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Yesterday, the unthinkable happened: General Motors — one of America’s oldest, largest and most respected companies — went bankrupt.
This morning, this venerable, 100-year-old company …
This firm that survived two world wars … The Great Depression … the Korean and Vietnam wars … the oil shock, recession and runaway inflation of the 1970s … and scores of other shocks over ten long decades …
This great icon of American innovation and success … won court approval to begin liquidating its assets as soon as possible.
These are dark days indeed — a personal catastrophe — for GM’s employees and for hundreds of thousands of other workers at dealers and suppliers who thought they had jobs that would last a lifetime.
But the implosion of GM is more than just the guarantee of surging unemployment rates as far as the eye can see. And it’s much more than just the failure of one of our most powerful engines of economic growth.
For nearly a century, GM has served as a metaphor for the overall U.S. economy — the harbinger of things to come for the stock market, for investors and for every American family.
For nearly five generations, most economists accepted the mantra, “As General Motors goes, so goes America.” And those words were never truer than they are today.
The simple truth is, debt killed GM. The company could have easily weathered this economic storm had it not buried itself beneath a $173 billion mountain of debt.
Is America Next?
In its failed attempts to save GM, AIG, Fannie and Freddie, the entire banking sector and many other companies, Washington is now creating its own Mt. Everest of debt.
But Washington’s debt bubble makes GM’s pale by comparison — and it’s inflating the size of that bubble at the staggering rate of $3.8 billion per day.
As we’ve seen in recent weeks, Washington’s record-shattering spending binge is already crippling the economy. Treasury prices are cratering. Rising interest rates — the kiss of death in a weakening economy — are already increasing borrowing costs for companies and consumers.
Meanwhile, in what has proven to be a failed attempt to stop the surge in interest rates, the Fed is feverishly printing dollars — creating money out of thin air — to buy more than $700 billion in bonds so far this year.
So the question of the day — the single most important question any investor can answer now — is simply this:
Will America survive?
How do YOU feel rising interest rates and record-shattering money-printing will impact your income and investments in the weeks ahead?
Which investments do you expect to spin off substantial profits next? Select U.S. stocks? Foreign stocks? Currencies? Precious metals?
Your opinion is critically important to me personally and to all of us here at Weiss Research. Just scroll down and use this blog to let me know what you think.
My team and I will meet you there to address your concerns, answer your questions, respond to your ideas and help in any way we can.
Good luck and God bless!
Martin

{ 1269 comments… read them below or add one }
No question it is sad. But take the emotional away and GM should not have been offered government money, nor accepted when offered. I believe GM was run with great incompetence. As you stated debt killed it. Where is all the cash from the haydays? Not only the debt but they are burdened down by the unions.
GM should have filed bankruptcy 9 months ago. That would have been the proper capitalistic approach.
Nothing surprises me anymore. I have been taking your advice and divesting myself of stocks. I am moving more and more into gold and GDX, I like China at this time. I am in TBT as well. I am movings up to 8% into TIP as an inflation hedge. I am back in OIL and agriculture through MOO and DBA. Looking forward to your broadcast tomorrow at noon.
Us farmers are so happy with the inflation that we can’t stop giggling, everyday we see the grain pices go up. It’s one big party and it’s about time fiscal irresponsibility kicked in, haven’t seen times so good since 1973 during the great russian grain robbery!
Crop rotation then was, corn, soybeans, florida! Now it is corn, soybeans, mexico!
Mr.Weiss,
I have read that JPM and Citi will be payed 100 cents on the dollar for their exposure to GM. Is there anyway you can monitor this situation? As this will be again another fleecing of the tax payers. Disclosure: I am short JPM Jan 2010 $5 put options.
HL seems to be having a lot of attention lately and I wanted to know your thoughts. With Gold and Silver seemingly going up and up, this seems like a good play. Cramer doesn’t seem to think so though?
Just curious….
vp
At first you have to replace these criminals at Wall Street and replace them with People
they have 1.Moral, 2. Dignity, 3.Faith to God. After then you can overhaul America.
I think President Obama is at first a good start…….
The answer is … we don’t know the answer! People like me who don’t spend all their time studying the markets are relying on people like you (who do!) to shed light on what we are seeing. The key question right now for me is ‘what is driving everything up right now?’ If I can identify these drivers (which are a mystery to me), then I might have better insight into the future. Thanks a lot!
Hi,
I believe that you have one of the best and most accurate understandings of the present financial situation that I have seen or heard. Thank you for your insight.
Before Jesus left this earth He said that He was coming back again. The present financial and political situation give me the impression that events may be developing that will soon result in His return.
God bless!
Martin: The financial situation is truly bad in many sectors (Financial Services, Airlines, Retailing, Insurance, Government, etc etc). But what is the real issue is truly poor management, terrible decision-making, high risk investments, incredible egos combined with magnificent personal payouts to those who took risk with the assets and the people, to benefit themselves. Your continued negative prognostications may be correct; but you might think about what drives markets, stocks, and also commodities. It is pure need and also (perceived present or future) VALUE. Responsible advisors, such as yourselves, would be better for America and the world to advise of POSITIVE investments and also POSITIVE ACTIONS for managers and investors.
At this point, one of the worst things that could happen would be a rebound in consumption. If that happens, it will lead a period of runaway inflation due to limits to comodity supplies, combined with all the global liquidity unleashed by the bailouts and the quantitative easing that many governments undertook lately. In the meantime, the govenment actions will generaly look like a good idea, since all the stimulus money and the bailouts are able to maintain a semblance of normalcy in people’s everyday lives. This continued illusion, serves to maintain public confidence in the system, which is a must in order to ensure the survival of the system.
As for the rise in treasury yields, they would have to rise much higher before trully afecting hopes of a recovery. Current yields and prices should atract some investors, which will allow for the contined financing of the debt incured by government. This in turn will allow for the contiued subsidizing of the economy through government spending. As a result, economic colapse is not iminent, but could happen in a very bad way down the road in a few years.
Regarding the 3 ways to buy short-term U.S. Treasuries (3 mos. or less), which are: directly from the Treasury, a U.S. Treasury-only Money Market Fund, or an ETF, I wondered which is the best vehicle for parking new money when the price of Treasuries is going down and interest rates are rising? Do you risk losing principle in this environment?
Hello Martin,
I’m Canadian and I’m very sad about what is happening presently, especially to America.
But, because several countries in the world depend on US economy, I think that it is something that will help USA to pass through the crisis. I don’t think it is in the best interest of them to see America going down.
Good luck and God Bless America
Jean
Of course America will not fail, we will just be put into a downward bear market spiral that will last a decade or so, but I think we will come out of this a better country. almost 15 years ago when I was in college (studying political science) we always talked about how the world hegemony would change from the US to China in 20 years. And it would not take a world war or nuclear catastrophe to see this transistion through. Even in the field of political science it was always economics that would drive us down to a point where we would end up making drastic changes to our lifestyle to survive. We are already seeing signs that the Asian markets will likely come out of this thing long before we do, and will probably not pull us out with them. Instead we will end up depending on what it is we do.
Without being said the money being spent on R&D right now in this country is staggering, almost 20 billion just for smart grid developments. Although it is a mountain of debt the investment will likely yield dividends in the future. As we will likely be the country that takes technoligies like this to the next level. We will have to in order to survive. And that is the real strength of America, we will do what is neccessary to eventually survive. The problem is how much money are we going to waste refocussing, because no one likes to see others suffer, so how bad will it get, probably pretty bad unless you are smart, pay attention to whats going on and of course be flexible, it is indeed the dawn of a new world.
I think you are right on target. Chrysler last month, GM yesterday and unfortunately, I believe that Ford will come under King O’s sceptre next year. Ford’s problem is they did it right. They mortgaged themselves to provide the operating capital to avoid problems. It will be the debt that brings them down as they try to compete with companies without debt.
I live in the Detroit area, and to say it has been pretty here–is an understatement. It has been 5 years that we have been in a recession, if not depression. House values are less than they were 10 years ago. Businesses are going out of business each day.
It is in this environment that I have a question–if the Dollar continues to lose value or is devalued by King O, all assets valued in dollars will lose value, including ETFs. Is it time to invest in hard assets such as diamonds, gold, silver? If so, would you invest in stocks of those assets or take possession of them? Where would you buy and how would you store them?
Thanks.
tom
Suggestions for investments for short-term (6-7 months) might be GOLD,. SILVER, commodities that are consumable (food, water, etc) and also cement. Why cement ? OPbama and the Chinese Administrators have collectively allocated over US$1.5 trillion in INFRASTRUCTURE projects that mostly have cement in common. The market on cement and (possibly US Made steel) could be much higher later this year. Second, after a modest correction of less than 20-25%, the price of oil will (again) doom past US$100 a barrel in the next few years, therefore driving up the prices of oil, gasoline, and plastic products. Again, here is a possibility for a longer term (2-3 years) hedge against inflation and also a gain !
Today, a financial planner I interviewed in order to find a more conservative advisor than the one I current retain — said he did not think he could work with me because I was a Fatalist — too doom and gloom in my beliefs. He said he sees the recovery coming soon and everything will go back to normal. GEEZ, is anybody in the financial planning world awake or are they telling their clients lies? I see hyperinflation as the only way out of this debt/currency crisis and I am just an average educated, not so good in math American, self employed, single mom in OKLA. Am I being a fatalist? Or a realist? Help - please tell me I am not alone! How in the world do I protect what little I have, keep our house, as we move into this oncoming crash I see on the horizon? Financial planners LAUGH when I inquire about holding physical precious metals - is this rediculous? How do I know the truth when I read it? Right now I am just trusting the small inner voice that says save, prepare, learn new skills, stay calm…
Martin - Are you taking into account the tremendous amount of “money” that the Treasury Dept. and Fed Reserve is injecting into the economy? By all rights, the stock market should have continued going down on March 9th, but “mysteriously” began it’s shocking and unsupported move upwards. There are folks saying that the government, in collusion with some of the banks and investment houses, is manipulating the markets for bank reliquification and to give the impression of recovery. Given that I have no idea what is going on “behind the curtain”, I am absolutely mystified about what to invest in, but have a number of short ETF positions in which I am being clobbered.
Dear Dr Wise,
I don’t disagree with any of your comments, however I think its important to state that the US car manufacturing industry was never very efficient, forward thinking or environmentally friendly, therefore any major economic downturn was likely to cause the collapse of these poorly managed businesses. GM will eventually emerge out of bankruptcy much leaner and less debt laden, therefore do you really think it is such a terrible thing that they are in chapter 11.
By the way, I think the US Government Bond Market and US Dollar are going to be in for a tough time in the near and medium term, therefore not holding US dollars or these Bonds may not make you any money but will stop you loosing it for sure.
Kind regards
Cliff Price
P.S. Going forward I feel Commodities linked to a green enviroment should prove to be wise investment
Dear Mr. Weiss, I’ve enjoyed your comments as well as those of your staff and have greatly increased my wisdom as a result. Presently, I am retired and depend on investments-but not Social Security yet for my income. I am a resident of Florida and I own two homes-one in Nebraska, and one in Naples, Florida. Both are debt free. In the current economic environment, would you recommend selling both homes (to cut the costs of maintaining two homes) and moving into one house in Florida, or would you recommend waiting until the economy improves before moving into one larger home? Do you see the residential housing market weakening considerably from what it is now-particularly in Florida? Keep up the outstanding work-all of you! Sincerely, Douglas
I TEND TO BE ANTI-UNION, HOWEVER GM MANAGEMENT DESERVES MUCH BLAME FOR RELENTING TO THE UNIONS DURING STRONG ECONOMIC TIMES TO KEEP THE PLANTS RUNNING AT ANY COST. THE PEOPLE I FEEL THE MOST SYMPATHY FOR ARE THE DEALERSHIPS AND SUB-SUPPLIERS. THE OVERALL ECONOMIC IMPACT WILL CERTAINLY BE HUGE ! WHAT ABOUT FORD AND THEIR ABILITY TO SURVIVE ? I HAVE NOT HEARD MUCH ABOUT FORD. I AM CONCERNED ABOUT OUR LACK OF INDUSTRIAL MFG. CAPACITY TO SUPPORT OUR MILITARY !
I am based in the UK, and tensions in the Euro Zone are mounting. Covert protectionism is rampant (particularly in the aftermath of the GM debacle) with Germany for example saving German car plants at the expense of Belgium. You have already recommended an inverse ETF in the US financial sector - but doesn’t the European sector have farther to fall?
I believe one must trade the foreign exchange currency market and then invest a good portion of the profits in gold for capital preservation.
For the last couple of decades GM has designed and manufactured extremely terrible vehicles that were inferior to Toyota, Honda, Nissan, etc. Management learned nothing from the auto industry crisis in the 1970’s/early 1980’s. By sinking so deep in debt in making dreadful trucks/suvs/cars, GM deserves to be bankrupt.
Hello Martin,
I think Larry Edelson broadly has it right concerning the best places to be over the next few years, namely natural resources, particularly oil and gold, with a currency hedge against a declining dollar (in addition to gold). The Far East will grow much faster than the West and will also be a draw on agriculture.
It is clear that the approach by Governments to the mountain of debt held by the US, UK and other Western economies will be to devalue. This will help the world economy rebalance and enable us all to get poorer in the most politically acceptable way. For those nations favoring socialist leaning policies this will be particularly so as a means of wealth redistribution. Holding natural resoources will be one of the best antidotes to this.
I am one of your million dollar contrarian investment subscribers and agree with the analysis of the world economy offered by Claus but I wonder about the effects of inflation on stock prices. At present company earnings are not rising so rising stock prices are making them much more expensive. But if the Fed is pumping vast quantities of new dollars into the economy is it not possible that we are witnesssing a stock bubble developing that could run for quite some time yet? If so holding inverse ETFs could prove very expensive.
Keep up the fantastic work that you and your team perform. I value highly all that you do, as no doubt do thousands of others.
Jonathan
Yes, America will survive, but it will take a lot pain and suffering for the American people before surviving.
Rising interest rates and money printing (or inflation) will reduce our buying power. So I am positioned already for this 2 things going forward.
Profit opprtunities:
1. Bear mkt funds already in place but would like to incorporate (especially Weiss Bear Strategy) still waiting for the program to be in our platform (hopefully very soon)
2. Inverse ETF on troubled asset class.
3. Precious Metals, Energy, Agriculture
Thank You and Good Luck to everyone………….
Interest rates rising will at least help retirees. Hopefully they will rise and stay a couple of points higher than inflation.
Martin,
Thank’s so much for your letter’s. As for your question; “Will America survive?” I feel that we are heading towards another big bubble crash in the commercial real estate sector with all the recent clousures & bankruptcy’s of fairly large businesses like GM, Chrysler, General Growth, Levit’s Furniture, Wick’s Furniture, Basett Furniture, Circuit City, Linen & Things, CompUSA, Joe’s, Mervyn’s, etc, etc. I just don’t see where in the near future there will be enough new business starts to fill all these empty stores along with so many smaller empty spots in the Mall’s in my area of Portland, Oregon. Now looking at this and the other place’s that have been hit even harder like Detroit I feel when this finally hit’s home we are in for a real rough ride making the housing crash look small in comparison. I hope I’m wrong and all this Goverment Stimulus will turn it back around, but I’m not to encouraged so far.
Thank’s Again,
Mark Clark
Even if the government owns a portion of every major bank in the USA; there will be a ‘once-in-a-lifetime’ opportunity to buy banks, again, at a 20% lower price. Try buying stocks such as STI and WFC and sit back for 3-5 years and get triple your money back (or more). Or set a price of 20-25% lower for the ETF known as: XLF and invest at a lower point than now, and hold for a good period of time, until you achieve a reasonably high goal (gain of >100% or >300% or more). This basket of stocks may really surprise you in the longer term, even if the negative prognosticators hate banks today. Learn from history: Continental Illinois Bank (1970s), Lockheed (1970s), Chrysler (1980), and others that have been ‘reorganizaed’ through various laws AND sometimes governmental help to a genuine comeback success.
It’s terrifying to me that “government” is going to “run” some of this country’s largest businesses, when “government” cannot run “government” with any responsibility and efficiency. To the naysayers, it’s not Bush’s fault or Obama’s (soon to be) fault…the blame goes to Congress…the ONLY answer is to vote against EVERY incumbent (we can’t get any worse) and, as Donald Trump would say…”you’re fired!”
America will survive, but our kids and grandkids will be paying for all this…we’re spending stimules money to reward the crooks…maybe we all should become crooks!
I am 51…..youngest of the old…..oldest of the young……..
I (vaguely) remember the days of no credit cards, living on a budget, eating healthy foods, and no computers or divorce.
I am back to it…… (except I think computers are not going anywhere)…..to stay……and have been since January of last year……as a Real Estate agent, and a baby boomer, I saw this coming…….our boys 15 and 12 (we started late) will either be living in the an economic America much like the 1950’s…… or a socialist country much like Europe…….
PRAY…..PREPARE……PROCEED……..
Margaret…Kings Mountain North Carolina
What about Gold? I have dropped totally out of the market except for GLD. Today, in the mail, I received an unsolicited report from a guy named Nick Guarino who states that Gold is about to crash! What say you?
We’re screwed.
Martin, Larry and co.,
My concern is that Uncle sam will be in bankruptcy. What court handles that? What becomes of all those who earned retirement in gov service et al? And US obligations worldwide? Truckloads of dollar bills to buy a loaf of bread
ala 1923 in Germany? And end game? Options, futures, inverse funds? Who pays for the gains expected?
- A curious 80 something old…
We might own a print shop ourselves.
hi guys
my name is Eddie , i am a German guy , living in South Africa.
i am a typical “gold bug” and am well invested in gold - and silver- minging stocks.
furthermore i am holding high dividend stocks in terms of MLP’s energy-funds.
also, i do believe in Chinese stocks much rather than in any american stocks. i will only invest in US -stocks, which you will recommand in your million $ contrarian portfolio.
for me, the comming missery for the US of Goldman is a forgone conclusion, and i feel sorry for the american taxpayer.
happy investing and good luck
Eddie
I am based in Canada and a subscriber of the MCP of Martin and Claus
Vogt. I bought the recommended US stocks in Canadian dollar but because
the US$ is depreciating compared to Cdn$ my portfolio is getting more
negative results because of the exchange rate. I sold my Kinross Gold
and El Dorado US stocks and bought it here at the Toronto Stock Exchange
(TSX). Is this the right thing to do? Do you have other better alternatives? Thanks.
I have seen gold and silver come and go. I think that it is a bit late to invest
very much in these, because they traditionally go down in price as precipitously as
they gain.
