the best GDP growth for the next 12 months?
Ans: Asia/Emerging and developing economies (China, India, Brazil)
Question #2. Which one do you think will suffer the weakest growth (or biggest decline) in the next 12 months?
Ans: Uk/Germany/Italy/euro, japan
Question #3. The chart to the right shows the net change in three country ETFs since the beginning of the year. Each one is linked to the major stock market index of a single country.
For Green and Red it could be two of the following four.
Russis (eg. Market Vectors Russia- RSX - 14.21(Jan, 2009) - 24.00(Currnet))
Turkey (eg. TUR - 27.74(Jan, 2009) - 47.12(Currnet))
China (eg. FXI)
Brazil (eg. EWZ)
Black 3% could be the USA for the Dow Jones
Question #4. Which would you prefer to invest in? A country where the market has had the best performance so far this year? Or one which may be lagging but can be bought more cheaply?
I would rather be patient to invest in a country where I either live in or I am familiar with. So my first choice is USA and then it would be South Asia (eg. India, Bangladesh).
I am yet not the kind who likes to buy high and sell higher. I believe in valuation and I look for the best value.
Thanks,
1. Brazil
2. UK / US
3. Green line Brazil (maybe India, doing well but not ostentatious)
Orange line China
Black line UK
4. lagging buut cheaper if there were likely good prospects
Sorry, I’m new to trying to understand finance, but I do find your papers interesting and informative. Have you read Arthur Hailey’s book The Moneychangers? There’s a character in that who sort of equates to you.
Question 3. 65% -USA , 40% - China, 3% - Brazil
I tend to differ on the trends as i feel US Markets are aggregating positions which may yield better profits than emerging markets (china , india & brazil). Moreover due transparency in business conditions and govt policies for US markets , predictability is easier than emerging markets.
Question #3
China has best growth thus far.
Brazil is second to China.
Mexico had the worse growth.
The communists nation of China is way down on my list of places to invest whether they are doing great or not. I am interested in finding a currency that will hold value as protection against a dollar bust. I am also interested in finding a brokerage outside the USA to hold funds in. This is not to avoid taxes, but to put a little distance between me and the scary government I see forming in this country.
my answer to the quiz- 1st country- Brazil, 2nd China, 3rd USA
Q1. Hard to say.
Q2. Probably US (for the 12-month term).
Q3. 65% - PGJ; 40% - EWA; 3% - EWJ.
Q4. Russia or Japan look cheap, but it does not mean you can expect the steepest growth there. It comes to MY questions:
1. Do you thing the Chinese bubble will burst in the next 12 months?
2. Do do you expect from Latin America (mostly Brazil)?
3. What is your take on the US biotech sector for the next 6-8 months?
1. China 2. USA 3. China, India, USA 4. Best Performer
china,brazil,us @ 3per cent
1. China 2.Great Britian 3. USA 4. Sweden