There are good values in stocks now, if you can separate the sheep from the goats.
Oil and energy, I think, will be good for the longer haul.
Certainly there will be others.
I am not confident that the bottom has been hit even yet, but I doubt we
will drop into the 4-5000s
With interest rates at historic lows, money is piling into the world’s bourses at the moment, as usual looking for the best return available.
But that money cannot be in two places at once, and as the stock markets look an increasingly attractive place to be, government bonds, paying ridiculously low yields given the risk of sovereign defaults, look increasingly forlorn.
The truth is that all that has happened is that the debt burden has moved up the food chain from insolvent home owners, via insolvent banks, and has come to rest with insolvent governments. But the debt is still there, and will somehow or other have to be financed.
As the song goes: “who will buy my sweet red roses, who will buy my sweet junk gilts” Not enough people methinks, and certainly not enough Chinese people. If government’ are to sell their bonds then they are going to have to offer very much higher rates of interest with the destructive knock on effect to the wider economy.
Inevitably, with the huge injection of liquidity that governments have pumped into the system, there had to be a reaction somewhere. It turns out that it manifested itself in a stock market rally, and before long, no doubt, in a commodity boom. But the fundamentals have not really changed. It seems to me that the financial system is rather like a company which is teetering on the edge that has miraculously found a new investor to pump fresh money in. For a while, to the outside observer, things look better. The chairman has ordered himself a new car, suppliers have to wait less time for their money, and the broken neon sign on top of the company headquarters has been fixed. But the company’s business operations which brought it to its parlous state, are not fixed, and when the cash injection runs out, normal chaos is resumed, only this time not only is the company bust, but so too is the benevolent investor.
The banks have not fixed their business. The toxic assets that nobody wants are still out there, unrealistically valued. The huge infusions of cash that they have received inevitably give the semblance of new found prosperity, but the huge credit bubble that fuelled their enormous profits will not return for a generation. Even if they had the funds available to lend, who is going to want to borrow at the previous level. In the same way that our parents and grand parents had a total aversion to debt developed as a result of the 1930’s catastrophe, so too will our generation follow. The credit card junky will become a piece of history, and the consumer boom fuelled by the borrowing habit will not return for a very long time.
Hi Martin: I am a foremore GM dealer, I sold my two franchises in 2000 and put the money into my Honda store. This was a very good move for my family and me.I feel very sorry for everyone but the hand writing was on the wall for 20 years. Going forward we have big problems, GM is still an unsatainable business model here is why the two governments and two unions who well run GM well not build a quality car that the public will buy. Also our brillant central planners (who run the gov.) well run gas up to $6-7 thinking this well save Government Motors and they can collect $Billions in more revenue, but they forget that other players sell cars in North America and have them beat on quality and gas mileage i.e. cost of ownership. This is also a metaphor for our wonderful country.Like GM and our states they well now go to Washinton every year and beg for more money.
What are the prospects or probability that the Up-Tic rules will be restored so as to have protection against volatility caused inability of brokers to honor stop loss and limit Forex orders?
If the average American beleives one must stand on his own two feet, the future for our country is bright.
If that average Amercian beleives he will enjoy the benefits of our nation without person cost then the USA is doomed.
Every advantage or benefit has an ofsetting cost. Each individual must be allowed to decide for himself how much effort or cost he is willing to expend in the pursuit of any desired benefit or advantage.
I cannot decide what a particular benefit is worth to you, or vise versa.
If I do not decide for myself, the government will tell me what benefits I will enjoy and tell me what the cost will be. This may sound good to a slacker, but it is unacceptable to anyone who aspires to a productive and prosperous life for himself and his family.
We must be come politically astute, ellect good peopel, and make sure serving in Washington is a temporary job with spartan benefits.
I agree with most of your assessments in the American Economy.
We are obviously in trouble but. . . there is a hope in the horizon and that is:
America will rise and surprise it’s critics once more. . .
Our future is in our resolve to fix what is broken and never lose hope.
I think government is trying to make America fall and unless God intervenes it may very well happen.
All this is a shame and a show of force of arrogance. That goverment is smarter than we and they have the solution. I wonder how much time do we have before we, THE US, implodes. 24 months? 18 months?
What is the end game supposition of the regime ?
Too me it is looking bleak for our nation as a whole.
I di not see that we, the people, are being given the information we need in order to be able to even guess at what is REALLY going on in our government.
We hear a great many stories..most of them differing points of view, and all spoken as absolute fact. We have a “secret” group of “world Billionaires” who now dictate world population, as weel as other unknown matters thet we are not allowed to share. We have a president who determines in the religious capacity for us.
It appears to me, that our ideas for the future of the country lie, not in the constitution, or in what we understand of the past, but in a new plan for our future, but not with us…a path being designed for us, without our help, but not with our input. or any recognition of our needs or desires, or freedoms. The government is taking over private business..What happened to “Free Enterprise”.
And everyone is accepting all of this as “just fine”..! Well..I am not accepting any of this hokum..!
My family arrived on the Mayflower…America runs deep in my blood. No one is big enough to quiet my right to speak out against wrong..! I may go to jail for what I say..I may die under the jail..
but I will die an AMERICAN…
Abraham Lincoln said thet America would never fall from the outside, but might fall from the inside. Well..What do you think we are looking at..?
Where are our REAL leaders..They are out there somewhere..It’s time to find them…or…else.
The economy.? Well..do you want this nation to stand..or don’t you..?Frankly, I do..! We can do it, but in order to do it, we need to regain what we have lost and are losing…SOMEONE DOES KNOW HOW..and I say..elect that person..! KICK ASS..!
Mia Archer..for America..!
Since 2005 I have had 75% of my liquid assets in half gold and half silver, and then 10% following your MDCP guidance. This has more than doubled my liquid assets over these four years of frustration for so many, and I will stay safe under your wings for many years to come. Thank you for your guidance, Martin!
In 1912, General Motors published an advertisement that began “The Penalty of Leadership” and ended, “that which deserves to live, lives!” The people who have no higher skill level than assembly-line work are in for a very bad time in the next couple of decades, but with a population of about 300 million people, about 10 million new cars will be sold or leased each year, and people will still buy, lease, drive and maintain used cars. Life will go on, but without GM and its nameplates. That’s called life, and it does go on. If a “new” GM can go on, good; if it can’t, other nameplates will take its place. If the United States Constitution ends up on (or in) the ashheap of history, life will still goes on. My money is for China to become the world’s dominant economic power for about half a century, with the U.S. as one of its client states, and then it’ll be succeeded by another dominant economic power. America doesn’t have a divine right to worldwide economic dominance — it only lasted from the end of World War II until 2008, and now it’s somebody else’s turn. Entrepreneurs will just have to adjust to changing economic conditions — “that which deserves to live, lives!”
Let’s end this madness by allowing the Federal Reserve to manipulate our lives. If you too would like to see Ben Bernanke squirm and finally discover what the Fed has been up to behind the scenes, call and write your representative and ask that they support the “Federal Reserve Transparency Act H.R. 1207″. God Bless Ron Paul.
I believe the markets will rise on pure hype, manipulation, and false hope until the end of the summer. Then rising rates, surging unemployment, a more serious round two of swine flu will finally collapse this market to deep new lows. If you still want to play long in the market at this stage of the bear rally still, I’m doing it with covered calls in case I wake up one morning and the market is down 10% over-night just because it should be. Good luck and be careful out there.
All this is a shame and a show of force of arrogance and that goverment is smarter than we and they have the solution. I wonder how much time do we have before we, THE US, implodes. 24 months? 18 months?
What is the end game supposition of the regime ?
I live in CA Bay Area. It doesn’t appear to be hit so hard here. I read lots of doom & gloom on websites, but when I get around outside and talk to people it’s no different then the recession of 1991-1993 era. There are people unemployed, but this economic situation still hasn’t really left significant impact on most. I am taking pay cuts at work about 15%. I read a good book called “High Wire: The Precarious Lives of American Families” that preety much describes the vibe here. People are just finding other means of supplimenting their income–sometimes illegal (but that’s business as usual here).
I don’t know how many of your readers are 80+. I have enough in cash and Treasury only money market funds to pay my expenses for the next 8 or 9 years. Should I be wasting my time researching investments? The thing is I sort of enjoy doing it and making a small bet on gold, commodities or currency now and then.
It would be great to hear what you think. I realize your investment advice is directed to those with a little more distant time horizon.
Many Thanks,
Larry Miller
The government is faced with the following prospects
1. Cut spending - highly unlikely
2. Raise taxes - too unpopular (and too much would be required)
3. Turn to socialism or fascism (would probably cause an open rebellion)
4. Borrow and print more money and inflate to cover it all up
Guess which one they’ll choose? The Republicans criticize the Democrats and vice versa, neither one will change the game
Nothing seems to have changed since the days of Caligula and Nero and through to the Weimar Republic and now us. Since we don’t seem to learn our inflationary lessons from history I guess we’re doomed to repeat the same mistakes over and over again.
I’m confused about the mixed messages I have received from Weiss. The latest Safe Money recommended shorting Emerging Markets and then you sent out a recommendation to purchase U.S. Global Funds. Those two recommendations seem to be inconsistent.
Geithner is in China, he was taking questions from students, they laughed at him when he answered a question that he thought US and China assets were safe.
I just think the whole financial system/fiat monetary had reached an endstage — the whole thing is a GONER! So, what’s been happening are manifest symptoms of a rotten system larded with greed, deceptions, fraud, gangsterism, …., it’s very deserving to meet its end. Again, It’s a Goner! No matter what they had tried and will try to save it!
I expect to spin off my U.S. Stocks, as I do not own any of the others listed.
Martin,
There is one huge ASSUMPTION beneath everything, and that is the U S country won’t and can’t go under.
But right now we are in the biggest BUBBLE of all time. The U.S> government buying and supporting companies (Fanny, Freddy, Gm, Aig, and many others) and banks ( Jp Morgan, Bank of America, Citi, etc) and all to the tune of about 13 TRILLION dollars. Where is the money coming from ? It isn’t from taxpayers. It is from the printing press. What is backing this printing ? NOTHING. It is air money. No one has earned or saved it. This printing process has worked for many years for us but now when the bubble is burst ( and I think it will happen sooner than later ) There is no economy and there is no money. Money is a fallacy just like the printing press air money, and now we will have to rely on the genuine magnificent heart of the American people.
By the way, your accounts at banks will be stolen just like they were from me in the crash of ‘87. When people are desperate they do desperate things.
Marty Doyle
Lets see, in 1960, three silver dimes bought a gallon of gas, Today three silver dimes buys a gallon of gas, In 1862 Henry firearms sold their first rifle for $40 two gold coins, and Today the similar rifle is $1895, wow two ounces of gold. Protect your savings.
The market will re-crash over the next three months, load up on the shorts. Now we have GM the peoples auto….. you know like in Germany with the VW. Good luck, stay protected and the ammunition dry..
is it time to buy stocks?
I think we should have let GM die on its own instead of propping it up, it will eventually fade away anyway. We should not be propping up all these companies, let them fail, in the short run it will be painful, but in the long run we will be better off. Alexander Hamilton is probably rolling over in his grave as our capitalistic society is slowly turning into a socialistic society. As for current investments I like some of the biotecs as DNDN and a MLP exchange traded fund TYG w/ 8.5% yield. Have a good day all.
I believe that the US will have a very long depression due to the greed of Wall Street and the Feds. The Feds will silently rob us through inflation with their money printing and we will work 16 hour days 7 days a week just to make ends meet. My old boss from Verizon told me, “Gone are the days of the 40 hour work week. To make ends meet and to accomplish our goals in this company you must put in extra hours and effort to do what it takes to get the job done.” This has been the work ethic of struggling companies in a struggling economy. This means companies expect you to do more work and don’t pay you for it which means- they are cutting back! I believe we may not make it through the decade as these are warning signs.
401K, forget about them. They have so much crap in them, you lose out even when the market is up. Some factors pull it down and make you earn less than if you chose winners. Of course, inflation will be so much on the rise to pay back the mountain of debt that even the raises and interest you get from banks or money market accounts won’t cover it. I would say it will be > 11%.
The best protection against this inflation is precious metals and commodities (whatever you can physically get your hands on or else the ETFs or stocks from junior mining or agriculture companies.) As far as stocks, invest in BRIC countries- Brazil, China, India, and Russia. I tried currencies but I didn’t like it because of the risk.
The US news is so bad that they try to sweep it under the rug. The analysts get the reports before the public then cite a number lower than the real reported number and then they say it’s “better-than expected.” For example, the unemployment official number is 9.7% then they say they predicted it at 10% after seeing the official number and then they report that unemployment is “less-than-expected”. This is where all these green shoots are coming from. To me, this is a sign of desperation and a last ditch effort to get suckers to buy stocks. Heck, they even dropped the lowest grades from the Dow Jones Industrial average. If your grades are 20, 60, and 100 and you drop the 20 and replace it with an 80 then of course your average will go up from a 60 to an 80. Wall Street is so full of Bull%^&* that we even had a bull market these past 3 months. We are long overdue for a correction and it needs to happen soon or else we will be in this depression for “longer-than-expected”.
Anyone seen “Soylent Green”?
JD
I think that the market is going to go straight down …thats what this administration wants so they can rebuild us as a marxist/socialist country so i bought so far 8.4 shares of DXD its a double inverse etf
Key Question: In the shorter term (6 months to 1 year) will we have continued (and even worsening) deflation before we have run-away inflation, or will we have inflation followed by deflation? In all cases, ultimately, I believe we will have a severe case of inflation.
I am very concerned at this juncture. I often wonder will my Social Security survive the ordeal.
you seem very bearish and bleak about USA which yu have been insisting on since quite
a few months, and yet the markets have rallied very strongly since March 9. Inspite of GM’s bankruptcy yesterday, the market closed very high . the Dow is only fractionally down from year-to-date, whereas the other 2 indices are up. All other markets including European , which is beyond logic, are much higher year-to-date. The impending further downturn does not still appear to be happening. the investors do not have so much patience to wait for 3 months for the forecast to come to reality. If Dow has gone from 7300 to 8800 since you predicted further downturn, and now if it goes back to 7000, it will not carry the same happy memory.
you had also predicted stronger dollar , but since the stock markets did not go down, the dollar went weaker, …….although very rightly gold has gone up.
I am long dollars against Euro and suffering heavy losses. I wish to seek advice from you if one should seek exit at this level of 1.43 , though i feel that Euro gains are highly overextended both fundamentally and technically but it is the fear that now is gripping me. Please offer guidance.
Regards,
Kishin.
The USA will not survive, massive societal collapse will lead to civil war, and international subjugation at the hands of foreign economic and eventually military invaders. So sad so bleak, but a new dawn will open in which we will have learned some lessons, it always does!
My opinion is quite simple. This past year we elected our first Communist President. We didn’t need China or Russia to conquer us. We did it to ourselves. I doubt strongly that there will be a Presidential election in 2012. For this and other reasons, I believe paper money is dying, dying, dead. Commodities with intrinsic values are the only things to own and hold.
Bananna Republic management tactics, will lead to Bananna Republic results. The 536 elected (misrepresentatives) officials in DC, our President and Congress, obviously have no concern about ever paying back the mountains of irresponsible debt obligations they have inncurred. As long as buyers of our Treasuries continue to support this agenda we will continue to dig in deeper. There is no mathmatical way to pay this money back, unless the dollar is substantially devalued, and even then it may still be impossible. This country would be well served if Treasury investors would stop buying US Treasuries and perhaps that would restore some common sense to our elected officials.
Blaine Savage
SLC UT
First, I would like to thank Martin for providing people like me the tools to weather this crisis. I first heard Martin speak at the New Orleans Investment Conference in 2003. He has been correct at every turn of the US and Global Economy.
Precious Metals will most likely be the best place to be. Commodities will most likely follow. Most will rather own hard assets than the promise of payment. Thanks again.
It is just a matter of time. At one time I thought holding on to my dollar (cash) would be safe, but nmow I know even that is no longer true. This is not just about economice conditions, but rather man’s inability to control their greed. Civilizations have come and gone, and one day so will ours, but this time “its a global thing”. I’ve taught my children to hope and pray for the best but consider and perhaps expect the worse. I think we (USA) will all need to learn how to be hungry, like so many other people in this world.
America will survive.
Interest rate will go up and dollar going to devaluate but Mr. Bernake going to play hockey game and make goal either in mid August or in December i.e. The day US govt. took charge of wall street. He is going to bring same Dow Index. and then make exit. After that market will fall and come back by own.
Gold and Currency are good play but Mr.Bernake keep under control by Oil price and some other manipulated data.
Vijay
My question ,, how do we as citizen make it (survial)? We need a bail out. I think the white house (DC) need to rethink how and what they are doing when it comes to spending money. Is there any money for colleges/education for our youth?
i work for a living so i watch the stock market, not play in it. but investors are going to drive oil back up. that will drive everything else up. inflation sets in and the working class suffer. my wife and i will grow a garden, can and dehydrate all that we grow. i wish i could have bought gold when i first saw this coming. i would still do it if i had money to spare.
I would think the precious metals and Asian markets would be the most secure right now, but then who would’ve thought Grandpa’s GM stock would be worthless!
Past performance may not be indicative of future results.
What is happening now in America has never happened before anywhere on the earth at any time. Nothing even similar, not even The Great Depression.
The Obama adminstration’s destruction of the basis for commercial law in the US by their actions in regard to the AIG bonuses has undermined the entire capitalist system in this country.
Why would anyone in their right mind invest in anything that even vaguely depends on a contract with any company in the US? And the US economy is still the strongest in the world at this time so all other economies are, for now, dependent on it to some degree.
It’s not so much an issue of GM or AIG or Citi or any one company’s troubles as it is about the “solution” being applied and the method of applying that “solution.”
I don’t think we’re in Kansas anymore, Toto.
The United States as we know it is economically, morally and spiritually bankrupt. We need to forgive all the debt and start all over. We need to elimate the current federal government and revised the government based upon the 28 principles of our founding fathers. We are a failed nation. We truly need to term limit all elected offices to one term only. No more career politicians and bureaucrats who think they know better. Regarding education no tenure for college professors and public school teachers. We also need to elimate the unions as well. No more social security, medicare and medicade, no universal health care for all. We need to closed our borders and not allowed any more immigration into our country for at least a decade.
I am an artist. I know little about the financial markets other than what my common sense tells me. I sold my investment property two years ago at a peak because I watched people leveraging their equity to buy marble countertops with gold taps and new forty thousand dollar vehicles. I watched people vote in a government that spent billions on war adventures twice and wondered how long they could afford to do that. I can’t help but crack a smirk when I hear investment councilors say that “no one saw this coming”.
Even after all this has happened, governments still think that they can spend their way out of this. It boggles the mind.
Dr. Weiss, I started to deleate your letter before I ever read it because I have so little to invest, I can’t see it mattering, plus I know very little about the market, if anything. However I do know whar rezileance meanseven if I may have misspelled it. This week I’m supposed to come into some money to buy a car. I want a Cadillac. I probably won’t get enough money to buy a new one, but I want one none the less. I know how I have made, won gambling and lost millions over the last twenty years. Things look pretty bleak for me right now, but I’m not willing to give up. I’m 55, and feel and look half that. Every month I have to buy medications that cost a bundle, until I stumbled upon Rite Aid. Rite Aid is the only pharmacy I’ll go to if at all possible. We, as Americans, in the capitalist society have to be a little greedy and hungry foor more to survive. Rite Aid on the other hand charged me close to a hundred dollar savings on 2 name brand medications. I called every pharmacy within fourty miles of where I lived, they all had raised their prices dramatically in one month. I was prepared to take a hit from them too, but because I became a member of a Rx Savings Card, I got a great break on 2 name brand med’s. I was also surprized that one of the medications in a liquid form was factory sealed and full strength. Wallgreens on the other hand has prices that should be illegal, they’re back at the same thing that had them suspended from selling name brand med’s because they were charging insurance companies for name brand and giving their coustomers generic. There Is a voluntery price match program most pharmacies go by, e.g. if I know a store twenty miles down the road charging 300 and you’re charging 335, you’ll match it to keep from losing a coustomer. Wallgreens won’t hear of that. If General Moters could somehow, even if they lost money for a couple years did something similar, it could still possibly come back, somehow someway! Pharmacys know people will starve before they will go without their medications. I will wear old but clean cloths to drive a Cadillac, not to show off, but but because I know it’s the safest car on the road, and On-Star, only a fool would drive a car without it. How can we as Americans come together and save General Moters as though it were a cat falling fromm the 22 ND floor of a building? If is a big word, but if every man, woman, and child in America started putting money into G M, even if it meant we were going to take a loss at first, and if G M’s emploies agreeded to take a big pay cut, the most highly improbable thing on Earth could happen. And Uncle Sam needs to start fining pharmacys that are robbing people blind and use that money alone, it would be enough to save GENERAL MOTERS. I’m just a dreamer, but you’ve got me going today. Nobody would listen to a fool like me, but you they would listen to. Just a thought Dr Weiss, but I know who’s crippling the economy,at least my economy anyway. Thank You for listening. DrMike
Martin;
All the responses echo my thoughts. But, will the government accept the TARP money back from banks or will they stonewall repayment with policy and hurdles. This will be the signal of how bad it will get with Nationalization. Look for the signs of control in every facet of our lives from lightbulbs to laughter.
It just amazes me how ‘random’ events, from ‘out of the blue’, seem to promote stated Council On Foreign Relations agenda items. Honestly, I am less concerned about the fate of the ‘republic’, the Dollar, or our ‘values’, than I am about the fate of HUMANITY… as the CFR proceeds along their oft stated depopulation agenda (’Sustainable Development’ - NSSM 200).
to my views this thing is sure to happen as due to rising costs & constants decrease in sales
GM should have to take steps to increase in sales & investment opportunities should be increased not by heavy leveraging there should be corporate restructuring, equity valuation & analysis
financial reporting should be strong of company
company is highly leveraged and due to leveraging they have increased in business & financial risk
company should go for investment opportunities
alternative investments in fixed income securities, futures trading of bonds, emerging & global investments but should consider interest rate,exchange rate & price risks as there will be high translation & transaction exposures
The way I read my Bible, our circumstances will get much worse. I lived through the Great Depression- this one is going to be worse (In my opinion) The bible speaks of people throught their silver and gold to the bats and the moles- figuratively that is what has been happening far too long. I have been investing in silver and gold for many many years.- Perhaps I can ride through some of this inflation. But I think we can also expect our wonderful Gov’t to confiscate these- when times get even worse.
The decison to move into the UK into service industries at the expense of manufacturing was made in the mid 80’s. So I see all of this as part of a long term plan that has either failed or come to fruition.
The Chancellor says the bust was unforseen. Fred Harrison foresaw it in 1990 and sent his book - Boom Bust, house prices, banking and the great depression of 2010 - to the Treasury. So they did know what was coming.
The question is this; is this credit crunch an accident of time and negligence or is it the result that someone intended? The designed increase in debt, facillitated by a credit card culture, followed by an orchestrated collpase of the banking sector by a simple rule change on liquididty ratios, suggests to me that there was indeed an attempt at an ochestrated rip off aimed at impoverishing the many for the benefit of the favoured few. Let us not forget that Brown took the pension funds because it was “prudent to do so”.
So we must ask ourselves, was all of this part of a clever attempt to encourage other economies to produce hard goods whilst the favoured few in the banking economies, litterally conned everyone into a new form of poverty. If so, do they now plan to finish the job with a massive inflation campaign, posdinbly involving deliberate hyper-inflation, to balance the books, ( at the real expense of the Chinese et al?) in a way that further divides our society as well. If so ,what furture do they envisage for themselves and everyone else? A master / slave relationship perhaps?
What is the real reson why it was arranged this way??
It seems like most of our manufactoring was delibertly sent out of this country. Why is the big question. America has lost too many jobs, period. In 1967 when I graduated from high school, I had many jobs, with several good companies to choose employment. In this area, Middletown, Ohio, there is literally no choices now. The middle class numbers have fallen, and poor people just survive, and do not buy new cars, etc.
Ronald Reagan wanted a service type economy, and maybe he now has his wish.
What’s really alarming is that most people have a hard time visioning how far the U.S. is in debt. If you ask the average citizen what we should do to solve this they don’t have an answer because they think that things will just work out because America has always overcome adversity before. My answer to those is we are in way deeper than ever before and we are not in control of our own destiny due to the immense relianceon other countries to keep us afloat by financing our debt. When our taxes are increased and inflation is out of control please people don’t compain it will be too late- time is running out!
Thank you for your accurate analysis and insight into the current world financial turmoil.
In the midst of the current volatile conditions I am keeping out of US, UK and European stocks and concentrating heavily on cash and Far East funds, which have been showing very nice consistent returns over the last 7 months. I believe any uptake in the world economic picture, is going to be led by China and the Far East economies, long before we will be able to see a more stable picture in the US, UK and European economies. Like you, I believe the worst is still to come, so I am keeping out until further notice!
HI MARTIN,
AS WRITER MARK MENTIONED, IS THE GOVERNMENT AND WALL STREET,BANKS IN COLLUSION IN PROPPING EVERYTHING UP?
I believe the most secure area to invest your money is in real estate. If you can purchase at today’s bottomed out prices just think of what you can sell for in an improved market with rising inflation. The dollar is shrinking therefore it is going to take alot more of them to create purchasing power.
I don’t see how America can survive when the dollars are being
printed like Monopoly money, Federal Reserve selling bonds,
buying bonds. supporting Iraq, so many other countries.
We have China’s Treasury Bills to repay with Interest.
Does China almost own America now?
As President Obama is for Abortion, against God’s Commandment
of “Thou shalt not kill”, will Our Lord help President Obama,
I am afraid to answer that one.
I look foreard to your knowledge, Martin Weiss
Dear Martin ,
Though I am British I have been following your warnings and advice avidly. Every thing you have warned about and predicted seems to have happened and though things are a little different in England I use your advice and warnings to stay clear of trouble here where the problems appear similar. I think that it is not just the American people who have a lot to thank you for with your experience and uncanny knowledge of the markets.
God Bless
John
Yes, the U.S. Economy will survive.
From an outside point of view, Canada, it appears that the US can build just about anything but if the budget is without limits. Can the US industry build products like small good cars and be competitive? I am not sure.
I beleive that the US economy will really progress if companies like the “New GM” look at the present and future needs and desires of the new (25 years old) and retiring generation (70 years old) and offer small and inexpensive good cars (a Chineese Tata) before China floods the US and Canadian markets.
Inovate, with a price advantage. If everyone (Unions and Management) push in the same direction, it could and should be done. Time will tell.
Note: Thank you Dr. Weiss for your work and for keeping very helpful people on your staff. A phone call to them is always a very positive experience. Thank you.
Jean J. Pichon
Martin - I understand clearly the concern about the US Governments debt and the ramifications it has on the future. That being said, it appears that there are signs of a recovery and with both India and China working with the US, I feel more confident. If I would have invested in some of the reverse ETFs like you had recommended, I would have lost a fortune. Please let me know if you are beginning to change your position with respect to the economy.
nervous - scared — If government fails — goes bust - what happens to all the liquid assets you have been recommending we move to ie 3 month T-bills
Is there an alternative safe haven — maybe some other currency in a more stable economy
I was thinking CDN - but they have exposure to GM and some debt —
I don’t want to put it in gold -
if US does go bust - with hugh exposures to Medicare, social security looming and the bailouts — what is the timeline - is there away to take advantage and still have safety liquity
Hi Dr Weiss. You have covered almost all potential financial money pits in your forecasts- THANK YOU. But you have not to my knowledge commented about market market funds linked to brokerage accounts or the brokerage accounts themselves….are these monies safe with the brokerage insurance of SIPC??
My thoughts are that the only thing that will be worth anything for survival will be your experiences in life such as: Helping people, or that knowledge of electronics, computer sciences, mechanical abilities such as doing repair work. Such as in doing barter with others in trade.
There is a day coming that such abilities may be the only differences of whether you have food upon the table or not. Additionally education and those abiliites that it affords will dictate as to how you and your familys survive or not.
This is a country in Moral breakdown. All of this is caused by a change in nature of Americans, caused by an internal propaganda attack of over 50 years. Did Americans lend money to people who could not pay years ago? Did we buy houses when simple math reveiled we could not make the payments? Did we live above our means with credit cards and home equity loans? Were our hero’s Paris Hilton and Britney Spears?
Did companys gamble with complex financal instraments instead of good products in order to make money. Do people want independent strength anymore, or someone to give them something? People could think back then and had morals, now we do not. Until that changes, no, we will not survive.
There is an absolute plan designed to make America fail. We could not have a one world government, a new world order or a one world currency if America were the world leader while maintaining it’s strength, values and freedoms. Consequently, this must be destroyed and must all come to an end and it will. Sad to see it but this is what needed to be done to create a new world order. A world not under the rule of the jungle but under the rule evil men for money, power and self-gain at the expense of humanity.
Dr Martin,
Can you please tell when will bear market rally end? According to economist they
think stock market is going to robust rally this year.What is your opinion about
this. I have some energy stocks in Canada which is paying me Dividend of 12%
should I sell them or keep it.
Thanks for What you do for American people.
Regards
Capt Sandeep Sharma
History will be “repeated” only in Phantom form. Reality will be a new experience of which we have little idea. The key to what will happen, I believe, is peoples attitude and willingness to “get on with life”. So much of what we are experiencing in ‘downturn echonomics’ is due to the constant hammering by all media naysayers and doomsday prognosticators. People were ‘bit’ by ignorance in the 30’s and today isn’t much different. The main thing they share is greed. Everyone wants to ‘make a buck’ and don’t care who gets stepped on in the process. They also do not consider the consequences of their actions! (Nor do they care!).the ‘outcome of the economics mess’ will be determined by our younger adults. If they wake up and face the reality of the situation quickly, there will be a much quicker recovery. The passing of every day will have a great bearing on ‘recovery time’. This is 50% (or more,) a mental situation!
We are witnessing the fall of Rome (America) I’m bearish and I’m positioning my portfolio accordingly this bailout bubble will pop and when it dos watch out below. l
Martin
will the economy survive: YES, but a much more regulated an government controlled economy for at leat the next 4 years
Will interest rates rise, I look back at 1980 Reagonomics when prime was 20%, CDs were at 15% inflation was 20plus %, so given what is going on now, I believe we will see a spike even as much as 1980 before the 4th qtr 09.
Where am I investing, GOLD, Treasuries, Mun bonds.
at 67 years old looking for more stability than aggressive growth
my 2 cents worth
thanks
RW
I AM INTERESTED IN INVESTING BUT AM VERY CONCERNED ABOUT WHERE AND HOW. ALSO I WOULD LIKE TO CHANGE BANKS, AS I AM BANKING WITH BANK OF AMERICA RIGHT NOW. PLEASE ADVISE. THANK YOU.
We the people of the United States of America, need to stop Look at our Country
Think in the words WE THE PEOPLE and OUR COUNTRY. It was no government body
that built this country, it was the PEOPLE. It has always been the sacrifices of the people.
We have government to assist the People in maintaining structure, not changing the
structure that is the back bone of our country. Our Constitution has stood the test of
time and it will with no interference continue to hold up for the majority. We need to
support our commerce, our businesses. The grass is not greener on the other side of
the fence. Radical thinking and behavior is bringing our country down. I am very
opposed to (Modern) ideals, or the lack there of. Basics Lets get back to Basics
There would most likely be less out of the box thinking if it were not seen as the
new way to behave, (let’s see if being a rebel works) We can not expect all people will
always think alike, we don’t need to applaud radical thinking that brings business and
morals in our country into harms way. Those who love this country need to stand up
and be counted with out the threat of harm. We have come a long way and have a
long way to go. We must not bow to liberal thinking it can not override all we have
worked so hard to build for generations to come.
This stage is considered dangerous for that I do not have any idea about what is required to do for profit or investment, and what the next step and how
Please help.
Thanks.
Is Gold and Silver the only safe bet left?
In our efforts to make the world a democracy. We forgot that we should be making everything and selling it to them instead of us setting them up to sell it to us. As it turns out all our enemies we have had in the past we have helped to kick our butts now. Remember when all the photos from China were people riding bicycles in the streets? Well thats probably us soon, while they drive G.M. China Buicks and look at pictures of us riding bicycles in the streets. By saving a few bucks sending all our capabilities to another country and not caring about fellow Americans and only about the bottom line. We got sold down the river many years ago. Our country is weak getting weaker. I just aired up the tires on my bicycle…oh yeah….it was made in china.
The government and the stock market make it awful tempting to think everything is turning around and the future is looking brighter;then I read these newsletters and realize the reality contained within-is being buried by the masters of spin. (government and the stock market professionals)
How does this nation create new wealth? How do we create those economic engines that replace the old horses of years’ past? When the old horses start to die-we are all hit in the pocketbook, and we are all placed in the forefront of economic disaster….A disaster that has NO quick solutions.
Labor Unions have had their day, time to get back to reality.
The approprite question is what will the surviving USA look like? We are resource poor except for Land (food and trees), Natural Gas and technology. We will able to buy fewer natural resources from the world so we will have far fewer of them. Our homes will be dramatically warmer in the summer and cooler in the winter. We will drive and travel less. We will build much smaller homes. Many, many many will return to rural settings to raise food (fortunately they will be able to keep in touch with communications technology). We will sell the world technology for the goods we import one for one no more credit. Therefor on a relative basis we will import far fewer good and have a lower standard of living. Will this happen dramatically in a few short years or over decades? -NO ONE KNOWS, TIME WILL TELL
Although my real estate appraisal business in Austin, Texas is currently very good due to the low interest rates, I am extremely concerned going forward. I believe the president is economically clueless, and has the instincts of a socialist. At age 50, I have serious concerns about my future retirement, and I don’t expect the government to provide it. I must make my own way, and figure I have 20 years to get myself situated.
I retired from active duty in the USAF in 1970 after having served 20 years in the hope of living in freedom in a wonderful country; however, just a few short years ago when our congress went nuts - each party vying to exterminate the other rather than keeping an eye on our government - I began to lose hope. Now I know that our congressional representatives have only themselves in mind when they THINK, if they think at all. Our capital no longer exists and I believe that only precious metals will suffice as mediums of exchange in the very near future.
I should have panned for gold instead of trying to protect those who represent us today.
It looks like the apocalypse and armegeddon. I am investing in canned goods, ammunition, beehives, egg laying chickens, grain, stored foods, etc.
I think it will be several years before US Treasury yields increase substantially. A Japanese deflation is possible in the US where they don’t increase for decades.
Hola Martin,
You often speak to the choir.
I’m an expat with many assets offshore.
I actually have two separate estates - one in the US and one here.
At the moment neither will be subject to estate taxes.
I’m currently (since late Feb) long in the Aussie dollar.
No longer pay US income nor US property taxes, but collect (max) SSC, and later this year, MC.
Only a 2 hour flight to IAH or DFW for any health care.
Instead of our $19,000. Dallas property taxes in 2004, we pay $432. annually on our 6500 ft sq house.
Live like royalty with housekeeper, gardener, and cook.
Unfortunately for my (3) children and (2) grandchildren, I think the US is hopeless!
ALM
In the near furture,
Metals down
Market down
Dollar down
Also
Safe Money Portfolio has been down a lot. Will it recover? I have $100,000 in it and holding.
Contrairion Portfolio - where are the stops??
Our economic problems are the result of debt caused by the belief we have held for decades, namely, that we can spend our way to prosperity and always pay for everything with cheaper money. We have relegated this power to our federal government. It isn’t difficult to predict what we have practiced and chosen as our future state. Socialism and our currency is the effect, our vote is at cause.
I first would like to tell you how much I enjoy, appreciate and respect your articles and opinions! I think more men like you should be running our country not the clowns currently running it into the ground. I guess that statement foreshadows my opinions on where this Poor Proud Country is headed. I feel the lazy left and blissfully unaware “Republicans” (I consider myself to be a conservative but don’t particularly feel tied to the previous “conservative party of Republicans) have let apathy, greed and self centered blindness lead us into allowed leadership by men/groups that didn’t have America’s best interest at heart but rather filling their own pocketbooks. Bleeding just enough cream off to the general public that wouldn’t be aware of the Socialistic noose being tightened around their necks. I think the move towards killing America and creating a more unionized social entity started with the first Bush administration and continued until the obvious hangman arrived in office now. Look at who we ran for President????? McCain????????? Please that man can’t put two sentences together and make sense. There is so much more at play here than we even can begin to know. I think guns, gold and dry goods are the best investment in our future because its going to take a revolution to turn things around take America away from the World Finance Forces/Wall Streen and return her to the true American People. One more question though??? How did a radical muslim “black” man with duel citizenship and ZERO experience become the President of a Nation founded on Christian beliefs and principals? God Bless and Good Luck!
I appreciate your valued insight and all posts, emails, and video broadcasts are watched read and valued tremendesly, we live in a period of great uncertainty and fear …. On a lighter note … i want to learn chinese and become a boat person and row to china
What I do not understand is this market rally; both it’s intensity and it’s longevity.
There appears to be no underlying strength but some say the simple fact of all the money being created is the reason for this season of the market inflating. Can that be true?
I am a board-certified pediatrician in Orange County, California.
We are seeing families being thrown out of their homes in foreclosures.
We are seeing children and families being made homeless.
We are seeing huge commercial real estate projects (50,000 to 100,000 square feet in size) going down in Irvine and other OC cities.
The instability is not improving.
Commercial businesses are unable to stabilize revenue and operations while inflationary pressures are so heavy. Our own medical doctors in this area are unable to maintain their programs due to absent reimbursement on claims by insurers. These same medical insurers are backed by AIG securities. The media does not understand how severe this situation is.
Yesterday, we received a notice from Anthem/Blue Cross that the want all doctors to request permission from them to send patients to heart specialists for special procedures. As a board-certified pediatrician, this decision by Blue Cross is highly suspect. Infants with new heart murmurs need immediate echocardiograms and EKG’s in order to evaluate for the presence of heart defects that can kill the child in a few hours time. Blue Cross/Anthem’s decision is equal to a death sentence for any child born with these conditions which are seen throughout California.
I think it is obvious why the health insurers are being forced to take these steps. Their business model is not economic stable. The backing of AIG on the premium defaults is unstable. The investments these companies made are themselves unstable.
In this area, two major hospitals have closed. ER’s are closing and people are going to start dying of preventable diseases.
There is a direct correlation between the health and the wealth. The erosion of wealth in our nation over the past two years appears to be creating instability in provision of health care to all people, regardless of economic status.
I am very concerned about the looming possibility of hyperinflationary pressure adversely impacting physician contracting. We can not maintain our care to the children and infants if the cost of supplies and human resources is not predictable.
Martin,
I’ve been getting your e-mails for a while. To be honest I haven’t done much with it as I don’t have much to invest but I feel the window you open up to look at what’s going on under the surface is invaluable information. Thank you.
My answer to your question comes from a military background and from living in the middle east for the last several years (duing the school year) as a civilian volunteer with a non-profit education organization.
Here is my answer: “If we don’t get the bulk of our military back on our soil ASAP and continue in intense indigeonous training cycles to defend this country and our constitution, none of this financial stuff is going to matter. If we do get them back here, we have a chance and at that point we should bite the bullet and receed from the world markets in certain areas and get back to the basics. As much as I believe in our missions overseas, we must abandon them in large scale and rely on special ops or long-range and large scale destruction of infrastructure. If America goes down, all of it is going down. I don’t think any of us can imagine the evil that would prevail if or when this happens.”
Sincerely,
Doug Bryant
I have lived most of my life so my concern is not for me, but for the children and grandchildren of America. I am well aware of the forthcoming hyper-inflation fueled by worthless dollars. At this time it appears hopeless to be able to control the out-of-control spending by our President and Congress. Unfortunately, it began with the Bush 43 administration. The best thing which should happen to us is for China and the rest of the world to cease buying our treasuries. Maybe that would end the recklessness of our government.
Yes, I do think America is suffering, and even more so at the hands of the banking industry. I truly believe the banks should not have been given all that money without some accountability. Each American could have received a check and spent it more wisely than they have. They are just interested in making more money. Some of the banks even went out to try and buy more banks and expand, rather than taking care of their own backyard, so to speak. They are not helping those that put their money in the banks. They have tightened regulations even further and are loaning less money than ever. I have not seen interest rates drop at the bank, even though the prime is very low. A banker told me that the interest rate goes along with risk and that is why some of the customers’ rates are so high. That says to me, let’s keep raping the small guy, not help him out at all, just try to break him and take everything he has.
Americans are disgusted, disgruntled, defeated and are working hard to just survive and take care of their own families. I do applaud the President and his team for trying and I hope he can help save this country from Bankruptcy. GM should have filed the big “B” at the beginning of the year and then they would have been back on the road to recovery by now. It’s easier to play the game and get all the money you can before.
Any little business or individual would not have been able to do that.
SURVIVAL IS ABSOLUTE. MANAGING THE PROBLEMS IS ANOTHER THING .
THE TOOL BOX KIT IS EMPTY. THE ALL IN MANTRA IS IN THE PROCESS. THE U.S. IS BUYING TIME , AND BORROWING FROM WHOMEVER IT CAN TO MAINTAIN THE CAPITALISTIC MODEL AND ITS FINANCIAL SYSTEM.
THERE WILL BE MORE BLOODSHED ALONG THIS GAME . AS ALWAYS IT IS MORE THEN EVER A MATTER OF THE SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST AND THE MOST CLEVER . INSIDERS OF THE WASINGTON MANOUVERS WILL BENEFIT THE MOST . ANY WONDER ?
Being older Americans, we are indeed concerned about America, the viability of the dollar, price of energy/commodities of all sorts, food, etc. We are staying in energy and natural resource funds, as well as cash. The cash is a big concern since we see the very real possibility that it will be devalued. We own our home and we have seen a considerable value decrease from the purchase price. However, it is less expensive for us to own in California right now as opposed to renting. Thank you for your newsletters and your on-going guidance. S. Simonson, Corona, CA
Are the people brain dead? Can’t they see where we are headed??? Hope they wke up and put a halt to it !!!!!!!
Will America survive?
Of course America will survive. It will be at a lower level of economic output, though as consumer spending cannot support 70+% of GDP any longer. In the face of rising unemployement, lower wages to those who remain employed, and the end of the home cash machine will keep the American consumer from recovering anytime soon.
How do YOU feel rising interest rates and record-shattering money-printing will impact your income and investments in the weeks ahead?
I am not concerned at all about inflation overall as an important piece is missing from the inflation puzzle: aggregate demand. That should remain well under capacity for some time to come. On the other hand, a relatively weak dollar will spur some commodity inflation.
Which investments do you expect to spin off substantial profits next? Select U.S. stocks? Foreign stocks? Currencies? Precious metals?
On US stocks, I am bullish on BA and GE, select ‘green’ companies as well as agriculture. I remain bullish on Eastern Europe and Russia as well as Canada and China. I really like global agriculture companies as well as non-precious metals (copper, nickel, steel) as signs of economic stabilization begin to appear.
P.S. GM was not able to make a profit since 2004 even in the face of record auto sales, not because of unions, recession, etc., but because of poor management. They let foreign automakers essentially take over the car market so they could focus on trucks and SUVs. When demand shifted back towards cars, they were not ready but shoul’ve been.
It is not a question of “will we survive?” but what we, as country, will look like when we come out of this as either as Obama and crew want us to be or what his succssor decides. It is obvious that Obama crew wants to destroy the constitution more than it has already been destroyed or negated and rebuild the country with strong centeral government that controls most things- like Chicago does now. That is his training and I would be good to expose that system to the rest of the US.
I travel by RV and the country will have a hard time complying with Obama’s dream.
Dr. Weiss:
I would be very much interested to open a bank account in a safer country than the US. Do you have any suggestions?
Gerda
Maybe I’m missing something?
Todays headline:
Pending home sales rise 6.7 percent in April
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Pending-home-sales-rise-67-apf-15412014.html?sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=
From NAR website:
http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/5c9013804e3eae35811fc11daf16ff2d/REL0904EHS.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=5c9013804e3eae35811fc11daf16ff2d
The EV1 was an innovation and GM was the first ‘large’ manufacturer to venture down this route. The car turned out to be robust and popular, yet it was scrapped in 1999, with much of the remaining stock going through the crusher. Its replacement was one of the biggest 4 wheel drive gas consuming cars on the road. It appears that someone with a lot of clout in the oil industry, who was about to loose a lot of money, if the electric car had taken off was able to influence GM to make a 180 degree turn almost back to the kind of car it would have built back in its hay day in the 1950’s. There is one thing for certain and that is change and GM failed to change! Follow the money! Who stood to make the most money when the EV1 was scrapped? If a companies success is judged only by its profits, the laws of the universe tell us that each product has an optimum point and output and that going beyond this point, as a capitalist system forces the manufacturer to do, can only result in a cheaper product or production. PERHAPS sustainability, service to the community and quality of product ought to be some of the new ways to judge success in a world of fast depleting resources?
GM is now under control of the USG and the UAW. We the taxpayers bought 60% of a failed company. A company controlled by the UAW, that is mostly responsible for failure of the US auto industry, and the USG that has never managed anything well and has never considered profit as a motive for anything. Then we have a federal court deciding that unsecured employees have a higher precedence in a bankruptcy than secured bond holders. Can it be long before GM has to have more Government bailout to survive this insanity. Our current leadership in DC will insure America goes the way of GM, as the Chinese are not going too bail us out.
I don’t see brutal honesty in the financial news like you have displayed for years. I am a God fearing senior that thinks America’s press is hiding behind what liberal editors and journalists must print or say to get paid. There is much more economic shock that America is facing and the continued deception will bankrupt the next generation.
While I’ve followed your advice and have holdings only in select ETF’s and gold stocks, I’m still extremely uneasy about the economy. I am a baby boomer, on the verge of retirement, but I’m actually afraid to retire. My 89 year old mother-in-law supplemented her income with her dividends from CITI bank. She would not sell - very stubborn. Now her shares are worth nothing, and she is very bitter, mostly blaming George Bush. These are scary, unchartered waters. I don’t think my boat ($$$) is big enough anymore.
Martin,
I think the things to be in are gold, oil+gas and the Canadian $. Please comment.
Eric Cunningham
this is a critical time indeed…trying to save the remnants of an obsolete system with the same old methods(particularly under the guise of change) is accelerating the inevitable collapse and exacerbating it’s chaotic outcome…i’m not an expert by any stretch but investing in gold coins(not bullion- as it’s taxed) and collectables (vintage antiques, art etc)of tangible long term value is a good way to go….there seems to be a bit more stability within the Chinese economy as well…beyond that, get your mattresses ready..meantime keep the love and light..
GM bankruptcy is a tragedy. However, I believe GM was not building cars most Americans wanted to buy, and GM management failed to innovate and control costs. I think Americans have a right to be angry about executive pay and bonuses — even as they drive their companies into bankruptcy. Even union pay and benefits had gotten way out of line relative to most working people — where they are payed 90% of their pay to sit at home during plant shutdowns. Maybe I’m wrong, but I am still optimistic about the resiliency of Americans, our businesses, our innovation, and our future. Yes, we are going through a steep recession that may last for some time yet. But, I still believe we are the best nation in the world and we will come out of this. If we pull together, I think our people and our country can overcome this.
Given what you think might be coming down the road, what should we think about substatial savings we might have that are in cash? What would an alternative like agriculture land be and what will it do during a significant down turn?
Also, I’m curious to know what has already become of GM’s stock?
I would have like to join your web meeting but I’m behind a firewall at work.
I don’t understand Treasury bills, notes or bonds. What is the right time to get in and how do you know they won’t pay off with inflated dollars? Thank you for your time.
p.s. I am invested in low end rent houses.
Martin, I,m in the process of closing out all of our investments and moving the money to American Century to buy Treasury-only money market funds, as recommended in your book.
Do you believe this is still the most secure place for my life’s savings?
Please reply ASAP.
Thanks, Wayne Glass
I believe that both our short and long-range futures look very bleak!
1- If things continue as is, there is no way in which many Americans can be on the winning side in any national election.
2- The larger (doomsday) problem which we have is with the devaluation of our currency. Even if we have dollars, will they be worth anything?
I have the same questions and concerns that have been succinctly stated by Chris Rivers!! Please answer his questions. Also, my savings are invested in an Annuity which has lost 25% of its original value. Should I cash it in now and take my loss? If so, WHERE do I put the cash? Is anything safe? What is going to happen to Real Estate?
I think you are being too pessimist.If you have been following the Indian markets you would know they have gone up by abt 80 per cent since March.Yesterday when G M was preparing for the chapter 11 the Indian markets were up abt 3 per cent.The G M india said we are not affected and you are asking if America next.?
NO WAY.
Things will come around sooner or later. I suggest take a holiday and come to India for a few days.
God bless
Amir
Martin,
There are four industry segments I believe will do well going forward:
(1) Oil; production is way down and demand will increase until substitute energy is on line.
(2) Infrastructure companies in which the Federal government is investing large sums of money.
(3) Water
(4) Wind
Best regards,
Jim
I work in High Tech in the Software Industry. Most of my friends are quite bullish now …. with the Trillions of Dollars being thrown into the Economy through QE that eventually banks will be forced to lend again and the consumer to consume again .. however, if the inflation comes into place, then our cost of living will go up .. but all this depends on the psychology that is created .. the good times are back or there are bad times ahead … personally, I feel that by Monetizing our debt … printing money out of thin air is a gamble but it is necessary … classic chicken and egg story … we need to start somewhere … however, the market is rather cruel … I think that in the end we are going to get a massive rally into next year starting from now (with a correction in Fall) … everyone is going to feel that everything is back to normal and then watch out below … I see no reason why the DOW wonly hit 12,000 by Spring next year and Nasdaw 2400 …. then it will all implode … we go down 50% …. and THAT will be the buying opportunity of your life time ….
Dear Martin ~
Based on what’s reasonably and evidently forseeable at present, how long into the future does it appear likely (probable) that major inflation will come to dominate the currently prevalent deflationary conditions? And how soon, after this, will the country begin to experience a multi-sector systemic breakdown? Finally, what plausibly probable counter-measures loom (economic, social, political) that can prevent or at least thwart this economic and social disaster? [I know this is a crystal-ball kind of question, but any opining on your part would be appreciated!!!]
Thanks,
Jerry Holtenhoff
I have given up on all US stocks except for SLV. I purchased 20 contracts @ 2.20, since silver is scarce and is hopefully going higher.I have an expiration date of Jan 2010 (Leaps) I also have invested in currencies w/ EVERBANK and so far so good. That is the extent of my investments. Robert Griffin
Taking a very different tack, it seems to me as long as far more people around the world are struggling to get to America than there are people here wanting to leave, America is the world’s best bet now and for the future.
Recent ecomic turmoil, if properly heeded and integrated into the national psyche, should be a realaity check for America. For example, “Watch the amount of debt you carry, don’t buy “stuff” you don’t really need, think local (and small) and accept Bob Dylan’s lyrics as gossple: “The Times They are a’changing.”
For instance, don’t waste tax dollars on interstate highways but instead, develop a vast fresh water interconnected reservoir system (The National Fresh Water Defense Act -NFWDA, perhaps) and cultivate stores of fresh water for export in rinsed out oil tankers and recycled plastic bottles. Think of water as a very valuable resource because wars will be fought over it, right? We would use the same highway engineers, construction men and equipment but end up with a vast and priceless resource. Water as a commodity will put oil to shame in my opinion.
My bottom line: I am more and more optimistic Americans are “getting it” now and even more will as time moves forward.
Retirees need to find a secure investment for their grandchildren, but the question is where can one find a relatively safe future plan in the present environment. I am thinking that waiting is best because everything is so unstable. No one can predict the outcome of our precarious economy today.
Mr. Weiss,
All fiat currencies have historically become worthless.
It is an illusion to think that we, the United States are invunerable to this happening.
Very clearly you have forseen it happening.
It seems to me that hyperinflation is simply a matter of time.
The more the government intervenes the worse it will get.
Have you ever read the book “The Road to Surfdom” ?
A very important book written in 1944 in England.
But very much to the point of what is happeing in our country today.
I see gold as the one investment that will weather the huge storm about to break.
Though the price of gold, if you look into it, has been suppressed.
But as failing banks ultimately will not be able to bailed out.
And companies buried alive in debt continue to fail.
Eventually all the gold that has been dumped on the markets to keep
the price down, by the central banks will be gone.
And with no more gold left to dump, we will see the price of gold rise to
astronomic levels.
Not of couse without the resulting chaos of a societal earthquake.
And if for some reason the value of gold becomes questioned,
then Western cilvilization will be over as we know it.
But I don’t think that will happen just yet.
A final thought: The Native people in South America did not see gold as money
they had other things for that, they saw it as sacred, a symbol of the Divine.
What this crisis is shaking us to see, is that a better system must arise
out of the ashes of what is blazing now.
What exactly that is remains to be seen, but I like something Albert Einstein said
“You can’t solve a problem from the same level of awareness that caused it.”
Best,
Dan
I agree that debt killed GM, and I also think the present overall economic crisis we are in is because of too much American debt (at all levels). Our government’s response is to borrow even more money and go further into debt. What am I missing?
John Boyes
What do you think about GE?
sorry, forgot to include:
Is there any chance with a weak dollar that a new world currency could emerge? If so, what would that do to gold and the dollar?
The FED and the banking cartel created a system of debt, they criminally hijacked the treasury department. The federal government, the FED and Banking Cartel are all guilty of the blunders listed below.
The eight common blunders are:
• Wealth without work
• Pleasure without conscience
• Knowledge without character
• Commerce without morality
• Science without humanity
• Worship without sacrifice
• Politics without principle
• Rights without responsibilities.
My sense would be that going forward from this point, only two investments will preserve capital:
1. gold bullion and profitable, commercial gold producers and
2. large cap equities in consumer staples in the EUR zone (where with the exception of the U.K. - which is not in EUR currency - governments have not taken on the kind of debt the U.S. has)
I am amazed at the stupidity of our government. The auto business runs this country - NOT the banks. At least the automakers are trying by offering the public incentives to buy and American cars have come along way as the majority of them are fuel efficient despite what Obama says. The fact of the matter is this is now becomming a “panzy” nation thanks to Obama and these hypocritical “liberals” who want to get their hands in the pie. All the dealership, parts, suppliers and businesses that are being put out of business and unemployed that are now “out on the street” as a result. True, GM was greedy and lax on productivity but if they gave AIG one hundred and eighty five billion, as well as Lehman Brothers, Bank of I America and the list goes on big money why not just let them all die and start new banks with the money they gave them - screw them all as they are greedy and stupid to begin with! This is a hell of a lot easier than shutting down 2,400 dealerships, causing further massive unemployment and betraying employee loyalty and consumer confidence!
Martin, I must say that you and several other pundits are all seeing the demise of GM as some signal that the sky is falling, that America will sink into the sea. I am sorry for the loss of so many jobs but, truth be told, GM has been consistantly running on fumes (no pun intended) for the past fifteen years, borrowing its operating cash, borrowing to maintain a sense of obligation to its retirees while continuing to pump out a stable of “has been” vehicles. Drive down the freeway and count the number of Buicks, Oldsmobiles and Ponitacs you pass–I did so last Saturday on a 160 mile roadtrip and the count was zip, nada, zed for all three. To me that says a thousand words about a company’s sales, marketing and, most of all, vision. I don’t think the market sees any DJIA “icons”–it just sees the facts, pure and simple and the fact of GM is that it has been dying for a long, long time and this whole affair is nothing more than the coup de grace–I only wish that it had happened before the government put our hard-earned money into this beached whale.
THE QUESTION SHOULD BE NOT IF BUT HOW?
WHAT NEW CHANGES ARE NECESSARY IN POLICY, VALUES , AN COLLABORATION ? AND WHEN AND WHO WILL HELP TO MAKE THOSE CHANGES IN AMERICA AND THE WORLD?
Based on what’s reasonably and evidently forseeable at present, how long into the future does it appear likely (probable) that major inflation will come to dominate the currently prevalent deflationary conditions? And how soon, after this, will the country begin to experience a multi-sector systemic breakdown? Finally, what plausibly probable counter-measures loom (economic, social, political) that can prevent or at least thwart this economic and social disaster? [I know this is a crystal-ball kind of question, but any opining on your part would be appreciated!!!]
I just paid $3500 for financial guidance from Dr. Weiss through the $mil fund. It is a bit unnerving to have him asking the opinion of his readers for investment ideas. Perhaps that isn’t such a bad research after all. I will be interested in seeing how this works out for us all. Kelly
stupid, corrupt politicians have given our money to corrupt financials, thereby keeping their lock on power and money. this crisis has given us massive debt and spineless leaders. this total lack of vision for the long term will assure our demise as a world leader. i hope my assessment is wrong.
We allowed greed to overtake our economy. I escaped from California last year, but because of my experience in const. and development could see what was going to happen in home prices. My wife and I are native Californians, and hated to leave- loved the Bay area due to my sailing for 45 years. Everything had to be bigger and better. No developer construction homes for average family - families forced to buy what was available and not out of need. K&B posting 75 percent return. Was chief estimator and PM in days when we were fortunate to make 5-15 % on project. Overpaid public officials. Bay bridge had to be show piece for $ 15 B when it could have cost $3B.
Have much to say, need outlet as I have many observations on over educated public with expectations of immediate great fortunes. The myth and ruin of Silicon Valley.
THe whole world is in trouble; not just the United States. As we slip into the Greater Depression, people have to wake up and realize the government is not going to help you. Gold and Silver, Energy Resources and Agriculture wil protect you in the future. Invest in emerging markets. Water Resources is a must; less water available; more desalination plants have to go up! God willing; no depression will occur but you can minimize the devastating effect it can have on you. Better to be prepared if the inevitable occurs.
The “Elites?” had planned this and working through totally dishonest banksters created exactly what they wanted. Their next goal is the distruction of the USA government, just as I am watching happen here in the UK. Greed will also be their downfall; I am sorry to say.
Thanks for all your great articles Martin, I love your book which I purchased for the homeless childrens charity.
God bless and protect you and the team.
Big money, big investments, big risks put the right places will either survive, break even or prosper..conversely money put in the wrong places will bust and people will survive collectively by trade craft and trade or offering new human services guided by networks or situations. Is it worth it to look for investments in Water, Wind Power, and Non-Hybrid seeds, for instance, if you no longer have but a few thousand dollars in American cash and a little in small gold coins and a little in silver coins. In some ways, it might be just as well having little to lose because you don’t have much, instead of having much and being obligated to risk a lot and lose a lot by shear weight of circumstance in your own effort depending on investments instead of community networks etc., which could hold life saving value. Your thoughts?
Martin,
there are four industry segments I believe will do well going forward:
(1) Oil; production is way down and demand will increase unbtil alternate sources of energy are on line.
(2) Infrastructure companies in which the Federal government is investing large sums of money.
(3) Water; there is already a shortage in several countries and it will get worse as the world population grows.
(4) Wind; this may be the #1 alternate source of energy in the future.
Best regards,
Jim
We’ve been recent readers of your emails and like what we read. We think worse times are ahead. My husband is self employed in the construction area where people have no money or have lost their jobs. What advice do you have for a large family with limited income and minimal retirement? Also, how to keep our home when things get tougher? What is the minimum amt. to be able to invest. Unfortunately, we couldn’t afford the contrarian option.
I have no debt and a strong cash position. Having read your book, I still find myself perplexed as to what investment strategy to follow. For sure, at the age of 59, I would only invest additional amounts into equity markets that I could afford to lose.
Having said that, I am struggling with which way to go. I deal with an investment/brokerage firm that has done a great job of managing risk especially through this recessionary period in moving a significant portion of their fund to cash and bonds in advance of the equity market decline.
They argue that they balance stock, bonds and equity instruments that are relatively liquid in such a way as to maximize their flexibility to address either inflationary and deflationary movements……
Your comments above as well as the ones in your book and the sheer volume of debt that the government has incurred along with the record level of consumer debt and the high standard of living that we enjoy versus emerging markets makes me very wary of pursuing additional RISK. The downside of course is that the return on my cash account is virtually nothing.
Your thoughts?
Many thanks
I don’t think the United States will prevail. It’s a shame that such a dynamic society could deteriorate so rapidly, but here we are. There’s no fundamentally good reason for the stock market’s strength. Denial, I guess.
Martin,
I see major problems of the horizon for not only the US economy, but the global economy as well. The old saying as GM goes so goes America should be recoined to “as Americaa goes so goes the world” This short term bear rally has many people confused into believing that a full recovery has begun, it simply is not true.
I don’t know how long it will take things to stabilize, but I do know that as a private business owner, I have had to cut spending not increase it, so maybe the government at all levels could do the same and learn the fiscal discipline it takes to survive the tough times instead of mortgaging the future of this great country on short term politically motivated agendas.
On top of the fearful economic problems we face in America is my concern that the fellow in the oval office is a Trogan Horse. A man of mystery who has never run a 7/11 store and is now leading the U. S. economy? Sounds more like the blind leading blind than true leadership. A sign of his wisdom and leadership - put a 31 year old recent graduate of Yale in charge of the auto industry. Don’t worry, the fact he has never been in the auto business is no problem for Obama. After all, he has never run a business either. Perhaps that adds to the Presidential comfort level?
Grab your wallet and any asset you can tie down!
With friends like those leading us in Washington, who needs enemies?
ARJ
I was hoping you would you will give us a clue if not the answer. Where to go and how to get there is our key to survive this downward spiral in the US economy. Near term establish a road map, keep your assets readily available and be able to move quickly when the long term view is clearer. We need leadership and a person with vision to guide us thru these treacherous times and Martin you have been selected for that Mission. Its not mission impossible, many of us have faith in your ability to pull this off..
GM needs to go. They have relied on past efforts at innovation for too many years. They have had major stumbels: Cad 8-6-4, Cad Cimeron. They put a Chevy motor in the Escalade. They haven’t kept up with overhead cam designs. In the eighties they produced a lot of inferior products that gear heads such as me resent them for. They design parts to fail intentionally. I am gloating at their demise, buhaa ha ha ha.
I am very sad to say that I think America is on its way from a second-world country to a third-world country. Measured by health care, education, public infrastructure, prison population, and street crime, America gets poor grades and is deteriorating further. I was born in 1954 but have the work ethic more typical to those born in the 30’s or 40’s. Frankly, my baby boomer peers are largely selfish, lazy, and wasteful. Succeeding generations have been overindulged and brainwashed by pop culture and a terrible education system. All my adult life I have seen government careen from pillar to post, making bad problems worse and often creating problems where none previously existed. History suggests that it only gets better when “nobody has anything to lose” - after almost everyone is equally miserable - usually after a prolonged depression and/or war. I really wish interest rates were allowed to rise to their natural level as I feel that would reward savers, discourage wasteful consumption, improve the balance of trade, and remove the temptation to speculate -vs- invest or save.
What impact will China’s swith to short term treasures, setting up for a rapid exit of buying U.S. treasuries have on our econimy? Ansewer that and you will have your ansewer.
Hello Dr. Weiss,
I follow your dictates and have joined the million dollar portfolio and have made the alert investments. You are spot on on you and Klaus’s predictions. My observation is of China as the holder of all our bloody debt. They are the gate keepers of our mountains of debt - Our wonderful Treasury Secretary i believe (as i write this) is on his knees in China begging the Government of China to buy more and extend more terms on our U.S. debt. Can you comment about your thoughts on this please. Would China be “shooting themselves in the foot” if they refused to throw good money after bad - how interconnected is out economy in this disfuctional relationship and since they have an 8% growth rate would it also not be sensible or mandatory for them to open their pocketbooks to — excuse my expression “save our butts…” Best wishes to you and your family. Kurt
Dear Mr. Weiss:
Beautifully and powerfully written!!! A classic piece of writing.
What I think…while I’m not an economist, I’ve lived a long time and I think that
the America that we once knew is dead, being replaced with a European type
Socialism.
The Islamic issue is not settled and will come back to haunt us when we are most vunerable and like GM we will need to go thru our own form a bankruptsy and
reinvent ourself –if its not too late.
Otherwise, I see a nation broken up with little enconomic and social principalities
like Italy during the middle ages and the rest of us mindless peasants, worth only what we can spend on a credit card.
Tom Whittingslow
This market is going up because hedge funds are under performing the market and feel they have to buy even though they know it’s not the thing to be doing. Also, U.S. treasuries are being dumped big time,and some of that cash is going into the market and into commodities, driving up costs of both borrowing and raw materials. Economists were worrying about deflation. Not to worry! The recent rise in real estate activity is simply people trying to get in before interest rates on mortgages explode to the upside. Ask Obama how many jobs he has created so far. Government employees don’t count.
A new money could be possible; word out there of the Amero. I think the new money backed by gold in silver would be great. With all of the world debt, all of the gold and sliver on the surface cannot back it up. We need to start from scratch all over again.
There could be a problem of supply though; not enough gold to back up the money or will there be a gov’t confiscation? I don’t think the people will stand for that.
Martin, is there any chance that the inflationary forces and the deflationary forces will be controlled in a circus tightrope type balancing act which in a decade or so will lead to a new stability? I oscillate between wondering if my 1.7 million dollar savings will someday buy a really good dinner at a top NYC restaurant, or whether prices will collapse until $200 is enough to buy a new car.
Drat! A lost opportunity. It’s all a case of being in the wrong place. We practice bankruptcy in California. I am almost tempted to look at the 2016 on pacer for the GM filing.
On the other hand, this economy is beyond sick. Printing more money, especially in the quantities of late should lead to a major inflation. Thinking back to the oil shock of the 70’s and the resultant inflation as well as the other 2 or 3 inflationary events of my life, I find myself amazed that the currency hasn’t wound up repudiated and replaced. I suspect there is time yet for that event to materialize.
Good old Arthur Burns loved the idea of zero being the perfect inflation number, and who can forget Elliot Janeway advising households to have 6 months of reserves on hand? Great advice, but shall we say a dollar short and a day late considering the events of the day were already causing unemployment to rise?
Usual strategy for surviving an inflation is to invest in hard assets with prices rising in tandem with the economy, but that idea relies on lower than average interest rates. If the prevailing rate of interest is much higher than the rate of inflation there is a disincentive to invest in the assets in question.
As for the future, I am now getting old enough to consider retirement and perhaps I will be spared having to deal with the problems we fear, but I doubt it. That million dollars we were all supposed to have tucked away in our retirement accounts by this age might just buy me a cup of coffee.
Dustin
Martin I have watched all of your warnings and listened carefully, the only thing is I have not had the funds to participate in the investments you predicted. I do believe that America Will Survive. What we need to do is put our trust in GOD as he was the one that gave our founding fathers the strength to purseavier. It is that faith that made America Great. We need to get back to the basics in life then we WILL SURVIVE. Any Country that will press forward with evil,selfishness,corruption,greed and controlling Power of subjection, will not survive as God has Promised. We must turn to the basic fundamentals of the Christian Faith. We must learn to Share with true compassion and ask for GODS Favor.
Thanks for all your help much respect Annie
Personally, I think America will survive, but as far as I can see the whole financial system, as it is set up right now, has no chance of survival. It is only a matter of time before we’ll see its total collapse.
The madness we are witnessing right now are the last desperate attempts to rescue the status quo of those who would lose the most if the fractional banking system would cease to exist.
I hope and pray that the collapse and abolishment of the Federal Reserve will be the final result and as a consequence be replaced by the birth of a more equitable monetary system, that is not based on debt anymore…
Dr. Weiss, Do you know the number times the gov’t has been in this shape or worse since the Federal Reserve was created? Where can someone go to research the history of our counties money structure, when it began, who were the engineers or creators of the Rules of the Money?
Thank you
RR
Martin,
I have spent my entire career, nearly 30 years in the financial services sector. I knew of you and your firm early on, as I was a “beat the street” life insurance salesman. I remember how you had a “contrarian” view of finance even back then. I was too young, naive and impressionable to fully understand the significance of your ratings but I knew I respected your opinion very much.
I have watched in absolute disbelief the dismantling of our nation’s financial institutions and wondered where the voices of opposition were. Who was crying aloud in horror when we witnessed our government shove trillions of dollars of debt on the backs of an ever shrinking “earning” tax base? Why would anyone assume that our US Government, filled with its bureaucrats, with virtually no hard real life business background and “if its broke I can’t spend enough to fix it” mentality, could possibly solve the problems.
As a nation we had become so bloated with our sense of entitlement, that it only seemed fitting that we should never have to realize anything but our ever increasing portfolio’s, nearly 20% annual home appreciation and job security for life followed by a retirement befitting our status as Americans.
It never occurred to us that any/all of this was nothing short of smoke and mirrors, and if in the end it proved to be so, well we’re just so narcissist, we’ll just dump it on future generations of Americans to fix, “please pass me the sushi.”
No Martin, we’re done. We have a government that will not be restrained, we have a citizenry whose male presence has become emasculated, a judiciary that has an “anti family/anti God/anti Good” mandate, and they mean to fully implement their liberal bias to our ultimate decline as a nation while obliterating our culture in the process.
Count me as one the many who feel there is no place left for this experiment called “America” to come but, to a whimper less halt, followed closely by the “goose stepping” heals of Socialism. You’ll recognize me, I’ll be the one who is trampled to death while still clinging to my Bible and my Freedoms, while doing my best to protect my birthright to them both.
Your expertise and predictions have earned my respect. Your advice saved me money during the dot.com bust and your analysis now makes sense. Question: Has the unthinkable actions of the government, which no one could foresee, caused you to rethink the outcome, other than just a delay of the outcome? Thanks.
When your largest international creditor has people Chuckling/laughing at your Treasury Secretary, one has to know that our status in the world has suffreed greatly as a result of our inability to control spending, act prudently with our allies and the lack of much economic and financial expertise on Capitol Hill. Perhaps more importantly those in DC just seem to have lost their hearing at the same time
You asked whether America will survive. Both Presidents Bush and Obama (and Congress) have sacrificed the long-term interests of the nation and its people in order to serve the short term-interests of the reckless elites of Wall Street. Unless President Obama and this Congress wake up and serve the long-term interests of the nation and its people and sacrifice the reckless elites of Wall Street, the nation as we know it will not survive. There will be some entity called the USA, but we won’t recognize it.
Dr. Weiss,
I have read your book, ordered another for family faithfully been reading your e-mails, however. We have done what we could to prepare, getting out of debt, paying off our house, etc.
I however want to know what families that don’t have a large chunk of money to invest can do? We have one son starting college and another to follow in about four years. Our savings are slim. We don’t have the large amounts of capital to work with. So my question is, what can the middle class American’s do that are struggling but doing all we can. If we don’t have tens of thousands of dollars to invest?
Next I had an idea cross my mind. Recently I was reading an article on the current crisis for all small businesses. They cannot get capitol even when they have a solid business plan because the banks are in such bad shape. I’m curious as to what a group of folks like us might be able to do to help some of the more deserving entrepreneurs out. It seems to me like a golden opportunity laying there…
Well thanks for considering what to advise the more average folks out here to do. Maay the Lord bless and keep you!
Dr. Weiss,
Having read your book cover-to-cover twice and taken notes, I have become deeply concerned. Thank you for outlining a strategy for enduring the times to come and for prospering afterwards.
I have a question regarding the social programs of modern times, and how they factor in to your comparisons with the 1930s. Presently, social security, food stamps, unemployment compensation, and high medical insurance costs play a role in our economy that did not exist several generations ago. Medical insurance premiums, while not yet a social program, have drained off funds that might otherwise have gone into savings. How to you assess these factors in the present-day economy?
You have asked, will America survive? Well, your book suggests that the economy will improve when America has purged the negative and encourages the positive. So, the answer is “‘yes,” with strength of character.
As each day goes by, we are getting closer to finanical collapse. Will it happen this year, or 3 years from now? What will it look like when we hit rock bottom? Will it be worse than the Great Depression or will it look more like something we see in the movies - like Mad Max?
I don’t know what to say about all of this. I have had experience with inverse funds in your international portfolio in past years. I am not afraid of the volitility but I have learned to set my own stops then possibly buy again later.
Things are much too complicated for me to go it alone so I take Martin’s, Claus’ and Larry’s advice and tweak it some. My gains are better than the Contrarain Portfolio today but tomorrow is another story.
Martin;
If the voters in this country continue to support the character of the current administration we are ultimately doomed to socialism and it’s dictator posture. Our only hope is to vote in a new and Godly contingency of a majority control of our nation. While there are pockets of opportunity for the knowledgeably elite the masses of this nation will suffer the agonies that go along with socialism. Thank you for portraying the reality of our fiscal marketplace. David Bryan, Houston, TX
FIRST AND LAST LETTERS OF GARBAGE ! I WILL NOT BE TRADING OR INVESTING WITH ANY CORPORATIONS THIS DAY FORTH IF POSSIBLE . SUPPORT MOM & POP EVERYONE !
Dear Martin,
At the age of 84 I don’t have too much concern about what our Gov’t is doing to our economy, but for my kids and and grandkids I am scared to death about their future and the effect the Gov’t will have on their lives and quality of life. As I see things this current administration is going to ruin the entire country.
When I think about all the people who have given their lives and treasures to found and preserve America and it’s ideals, it justs breaks my heart to see what’s happened to us. I’ve read that an overwhelming majority were against the government bailouts, against the takeover of the autos, against abortion, against gay marriage; and yet, our legislators plow right ahead against the majority, even stating they know better. Well, I’m going with what I know. Food, energy, water, gold, home, God, and family (not necessarily in that order).
The US economy has been hollowed out by the loss of its manufacturing base. Witness the last vestiges of the once mighty auto industry in shambles and bankrptcy. This dislocation can’t be fixed by service industry jobs which traditionally pay less. Nor can it be concealed for too long by covering it up in a massive spending spree with fiat money. The long term outlook is grim and few “experts” are openly discussing the problem.
I respect and value Martin Wiess. I have appreciated his comments. I believe that one should collect rare American coins. I do think they will out-perform gold. I have lost at least 50% of my IRA and 401 investments as I sold out at the bottom of the Dow. I have never felt like I had enough money to pay large investment advice fees. Our health(wife and I) is not good and we are 78 years old. We really don’t know where to put money other than rare coins. I hope and pray that many of our corporations like Coca Cola, Walmart, and McDonald’s do well. A big portion of my assets are now in cash which is not wise.
Martin:
Our economy is made up of the good (google), the bad (aig)and the ugly (lehman brothers). The sooner we get rid of the ugly the better for all of us. The market is insane, as bad stocks are up for no reason.
For the average joe, trying to invest is tough.
This country is finished. iF it ever wants to come back we need MAJOR REFORMS
1. Political reform, Send every politician for every bad decision, that way they have skin in the game, If i can be sent to prison for not paying my traffic ticket, and the Ceo of a co, could get nailed, if his financials are not in order. why shold the politician be exempt. He must be sent to prison
2. Reform of the Law. Make Sure Guilty party pays then all these frivilous lawsuits will dissapear, and JOhn Edwards would not have a hair cut for 400$
3. Stock option reform
one class of people go to work the others ceos print money, basically robbing your 401k’s. if I buy 100 share of any co, i should also get options, since i am a provider of capital.
4. Medical REform
if all these are done simultaneoulsy then we may have light at the end ofthis tunnel
John
I always hear 70% of our economy is consumer. I don’t understand, how could we consume more that we produce?
I think, the real problem problem is politics and policies, when more than 50% voters doesn’t pay tax (I don’t consider government workers Tax payers, 50% maybe too high, but I believe that number is high and rising.) The system has no intrinsic interest for economic growth. The majority’s interest is how to grab other people’s money through government machine. Tax without representation is wrong, what about too much representation with out paying tax? Here is a radical thought, maybe the solution should be weighing someone’s vote according to if they pay tax or not. The government workers and welfare recipients should have no voting rights, or count as half a vote.
On the opposite side, how do we contain the greed of the money, if we did give tax payer more rights?
All we can hope is that pendulum will swing back, we will not reach optimum, but never too far away from it. As you said, the government can not hold gravity, they can push against it, but they can not prevent the inevitable.
Martin.
I’m one of the “baby boomers, I suppose - over 63 and I’m tired of the stupidity of our Congress and Total leaders of our nation. GM going down, Bank Fraud and elimination, Overseas Oil Industries pricing our petroleum wherever they desire making Billions in profits, Wars where people really don’t care for us. I’m sick sick sick. As a Veteran and a believer in America, I’m for firing all our leaders - put into office those that really want to serve our country and not their wallets - for a clean sweep in Washington - closing our borders to ALL. If you come to America, you stay in America. I’m for stopping aid to any other nation and becoming self sufficient.
I know the above is a “little” above and beyond, but we have to take a stand against Washington bureaucracy and against other countries coming in to rule our nation. You know and I know, that China will become our great grand children’s language choice and not English. If we don’t stop this mess now - all the above may come true.
I am a Christian - I believe our country was established with ONE GOD, who has blessed us tremendously. Our current President doesn’t not believe in our constitution and the believe in a Supreme God that helped found out country.
Stop the stupidity today. Thanks for allowing me to vent, but I’m praying that something is done soon and that God again can reign in America.
Joe E. Stockton
Dear Martin: What we are witnessing is the engineered destruction of America. Nothing more, nothing less. If you are in denial to this fact, I suggest you visit, http://www.AE911truth.com. I flew military NORAD missions and have 30 years flying experience with a major airline, and the facts are clear, OUR LEADERS ARE LYING TO US. They are stealing our Republic in large chunks each day, and the only question remaining is will it be deflation or inflation? Please keep our retirement money safe. Sincerly, Kirk Miller
Dear Mr.Weiss Having been with your news letters and services for some years, when you first stated G M. would go bankrupt, I could not bleive it. as to your question will
America go bankrupt, I do not know, by the grace of God I hope not, as to what will save America, for our children and grand children, again I do not know, we used to think
jobs people willing to work and improve their lifestyle, now one asks where has all the jobs gone. sorry to ramble on, I can not answer your question. Sincerely Beverly Hill
Hi Martin,
I have been a subscriber since 1998. Thanks for all the great advice, you are the only one I have ever listened to with my hard earned dollars. On balance I think we will see a substantial increase in inflation, much higher gold and quadruple higher silver, a re-inflation of housing prices as evidenced on the local florida news here last week that median housing prices have actually ticked up approx. 9% last month. Currencies should do well if you short the US dollar short term. Some thoughts on the dollar and deflation/inflation argument,,,, In 1932 the US was on the gold standard and a net creditor, leading people to believe the dollar was strong and safe, therefore deflation occured. Flash forward 77 years,,,,, now most people walking the streets of America know that the dollar is funny money, not backed by anything, and an extreme net DEBTOR. Hence, a far weaker dollar and rampant inflation will occur. People want their money to be REAL,, thats gold/silver. Even my pool guy with a 10th grade education is out buying silver coins on the weekends. By the way thru out history ALL paper currencies go to zero eventually, again thats ALL paper currencies go to Zero. Good Luck to all of us and keep listening to Martin as he is our best bet to weather this storm.
General Motors is an icon alright but NOT one of innovation and progress. If they were they wouldn’t be in this mess to begin with.
Their iconography, if you will, is more about bloated layers of self preserving management and avoidance of market realities.
I percieve them to be the “Baby Hueys” of the auto industry.
While I still respect what they were 30 years ago I cannot shed tears for their demise.
The economy wet down the tubes long ago, but our attention was averted elsewhere. We let down our guard and were subverted by self interest away from principals. The principals of our founding fathers, bought with blood. The evidence is everywhere ! Property, money and power ever more concentrated in the hands of a few. Quality of life going down ever since the early sixties. The value and durability of what we buy steadily decreasing with an ever greater personal price to pay. With two income families and dying communities. What is left is the community of misery and discontent. Unrestrained capitalism as surely leads to oligarchy as any corrupt government. The big have gotten too big, the rich have gotten too rich and the powerful too powerful. Now it has come time for the predators to feed on each other in seeking ultimate dominance and we are left in the dust of their battles. Yet there is a way out, though I see ONLY one. A return to principals where “rights” are viewed by all as “other’s rights and my responsibilities”. We need to sterilize Washington of all its corruption and start fresh with only people we know and trust. Then we need to make sure they stay honest.
The only investment today worth anything a few years from now will be the reputation of a good character.
(comments welcome eddy@impanis.net)
I am a product of the ’50’s and believed that anything was possible. Today I don’t know if America will be here as a free country in the next few years. Our congress, both parties, do nothing but protect their jobs and now we have one party that has no knowledge of what is going on in this country and the other is helpless.
We are trying to follow your advice financially, but we feel so insecure when we do anything except save to make a difference. We did not join the group you just began because we are simply too cautious.
I guess, your question just hit home today. “Will we survive?”
Well put Estevan!!
It still boggles my mind that the government thinks the best way to get out of our debt crises is to create more debt! That only makes sense to a politician. Unfortunately, our generation has grown up as coddled, spoiled children who think we are all owed something. There is nothing of the sacrifice that paved the way for prosperity that was the hallmark of the former generation. We have spent, spent, spent, and partied, partied, partied. Now that the party is over and the bill has come due, the first thing we look to do is to go borrow some more of someone else’s money so we can start the party again! Shame!
I don’t think there are many safe investments out there except for maybe gold and silver. Even foreign funds are overbought right now..
In answer to this question:
“How do YOU feel rising interest rates and record-shattering money-printing will impact your income and investments in the weeks ahead?”
On a micro level, this will affect my mortgage rate, obviously.
On a macro level: “Will America Survive”? … In my opinion, only if the Fed is ultimately abolished and a debt-free National currency is re-introduced, which will protect the economy from inflation producing/debt incurring money printing.
Panama has no Central Bank, and is doing well. Why not America?
I believe the best situation right now is the Currency and
Precious metal fields. I have been investing for 48 years
and business and the economy is the worst I have seen.
It is not just my company but the builders I do work for
are really desperate for work. The government has to get out
of peoples business. Let the weak fall.
Thank You.
Dr. Weiss,
I was wondering if you have some sort of time frame for the start of the downfall in equites. I have invested in FAZ and SRS so far and not doing well, but trying to hang in for the inevitable.
As one of your writers said, Japan used this ‘qualitative Easing’ strategy before with much success. However, Japan had exports to fall back on. We don’t for a variety of reasons including that world trade has just about stopped in its tracks. I try to look for what America can fall back on and all I can see is what they can’t fall back on. We can’t fall back on cars because history appears to be done with them. We can’t fall back on agriculture because Peak Oil is starting to take it’s toll in the form of reduced yields every year for almost a decade now. I had to laugh out loud when I heard President Obama’s speech where he said that there is a calm in America now since the bailouts. Who’s telling him this? Certainly not anyone I know.
We will survive BUT it won’t be pretty. Gold and oil are currently rising in the face of heightened inflation worries. Adjustable rate mtges. will reset at higher rates. This will put even more strain on the housing market. Americans are deeply in hock. they have taken money from their homes,401k’s and credit cards to finance unsustainable lifestyles. We are fighting a war that we will not win. eventually it will be crunch time.
Martin:
I need some help in understanding how to invest in a period where it is not clear if we are heading for spikes in inflation or deflation of the dollar. I know you have taken the position in the past that we are more likely headed into a depression characterized by a deflationary period. I have and will protect myself by shorting the market in certain sectors as bubbles continue to burst. Nonetheless, I cannot help be be confused as to whether we will see rampant inflation if the printing presses continue to roll. On the one hand you have advised that (gold aside) the safest money is in cash or short term treasuries and this is where you want to be at the bottom to take advantage of opportunities as your dad did. When should we become worried about holding substantial cash in money markets for example?
Thanks,
Mark
The average house in NJ has lost over 40,000 in market value…..22% in just the first quarter of this year. This is a silent thief in the room. A house bought in 1999 is worth what you paid for it in 1999…10 years of equity gone and still going down. the mortgage bail out program is a major scam. As a country we now manufacture very little. No production, no jobs, no income….no real economy to speak about. Investors money is going out of the country………manufacturing was the back bone of our country and our country’s back bone has been broken. The very worst is yet to come. While our government is fiddling the cities are starting to burn. Double digit unemployment is here already and growing at a very fast rate. We are headed for a domestic war, I’m sorry to say, because the Fed is way out of touch with the man in the street. The 70’s and 30’s are back in full force. Invest in gold & diamonds..the buck is dead along with the Fed.
This all started with one word “GREED” The current generation was brought up with the notion “it is all about ME” The only way to bring back our once great nation is to rewire our current thinking. The time that this takes will determine how fast we can recover.
This type of mentality is why the people and the government of the people should not have any part in assisting institutions that run themselves based upon poor management and greed. Let them reorganize them self or fail. This is what I had to do.
I currently have had to consider the option of bankruptcy but have decided my best course of action was to negotiate with the lending institutions. Much to my surprise only the institutions that had the most to loose were interested in negotiating a good solution. My mortgage company is unwilling to negotiate, told me that I made to little for assistance. Even before I was having troubles I contacted them to see what my options were. I was told there are no options for assistance unless I was 30 das late. Assisting in my current downward spiral. I haven’t hit the ground yet, but have gained a lot more control.
I remember back in the 1990s that irrational could flourish for a long, long time. Our political despots have now created their own golden age. We somehow are experiencing deflating asset values imbedded on top of stagflation in terms of our economy and buying necessities. On what other planet would our current leaders be considered to be somewhat intelligent beings? Great salesmanship isn’t the same thing as intelligence.
If the government is so afraid of what will happen if China quits buying our debt why don’t we Americans boycott our debt until our government stops burying us under it? If we don’t buy our debt then foreign governments may want to reconsider buying it. Then our politicians will have work toward making our country prosperous again. As things stand invest against current government efforts.
Dear Martin,
YOU need to be running this country! We are on very thin ice and I fear the cracks in
the ice (GM & Chrysler) are going to spread like a raging fire! I purchased your most recent book, (Ultimate survival guide) and I hope it will pull a guy who is disabled with
a wife who sells real estate from the bottomless pit this administration has created.
In fairness past administrations have indeed contributed to this mess and I seen it
coming but ignorned the warnings. I will no longer ignore the warnings and God
willing we will prevail and prosper once again. Are you ever going to be in Pennsylvania?
Looking forward to meeting you in the near future.
The reason we’re bailing out GM, even if they’re 173 Billion dollars in dept already, is to spare employee’s their jobs? They should be payed a big benefit package and can move on and find some more stability, hopefully. Isn’t this like a bandaide?
What I’ve learned is the “Federal Reserve” is the ones that control the banks, Gov’ts etc. They could “easily” print more money like they just did, to save people from LOSING THEIR HOMES, etc. Did gov’t and elites have stocks, etc. invested in GM?? What’s going on?
I want to thank you for your advice and help over the last half year. I learned a lot but, at almost 89 years of age, I cannot risk much of my limited nest egg and still keep the family island paradise I’ve developed with my own blood, sweat and money for the benefit of my family LLC. I would like to have participated in your million dollar program but with a $5000 account. Not even including including Broker’s fees, I figure that in following your market moves we would have to gain about about 30% just for me to break even.
Thank you again and God Bless you, too. I really believe you are honestly trying to help people.
My question.
I believe gold and silver will do good over the next few months and years. I have invested in the Central Funds of Canada (GTU, and CEF). Do you agree with this type of investment and investing in Central Fund of Canada and my time frame
But SLV and GLD ETFs seem to be doing better than GTU and CEF. Do you have any comment. Should i withdraw my investments from GTU and CEF and invest in SLV and GLD
I look foreward to your reply. Thanks
The GM plant at Spring Hill, Tennessee is only 16 miles west and in a few months, it will be idled. It currently has @ 2,100 employees but as important, it has 8,000 employees that work in sister businesses that serve the plant. Counting spouses and kids that affects a lot of people. And that puts additional stress on a state that relies on a Tennessee Sales Tax to fund its’ operations.
The green shoots that we were suppose to see sprouting are brown and wilting away… More foreclosures, more bankruptcies, more unemployment, which begets more foreclosures, and more bankruptcies and soon the business sector begins to tumble, and then the commercial foreclosures and bankruptcies grow and then more unemployment, and the circle goes round again and again…….
And we understand why students at Peking University in China break out in laughter when our Tresury Secretary Geithner speaking about U.S. bonds, of which China is the biggest foreign owner of U.S. Treasury bonds. says:
“Chinese financial assets are very safe,” Geithner said. His response drew laughter from the audience.
It was very embarrasing for the United States.
The market is being manipulated and those that buy into this Conjured Rally will be devastated when reality comes calling. The green shoot reports are fabricated and when no one is looking or listening, they adjust the reports later to reflect reality, long after the controlled and biased media has reported “How Great Thou Art”.
P.T. Barnum said, “There’s a sucker born every minute”. I hope each of you hold true to yourselves and let Martin and staff guide you through troubled times. Hey as Bob once said, “The times, they are a changin”
I response to GM, come meet the new boss, same as the old boss…………..
I drive a Toyota…….
Thanks for your concerned and insightful inputs concerning the imploding financial situation. I firmly believe that select sectors and stock is even more likely to provide exceptional profit potential because of the current situation. Right now, bargain basement stock like G.E., Cat, Exxon Mobil and any realistic “green” energy solution providers will generate huge gains over the next five or so years. The once in a lifetime prices on these blue chips, I see as an irresistable long term play.
Let’s get some things in perspective.
All gold that has ever been mined amoumnts to $ 5 trillion. US toal debt amounts to conservatively $ 600 trillion - ten time the world GDP. Even the massive amounts of the government bail out package ($ 13 trillion) are peanuts when compared to the total problem. There is no elixir for this terminal disease - the USA will not survive in the immediate geopolitical world as a nation.
Bloomberg recently had an article saying that the US will be emaciated like Zimbabwe, how sad. What have we done wrong???
We can expect breakdown in societal systems leading to massive civili strife - actually civil war, total breakdown from within, and then milatary occupation from without. After all the world wants its money back!
Martin,
Your latest forecast of doom has never referred to the real problems that have brought America to this state of fighting for its economical life. The seeds of these problems were not planted this year, but most of them were allowed to grow over the last eight years. It doesn’t take a genius to become a Monday morning quarterback. Where were you and your team when all the roads to these critical problems were being ignored. I do not know if the present administration can salvage the country’s future, but I do know that publishing all the predictions of gloom and doom you have opted to make your platform, has become nothing more than a critique of Obama and nothing more.
I will cancel my subscription and depend on more astute advisors in the future.
Good luck and God Bless.
We “the people” are in DEEP do-do ! The present BUNCH in Washington are inexperienced,inept,impressed with their power,shoot blindly from the hip,don`t consider any consequencies,……I could go on and on…..gets` right back to the DEEP DO-DO!!! Gov`t can`t save GM…They`ll run out of the $70BLN before people start buying cars again….and when they start buying cars again….they won`t be made by GM! Most of the GM`s bailout $ is going to their underfunded pension plans….who are they trying to fool? JERRY SHISLER
I feel the root cause of any boom or bust in the U.S. is directly related to the dictates of the “Federal” Reserve. After some research on the history of the FR, one can easily see that they control this country and have power to force their will on all….our government (which of course the Federal Reserve is NOT a part of) in this country are just their puppets.
In my opinion this country will cease to be a world power in just a few short years and will then be absorbed into the One World Government.
Money is power and the LOVE of money is the root of all evil.
For now gold, silver and inverse ETF’s are the place to be for our quickly depreciating dollars. For eternity our faith, trust and hope needs to be place in the God of the Bible.
79 years old, reasonably healthy, retired last June, (wife still working part-time). No pension, just savings and good investments. Barring a catastrophic event, we can make it financially. Planned on no SS or Medicare but taking advantage of them while they last. Thought seriously of moving out of the USA but all family & friends are here, so no go. Crime increasing despite the media saying it isn’t. Live 40 miles from the heart of a major city and hoping no one else wants to move to the ‘burbs. After the last election results went & bought double “O” buckshot for my 12 gauge in case the predicted “civil disorder” happens. We are hunkered down, cautious but still viewing the glass as at least half full.
Martin; My state of mind is that I am not sure of what’s coming. I know Banacke main goal is to devalue the dollar so we can better compete internationally, however, I suspect his thought process is overly simplistic.
What he has definitely accomplished is to partially distroy the American “Wealth Creating Engine.”
My only real hope is that both parties show their distain and offer resistance to further massive spending. Perhaps we can slow down (hamper) this administration at Mid Term Elections?
It’s unfortunate that society of this age is generating more followers than thinkers resulting in this administration. We appear to be outnumbered, at this time, perhaps not, humans are fickle and can “turn on a Dime” maybe?.
Keep pushing, you have my respect.
Anthony M.
Government Motors! Obama could care less about the American worker or it’s citizens. He is strictly in the prower broker business. What message will he deliver in Cairo, Egypt this thursday? My fear is that he will sell out the U.S.A and Israel to gain favor from his Muslem brothers worldwide. I am 70 years old and have gone through 3 corporate bankruptcys in the Airline Industry during my working lifetime. I have lost most of my retirement and now what was left have lost over 40% of that due to the economic meltdown. Do I feel sorry for all the UAW Union employees that have lost jobs or are going to lose jobs? No! Noone tooke care of my wrinkled old butt when it happened to me but I did and am surviving. Will they survive? Probably, but Obama could care less how they accomplish that. My gut feeling is that Obama is more interest in converting this once great nation into one of governemt dependency and political power for him and his. “Change We Can Believe In”, Pure Bull Crap. We will soon see $5.00-10.00 dollar per gallon gas, unafforadable home heating prices, food shortages, 10-%+ inflation and 20%+ tax increases. This I will not be able to survive as well as many citizens. This will cause REAL change which will get very ugly! In my view, Obama’s policies regarding running our country are about as worthless as a screendoor on a Submarine.
The US dollar is on the threshold of judgement day. Here is a list of interested parties who want the dollar to be devalued at our expense…………
OBAMA
EVERY EXPORTER ON PLANET EARTH EXCEPT US
THE FEDERAL RESERVE
THE CHINESE
THE JAPANESE
GOLD/SILVER STAKE HOLDERS
THE EUROPEANS
THE TREASURY SECRETARY
PRETTY MUCH EVERYONE ON PLANET EARTH EXCEPT US
If I had not read your recent book and all of your helpful newsletters, I’d be trying to decide how to rebalance my protfolio - bonds, large cap stocks, small cap stocks - and the proper mix of domestic to international. I now look at diversification in a new way. Your information on ETFs has been extremely helpful - what great tools for all markets. Using ETFs I’m shorting long term treasuries, buying gold and silver, playing currency trends, and owning a little bit of China. I have a good store of cash and I’m ready to start shorting the stock indices as this rally fizzles. It takes more time and attention, but it is definitely worth it. Thank you for valuable advice.
No Chance!
I am invested primarily in Gold. For inflation deflation or political risk, I think it has proven itself historically.
The dollar and the stock market seem to work inversely. Market willgo up with Goldman Sacks manipulation.
I am not a day trader. I bought food etf’s MOO Dba, etc. They have done well as has a wheat futures contract. We do have to eat as they say.
Stock up on cans and store a years supply of food. It may come in handy. I also bought a good handgun and ammo, I know it sounds paranoid, but……. who knows.
G d Bless America!!!!
GM’s demise was more about it’s poor planning about the future… They could have easily began work the chevy Volt years ago ( but now a 40 mile range for a plug in is almost obsolete and the car hasn’t come out yet.!) Personally I feel that the UAW strangled the management with their demands ,pensions, and layoff programs what a sweet deal it was.
GM Has basically written off $172 Billion of debt by going Bankrupt. Yet I feel those “elements” of product design. production, and quality are not in place at this point to revive this dinosaur. They MUST re-engineer their future and learn what the Japanese have learned years ago about building a quality machine. it’s about proper materials for proper long term operation. ie. Why do Toyota’s Last so well ? it’s also about the UNIONS and their greed seizing the day and ruining or more aptly put “biting the hand that fed them” . in the end those that mattered least were rewarded MOST and you cannot expect to survive when quality and R&D are slipping through your fingers as management looks the other way or are too busy fliting about on the corporate jet instead of managing by EXAMPLE and fixing issues before they become a problem and require a Federal RECALL. GM rolled the dice thinking were all a bunch of 6th graders with grilled cheese sandwich brains and would’nt notice their poorly made Products that were made by union labor that had a golden parachute.
Martin, your will be better served if you STOP being an alarmist and using FRIGHT to lure your customer base and instead become PROACTIVE and tell WHERE it’s best to invest during these interesting times. Your diatribes are alarmist and do not contribute to clarity we are all seeking.
God, you Americans overreact. It’s not the end of the world. It’s the end of America thinking that they are the only game in the world. A new realism of thinking is required with some damn optimism. The USA has been living on credit for decades. Find ways to earn your living in competition with the rest of the world. GM ignored the rest of the world with regard to motor manufacture. It was always going down without fresh thinking. But look at ExxonMobil, the most successful corporation in the world. The most successful US corporations are those that are able to move freely and comfortably in the rest of the world.The US was the home of innovation and it can still be so.
By all means be prudent with your money (a good rule for all times) but don’t climb into your bunker with your egg-laying chickens just yet.
SIR
I have now read you for many months. I must conclude that you have always been right to date. What a performance!
If we already had the oracle of Omaha in Buffet, i just hope that we do not now have the oracle of Florida in Weiss! As everything happens nothing is impossible!I hope that the great american nation will be stronger than ever after this terrible storm.
Here in Canada Quebec province, things are not so bad, but what will be the future here if U.S. collapse?
I followed your advices for a long time, and stay cash except little day trading on oil and gold.
Thank you for your work so needed now. I am giving your site to a lot of people here.
God bless you.
Antoine Poitras Quebec city Canada
Considering all the tinder boxes associated with the current national and international political, social and economic environments, should any one or a combination catch fire it seems that the unthinkable(financial collapse, loss of faith in governments ability to control and stabilize, widespread social unrest and the dire consequences of each) happening everywhere grows stronger with each passing week. I just can’t get my mind around what this means for our lives in the relative short term i.e. next couple of years. Certainly some riots, martial law, social and moral degradation, deprivation, civil wars, etc. have and are happening in some places around the world but is it really realistic in our own backyards? Those that embrace the spectre of economic and social collapse do present compelling arguments for the potential of it happening in the short term and even some voices that had been advocating recovery have now begun to express concerns and doubts. There are some scary opinions about what could happen! Would be interested in hearing why an imminent collapse will not happen.
Your predictions that a catastrophe is coming seem to make sense. However, even bears are now saying the stock market will go up for a while. I have stayed in the money market for months but am beginning to believe I need to get back in the market at least short term.
Also, I am not convinced that your prediction of a deflationary rather than an inflationary depression is correct. (I have read your book.) I cannot believe the federal government will not just simply print money and pay entitlements and debt in inflated money.
I understand that we all feel a little sense of dread about the unknown repercussions following the GM bankrupcy. My question is, leaving the feeling of dread and fear aside for a second, how do we answer those journalists/analysts that say that the debt level per unit of GDP is still way below that of other countries? The number for the US would have to double approximately, for example, to match the problems that the UK is currently going through, and even for them, the credit rating agencies just downgraded the outlook and not the actual rating itself. Bigger point - totally agree that we in the US are headed down the wrong path, but how much more time do we have compared to other countries? Having said all that, my feeling is that, even if our debt level per GDP ratio is not as bad as (say) the UK, the effort required to reverse the situation may be more difficult and have worse side-effects than just hastening the process of bankrupting the USA. The author seems to be brought up more and more, these days, but really, I think Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged concept is still 100% sound and relevant to today. Do we want to hasten the inevitable bankrupcy and deal with it in our generation, or leave it for our kids or grandkids to sort out? How do we hasten bankrupcy? In some perverse way, maybe it is, in fact, moral to max out all credit cards, and then default. Feel free to flame me, now, but I’m just throwing ideas out there.
Dear Martin,
The country I was born into 61 years ago is already gone! The question is whether financial viability will last long enough for me to be comfortably dead, or we have the Second Coming, whichever comes first…
Not too many years ago, after Orange County defaulted, I had a discussion with my father to the effect that the mounting National Debt would drive the Federal Government to default on its obligations. Now Comrade Al-Obama has spent beyond our ability to pay, our children’s ability to pay, our grand children’s ability to pay, our great-grand children’s ability to pay… He is a faithful disciple of FDR, not realizing that FDR’s bad tax policies actually prolonged the Depression. Al-Obama overlooks that we have learned a great deal since 1932, and hence his policy is 100% wrong and doomed to a catastrophic failure!
There are some good investments out there. I still think the Utility and Energy sectors offer good returns for retirees. Careful contrarian investments are to be found for the long term. I am also intrigued with the prospect of Saturn as an independent company. For the next five years, I think Ford is attractive. Al-Obama’s ‘Government Motors’ with its little green cars that will only be viable in the big cities will be an expensive failure. Even if the government does sell off its equity in a few years — probably at a loss — serious investors will avoid such investments.
Keep on doing what you are doing! Your researches are a voice of truth in the wilderness of cheerleader and governmant lies!
Cheers,
Kent
The bail-outs are, simply, madness.
America learned nothing from the oil panic of 1974 - we still have no viable energy policy. We remain at the mercy of OPEC.
Now we beg the Chinese to not stop buying our bonds - translation: buy something that will be worth much less next year and every year thereafter.
To base the nation’s future on the goodwill of the Chinese Communist Party is beyond stupid, it is sedition and treason.
As for GM, it two years it will in desperate need of funds. Since ‘the taxpayers’ now own it, we’all will be expected to bail it out again.
And it five years it will again face bankruptcy and reorganization.
And in five years I will be afraid to write such a letter as I am sure the thought police will be watching me.
Hi Martin. My portfolio is basically gold,silver and your contrarian recommendations. I haven’t been following your Safe Money recommendations because most stocks, if you are right, will tank. I have been doing some GIGO get in and get out trades. They have been mostly successful. I furthur believe that we will have runaway inflation,such as brazil has experienced in the past. I pray it not be so, but i do not see anyway to avoid it. I do not think real estate is a good hedge as it wouldv most likely be lost to inflated taxes. Super inflation is a sure way for government to seize private prperty through taxes. God bless
Respectfully;
Gerald P. Murphy
Jerry
good morning,
I have been following your reccomendations except shorting the dow/s and p and nasdaq after listening to Larry who so far is proven correct. he states the dollar with have a short bounce-do you agree and if so what is regarded as short? also euro dollar when do you feel it will turn-1.45 or 1.50?
also have you changed your view on the markets and expect it to keep climbing or collapse as Klaus has described.
Lastly, I have bought SRS a inverse on the real estate market. I bought at 24 and is now 18. Is this the correct way to short real estate and the next shoe to drop. It,s high was 300 in november. Will it go back there? Would you play srs or another choice and will the real estate get worse.
Also, sorry for the long letter. I would like to come over from London and meet you guys one day and give you my thanks as I enjoy your articles and have enjoyed the journey of TBT thanks to you. Is it possible to meet you and discuss the future with you at some stage?
My brother and I were searching for a uk product to take advantage of the uk gilt market but tbt was the only inverse bond we could find and so chose that route.
All the best,
Andrew Hart
I think, that this amount of paper flooding our country and with a good possibility that China, and Europe could dump our greenbacks for hard metal (Gold/Silver) or a new world money, we hard in deep trouble.
I think that if we went into sometype of gold standard, backing our paper for example:
$5000 / $10,000 gold per oz. gold standard paper. China and Europe would hold on to our (gold standard) paper. The gold standard paper would also eat up our debt. Note: The USA might have to declare inself insolvent prior to switching to this gold standard.
Martin,
I have some of my investments in ETF’s, specifically, SRS, SDS, FXP and DUG (just to counter the recent run up in oil recently) but I have taken a major bath, especially with SRS and FXP. Thoughts?
Thanks,
Leo in the DC area.
GM name will survive but will be unrecognizable as the GM of yesteryear.
1) Economic situation will become dire, vehicles as we know them will become a luxury few can afford.
2) The regulator efforts of Federal government to more standards not supported the public are a major problem this includes taxes added to fuel causing $5.00 a gallon by 2010 $7.00 by 2012, and more if consumption is more than enviomentalists think should be.
3) Electric cars will face $0.25 or more per KWH to plug into special grid connection for charging auto batteries due to energy and road taxes, also the current grid will run out of capacity if there are many more electric cars being charged, regulations will soon be required to charge cars at non peak electrical load times..
4) The model to look at to see the future is European socialist, Muslim or Asian countries, only the elite will have traditional American type cars all others will have motor bikes or light trucks.
5) The current administration, “change” is rapidly taking the country to the socialist / comunist poor house fewer and fewer persons will be able to afford personal transportation as today.
—-Not a very good out look, government spending is dooming GM and everbody, the good times are over, if you are not ready now it may be too late, hyper inflation will start by this fall (Oct. 2009).
Face it - America is on its way down the tubes. But, there will be many who profit by it, as there always are during catastrophies. Sometime we have to fall in order to pick our selves up. The question is not “ARE we falling?” but “WHEN will we hit rock bottom, and will we bounce?”. There is a fundamental law that governs “bounce” that has to do with resilience. The question, then, is “Does America have enough resilience to bounce back?”. It’s happening. I told my insurance broker back in 1996,the year I retired (young!), that we would see a HUGE financial calamity early in the 21st. century. He merely smiled - so did I…
Before the non-conspiracy readers get upset with what I’m about to say, ask yourself “How can the world’s largest (at one time), perhaps wealthiest corporation now be bankrupt?” GM as well as Ford and Chrysler employ many, many extremely intelligent and well-educated people to predict trends and to adjust production accordingly. Is it an accident that these companies were unable to see fuel costs spike and consumer wishes for more economical vehicles rise? Is it a coincidence that along with sending tens of thousands of union workers to unemployment lines GM will also divest itself of billions of dollars of financial responsibilities in the form of pension plans?
The long-term repercussions from a GM bankruptcy will, I fear, be truly staggering. I can’t help but believe that this entire economic debacle, here and world wide, has been carefully and thoroughly orchestrated to the end of a one world currency and a one world government. This to the extreme detriment of all of us in either the middle or the bottom of the financial heap.
“Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?”… “Who will guard the guards?”
Gerry
My basket is full with gold and on the inverse side etf FAZ. At 3X the inverse of the index I believe FAZ could be a big winner.
Martin:
I am a retired local government attorney with absolutely minimal investment knowledge and less than two years investment experience–and that on very, very limited funds. My original goal was and still is to develop my investments to supplement a decent and comparatively secure retirement so that I could add a few frills to my life that I might not otherwise be able to afford. But, like most, I have not been successful in that attempt thus far.i
I believe that America will survive although I think the road will be tough and I do not see America being the preeminent economy for some time, perhaps never again. That is not to say that America will not be an economic force in the future but I think we will be behind several other countries such as China and India.
I found your positions on the economy to be more realistic than most and agree that the present market rally will not last and will be followed by another significant downward movement in our economy.
I believe foreign stocks and precious metals will be the best investments for the immediate future. I am also following the Contrarian portfolio although on such a small scale compared to your own investment as to be significant only to me.
Invest in Guns, Food, and keep your money in a safe place protected by your guns! Be self sufficient and depend on no one! Let the monkeys in the White House fling poo on us until we are sick of it and the whole zoo collapses. Then we must open our safes, take our money out, and start over. Everything else mentioned is just a best effort of what “might” happen or what should we do.
Sorry, I am just a 28yr old dad who for the first time in my life started to care. My father-in-law and my grand father-in-law both subscribe to the Money and Markets news letters. I get the daily emails and buy the books Martin and his crew put out.
From what i gather, Martin advises to save safely, wait for the collapse, and then rebuild it the right way…….
Until then,
Remember what matters most and what you can take with you when you die.
As an old man, 81 rushing towards 82, I am sure I will not live to see the recovery which I am sure will involve a revolution or a war. All of the last three generations of Lewises’ said it the same, and I do too: ” We have had the best of it “.
No Martin,
We are not going to survive as the nation we know today.
We are going to be a second rate nation as the Bilderberg Group wants.
We were the final obstacle to the formation and consolidation of the One World Government.
In contrast with what they did in the formation of the “European Nation” they had to destroy not only the sovereignty and the currency but what was left of our financial independence with debt that could not be paid back.
To add insult to injury, they managed “to dummy” our people to the point they were no longer capable of having a discerning capability any more.
I can’t see America surviving as long as we still have a two party system that allow the embicles of both parties to steal our money and give it away to Corporations and individuals that don’t have a clue and trying to be the so called policeman of the world. Hell we can’t even police ourselves. Short of Revolution the age of the American Empire is coming to a close. Bet against American Stocks and Currency and your sure to make money in the long run. Sorry to say that South America and Asia may the places to be. Unless someone has some balls to stop this madness and the American people have the guts to listen and sacrifice, we are done, finished, through, kaput.
Hi Martin,
Yes, America will survive, but survive is it. America will never be the great economic giant that it was in the 50-70’s. We have become a nation of consumers, and have given up being the best at intervention, manufacturing, and being producers. We have become a nation of users, and I don’t think there is much brightness in the future.
My hope is that the Obama Administration and Congress take a look at the 1921 Depression (Yes, the 1921 Depression, the one no one likes to talk about), and get some direction in what would really solve this Recession/Depression that we are currently in. Spending more money will not solve the problem. It did not solve it in the last great depression, it didn’t solve it in Japan’s recession, and it will not solve our problem.
If we are truly capitalists, then we should act like same. If you invest in a business and run it poorly, and end up owing more than you own, then you lose, then you fail, and you should be allowed to fail. Not one of these banks, not one of these corporations should be allowed to continue. They should be allowed to fail in order to make way for new innovators to come along and continue, and maybe do it right the next time around.
As to the investors side of all this, I can only say that I do not think there is one stock on the entire exchange that is worth risking your money on right now. The only thing that is real right now are the commodities, the items the world needs to continue to function, ie: oil, foodstuffs, metals.
The best investment I believe should be silver. It is currently being manipulated to keep the price low, but if owning 37% of the above ground silver is good enough for Warren Buffett, then I know it is good enough for me.
Silver, gold and some other commodities will be the only thing worth owning, especially if this administration continues to print money out of thin air. Where is it going to stop? Will we stop before we end up with another Wiemar, Germany fiasco? Will we stop printing the money before it becomes completely worthless, as it did in Germany in 1919-1923. I really hope that someone in this Government will see the disaster for which we are heading unless we curtail spending, and fairly quick at that. We do not have much time to make a change that will correct the madness that we are now involved in.
I made this as short as I could, but could have written hundreds of pages if I had to.
Best to you, and may God bless your work,
Harry
I cannot believe that so many members of Congress are idly standing by and contributing to sending this once proud country down the toilet. If all members of Congress were asked to take
a loyalty oath to the US rather than ridiculous ideoligies, I wonder how many would choose the good old USA.
Dear Martin,
In reply to the question YES,but the real question is how will they pay for this debt.
I belive that we will see tax increases of every sort inclueding a Vat tax which will
raise taxes for every american. This will be presented as nessary in light of the
historic events ( that they caused ) “They inherited “and you did vote for change.
Keep up your good work.
Best Regards,
Pat
The inevitable seems so impossible, the citizentry can not comprehend what will happen. Debt destroys if not managed properly and the gov’t is mismanging debt beyond anything ever witnessed before. To me this ends in violence, revolution, desperation, chaos and military in the streets. I am not an extreme person. I have run several companies built using borrowed funds. I know the stress associated with debt. The gov’t has no signs of stress, except for the Sec. of Treas. Obama glad-hands, believes himself and exhibits no accountability for his actions. This is the most sure recipe for disaster you can imagine. God help us.
I am a manufacturer. Being able to borrow is extremely important to my survival. Red tape expenses are unbelievable. I think most of the voters are on payroll for 3 or more generations and have no idea what their employers are facing in red tape or they would vote differently. Now that unemployment checks are running out more will be forced to become entrepreneurs. That is when, I hope, they will discover that the ‘there aught to be a law mentality’ should go away.
Dear Martin
I grew up in a third world country, a few lived well, but the majority lived in poverty. Not the abject poverty that we see in the Philipines or some parts of India, but we did not have cars, bank accounts, fine homes, TVs,telephones. Education and business was the way to obtain a higher standard of living. America has always projected a picture of affluent lifestyles to the world and people strive to attain it by any means possible. Today we are experiencing an economy shift, we will survive with less; those who are wise and thrifty will have sufficient. What surprises me here is that people who were doing so well are unable to feed their families. I read yesterday that the shareholders of GM are out in the cold. The bond holders are receiving 10% share of the company,the UAW 17.5%,the Canadian govt. 12.5% and the Federal Govt. 60%.
Please tell me why the stock market even exists. Plus the fact that people will be losing jobs.
Time to buy Gold, Gold stocks, and OIL
I think the huge spending by all the countries of the word has averted financial catastrophy and the US stock market will continue to rise and reach 5o% above present levels, this year. Buy Bank of America and GE now.
Will America survive?
Years ago I read a little book named, How To Cash In While The Other Guy Goes Under.
It stated in every crises and every calamity there is a window of opportunity to win and win big. I love winning and know that whatever happens, just position yourself to provide the running herd a direction to you and your concepts and opportunities. Give them an answer to there fears and passions and they will shower you with money. Soon the herd will be jumping out of the stock market again and this time after the dust clears the best opportunities will be available to those with wisdom and direction.
Yes for sure we will survive, I know I will.
I am a retired enlisted soldier, with no investments or private means. I live now as I always have, at the pleasure of government. America, as we knew it, and the one I fought for, is dead. What follows is not pretty. The Fascisti have arrived and nothing will ever be the same. Change is natural and to be expected. How many auto makers
have gone the way of the Dodo in my lifetime? GM is just one more, but the marque will still be there, a hollow icon - eyewash - as we say in the Army.
I wish I had bought stock in Ruger, Smith and Wesson and Winchester on Nov 5th, but lame old soldiers don’t have discretionary funds to gamble. My advice, Trust nothing this government says or does; believe nothing you personally cannot prove; Keep your faith but be prepared for persecutions; learn the skills for elementary survival and start
now. Pass on to those ill educated, ignorant young, what America was, and might be.
You’re not defeated until you believe you’re defeated!
By the way excessive Red Tape does not prevent crooks from operating, it just prevents honest folk from operating.
Martin,
Your latest book predicts deflation. Peter Schiff, another respected analyst, predicts the oppoiste - inflation and hyper-inflation. Which future is the most probable and why?
Thank you in advance for your response!
Paul
Please answer whether your advice to convert most stock holdings into Treasuries still stands. If not what else?
Will americe survive? YES.
Every fiat dollar that is printed today will effect us over the next 1 to 3 years with higher prices and a lower standard of living. Good luck getting a job that makes a living wage( greater than 50000 per year) thats pretty much evaporated from the american landscape.
Has anyone ever noticed how many people work for the government today?
Just go out on the road at 9am on the next federal holiday, it’s pretty much a ghost town. I heard an estimate somewhere that in any given locale in america fully 55% or more people work directly or indirectly for the government. Goes to show you what’s REALLY happened to america since 1981. I wish us all good luck with the frankenstein monster AKA the american economy.
Dear Dr. Martin,
The fall of America will be the 8th wonder of the world. And I dare to say that the US is too big to fall. Of course, we have started a global economy, and nobody knows how it should work.
I dare to say that only after those 9 trillion dollars announced by the government we could have the real crisis.
But a real crisis, will start when the US will have no immigrants. Could this happen? Yes, but hard to believe, in my life. The US will no more have immigrants when another place to attract them will develop, or when the people will have no reason to immigrate. Again, hard to believe. Conclusion: the whole world will change.
We think those of us who were not greedy and played life as our parents taught us born in the depression days will be alright. Even though we made alot of money some of us we didn’t like debt so didn’t jump in and drown. Always frugal and laughed at we
retired over thirty three years ago with everything paid for…..no debt and live below our means. Now in our 70’s our big house can hold a son or daughters family when it get rough out there and live like the Walton’s and enjoy the beach three miles away. This is teaching so many how to finally live and what is really important in life and it’s not an unpaid for BMW, it’s the cushion we were told to have for the rainy days.
Dear Mr Weiss,
I`m writing you from Germany and the financial situation is a bit different for the individual
( social securities …..`).I prefer some gold, gold Etf`s, corporate bonds with short terms, and some stocks. For hegding a knock out put.
Your money and market is so fascinating, but it`s hard to get some American investments
here.
Thank you for all the work you do for this letter .
irmi
I would simply let the system collapse and rebuild on the rubble. Experts can give a hundred reasons I am wrong. In the end the system will implode and the Feds will print enough worthless money to make the Weimar Republic pale by comparison.
I am very concerned that by year end we will be in a very deep depresion, one that will last for 5-6 years. We are also heading for total government control over everything we do and own. I am 63 years old and have never seen such blatant corruption in every part of our Government, starting at the very top. I am very scared for our Country I have written both senators and my congresman many times, but have never received a reply. I am very angry and frustrated. I am at a loss as to what to do except vote for “honest” change in 2010. I only hope it is not too late. This Country has no legitimate leadership.
How do you get the statistics for your letter and the comments made by the writters
600 trillion of debt seems unlikley a number. How can you but not Larry E. miss out on one of the biggest bounces instock market history. mar 9 s&p 666 I guess the market went to hell in a hand basket. Now it is at 943 a 42% return. now if we see a 10-16%
decline and then an upturn the bear market is over.
your advise has been to get out of debt: house, cars, credit cards etc. For 99% of the public that will tend to be very difficult as we have been raised to buy on time, save a portion of our income and make payments on time and to trust the financial system. the jobs are gone, the morality is gone, the character is gone and so is the money. In this economic environment is it impossible for the average person to stay solvent. Any one with a 401k has been ripped off by the system they trusted, now they have nothing to invest with. we all do not have hundreds of thousands of dollars to invest. the nation is broke. people are not stupid they are ignorant and uneducated about money. Ask 20 people who owns the fed and 19 of them will say we do or the government. Until the population understands money a recovery will be difficult.
Dear Martin,
Your excellent reputation as an economic expert, honest reporter, and US Patriot is greatly appreciated. Your comments of the past have been very helpful to many people because your viewpoints followed the actual conditions of the day versus what the main press gave to us for consumption.
My opinion about the survivability of America is extremely cautious for many reasons including ultra high debt where it may be impossible to pay it back in a lifetime, reduction of lifestyle by the masses to a level not seen since the great depression, possible loss of law and order especially in urban areas, critical shortages even if temporary for water, food, medical supplies, energy, etc., and the reduction of our Constitutional rights as we knew them previously.
How can we say that investments in any venue will be successful when the very basic fundamental elements of society are now in play?
If and when our government returns to adherance to the Consitution, honest lawmaking and enforcement, the investment world is going to be undependable.
Martin, I appreciated your June 2 letter and forwarded it to my 150 or so friends thusly:
“Hello All,
Martin Weiss’ father was a successful investor/advisor dating back into the 1920’s & 30’s. Martin picked up the baton in the 50’s-60s. For years he has issued a very respected service, rating insurance companies and banks, along with market advisory products. I have subscribed to his service since the late 90’s.
Currently he has an actual one million dollar account, “The Million-Dollar Contrarian Portfolio”, as a model that subscribers may follow. It is administered by a noted German advisor, Claus Vogt.
Please scroll down for a brief communication he sent today that reflects reality in the midst of a current wide-spread false optimism.
Most of you, on my “e-mail list”, honor the God of the Bible, who wrote of these very troubled days to preceed His Son’s return to this planet to straighten things out!
Martin’s appraisal should cause us to pray and take what action we can to preserve our “plunging dollar”, defined, nest-eggs for sensible, administered, investment in His/our heavenly storehouse!
Speed the Day!
2 Peter 3:11-12, Duane G.
P.S. You may click here for a current picture of your “dollar”!”
I really don’t understand what all the fuss is about. I’m certain that the rest of the world doesn’t care wether or not the U.S. has anything to sell, they are happy sending us funds for pictures of dead presidents. Who needs a job anyway when China will finace our daily life………
Interest rates will have to increase due to massive amounts of dollars being pumped into our country.
The people runing our major corporations were taught at Harvard and other business schools to increase their prices based on the forward assumed inflation rate so they can earn money in real dollars. They will atill try to do this even in a market environment where the demand is significantly less. some will be bankrupt.
We must all write to our congressmen to stop this nonsense of bailing out failed banks and businesses that are not capable of using our tax money to recover. We should not help those that caused this problem and continue to bleed our money system.
We need to ask congress tro stop this nonstop effort by the exective branch to put us so far in debt that we can never hope to recover.
I vote for investing in Agriculture, food, precious metals and key industrial commodities like copper.
We need to fire the Federal Reserve. They are not in our government anywy and they primarily serve big money interests. Who has received all of the stimulus money?
When do we get an acounting of these funds?
I believe that America will survive after several years with renewed strength. Hopefully The administration will come to their senses and abandon their bail out plans.
For now Inverse ETF’s will make the most profits. Stocks in China will make good gains after we hit bottom, probably around Dow 3,000, maybe less!
Many thanks for your guidance in this turmoil.
Stan
Hi Martin. I am not sure if you subscribe to the Kondratieff cycle but I feel that there is a good deal of truth in this theory. Simply put, according to this theory, after 70 or so years since the last winter (depression) we are once again in winter and the investment of the moment is gold, but in particular junior gold mining stocks. I take the view that the oil/gold relationship that seemed to drift apart over the past few months is likely to be back with a vengance, seeing both commodities move higher. I would be interested in your comments on this. Kind regards, James
Martin, you did an excellent job again in recognizing what is up and explaining it the way which is understandable for all.
Thank you.
Michal
Hi Martin, Claus and Friends,
I would like to start by saying it’s about time! Inefficient giants have been ravaging public funds for years. And we all know, that NO bailout money should have been forwarded to any of these Car Companies or Banks without some very obvious list of changes to infrastructure and operations, enough said!
I am very interested in the possibility of making money with commodities, precious metals, oil and gas, etc. But Every time I hope to make 20-30% gains on a stock in USD, the very real possibility that I will lose ground on a depreciating USD now looms large? Which means I might need to make minimum 50% profit on each investment to reduce this risk, but that doesn’t seem realistic?
Thanks Michael
(Vancouver)
Will America survive? I can only hope and pray that it does! I remember what it says in the Bible, 2nd Chronicles 7:14, “if my people, who are called by my Name, humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, will forgive their sins, and will heal their land”. America’s problem is not economic, it is moral. The economic downturn is the symptom and result of a deeper spiritual problem. As de Tocqueville said many years ago, “America is great because America is good. If America ceases to be good, she will cease to be great”.
You are my most trusted source of financial common sense in these increasingly destabilizing economic times. Thanks for all you are doing!
I do not believe the question of America’s survival is in our hands but I do believe that our elected leaders’ moral character and therefore decisions they make will be pivitol in our immediate future. If knowledge is power than it follows that lack of knowledge breeds powerlessness. When we see the incredibly self-serving moves our leaders are making, virtually spitting in the face of informed decisions and common sense, we have only ourselves (collectively speaking) to blame. I believe the current administration gained office by appealing to the self-serving interests of the masses - basically their greed and penchant for government handouts. In this country we generally get what we want in terms of the government. So we have voted ourselves into impotence.
I think the lightning strike of the debt crisis last fall was the shockwave that started an avalanche. It was given a push down the mountain by President Bush and with the coronation of Obama the slope of the mountain has increased an order of magnitude. I for one do not intend to get buried by this avalanche. I so appreciate your urgent clairion call to get our money to safety. As of yeasterday I could take no more sleepless nights and have moved all my retirement accounts to what you have said is the safest investment - T-Bill money market accounts. I plan on sleeping well as the avalanche gains momentum and pray I can stay at least one step ahead of the coming inflationary devastation. I have also gotten completely out of debt and have reduced discretionary spending to the minimum. I can do no more. Thanks for being the voice of reason in these troubled times!
The only realistic solution to the economic malaise was declaration of a tax holiday; a suspension of payroll taxes and elimination of the capital gains tax. The government currently takes about $20 billion from the productive citizens every week in the form of payroll taxes; equating to over $1 trillion a year. Fewer people would be laid off, the worker would have more to spend and the recession would end immediately. We would not need to concern ourselves with failing businesses and banks that were poorly managed as there would be plenty of investors from around the world willing and able to pick up the pieces — driving new business and new jobs.
Obama is proving that governing by left wing ideology does not work.
Will America Survive?
As with Greece and Rome, history is due to repeat itself. The American Economy as we know it will change. But the spirit of America will live on! America is only a thought in our minds and in our hearts. Whatever happens in the future, only God knows. Don’t be afraid of what the future holds. As Americans we will never give up, and we will never surrender.
This economy is simpley a house of cards ready to implode.
Sorry!
Hi, thanks so much for your prior report on the 100 safest n most dangerous banks. With the GM failure I worry how that effects our banks and specifically whether JP Morgan and/or CitiBank will fail. I echo you, I believe in not expecting BOA to fail. Any comments ?
The American Empire will only survive if we have true leadership, paradigm shifts, and vision (along with implementation) for the 21st century. All the oil/bank/politicos, etc Baron’s are short sighted and greedy. China and other developing nations will surpass us in energy, bio-tech, stem cell, health care, etc. as our pols cling to obsolete ideologies and again greed.
We got change and short changed.
Bush/Obama & whoever the next crook is that we elect, are one in the same, make no mistake about it. A politician is a politician, and they are all (or 99%) corrupt. It is all about money & power - no matter what country you live in.
With regard to investments, my position is get out of the U.S. dollar while you still have one. Our government is purposely debasing the dollar. Get into gold, the only investment that has REAL value. Get into foreign stocks that are high dividend paying stocks. The next bubble or bubbles may possibly be dollar-denominated cash assets and U.S. bonds. I read an article from an online foreign newspaper recently that stated the U.S. is at best going to resemble the Weimar Republic or at worst, Zimbabwe. I tend to believe this due to all of the fiat money our government is printing. The U.S. may survive this economic tornado, but we will be VERY different when the dust settles. Our children & grandchildren will NOT know what the real America was like. They will have a new reality & will be fascinated by our stories of things like free speech, respecting the individual, and the crazy notion of life, liberty, & the pursuit of happiness.
Will the richest country in the world survive.. of course it will. But, if the Federal authorities don’t go after the thieves who have been knowingly selling worthless debts then, look forward to more of the same when once again the U.S. of A. bounces back. The bounce back will be quicker if Uncle Sam could see his way clear to relinquish this stupid, costly, role of world policeman. Remember that charity should begin at home.
I appreciate all of your advice, but as a 40 year old resident of Michigan, and barely keeping my job, I’m resigned to the fact that retirement investing may be to no avail. We are all pretty much wiped out in this state, property values are worthless, people leaving in droves, no jobs, gun and ammunition sales are on fire. My retirement will basically be when I die….what little is left the kids will fight over. As for Social Security…its a pipe dream for people my age, we will have to work forever. Get ready for socialism…
I am amazed at how clueless most people are today, they ask deep questions, and then ignore the answers. Most people seem troubled, but are afraid to look at the train that is barreling at them and take action.
The strong consumer sentiment makes no sense to me. How can it be rising? Are people really so confident in the U.S. Government to fix it or do they see inflation dead ahead and instinctively know to buy assests like stocks?
When I look around my neighborhood and town, I do not see a boom coming, so what is coming?
The ruling elite control us all via the banking system. As I see it, they are not about
to relinquish that control. They will do anything they have to (including trashing of
currencies) to fix the leaks in our ship of state , and I believe they will keep us afloat.
What America will be like after their operations is anybody’s guess.
The dollar is headed south, treasuries are rising, unemployment is rising, inflation is
rampant and we’ve given control to a man with his own agenda. The Treasury is run
by a tax cheat and here in Georgia the Justice dept just decided you don’t have to show ID to vote which means being a citizen is merely a luxury but not really required as long
as you say you’re one. Ronald Reagan, where are you? The people who we elected to
represent us are putting the screws to us and now we’re told that we don’t pay enough
in taxes. One of the oldest and biggest manufacturers in the world has just gone bankrupt. My IRA portfolio is down 80% and my back hurts from carrying the load.
And now you are going to make me rich. I need a stiff drink
I have my escape plan in place. I am one of the fortuante ones. I own 2 properties outright in Brasil with my beautiful wife and lots of precious metals. I’ve been accumulating gold bullion since 2003 and most of it is outside of this country. My gold CANNOT be confiscated which I am sure is coming in the future. When the lights turn out in the good ole USA, the mantra will be, “I got mine, did you get yours?” Sad but true.
When the politicians continue to follow this course of destruction I can’t help but think that this is a planned path of ruin by a group of treasonous individuals.
As an old WW 2 infantryman, I do not expect any recovery in my remaining days.
Precious metals will be a wise investment.
MAY GOD BLESS OUR AMERICA.
Dear Martin,
Do you still feel T-Bills are the best place for cash to be placed?
It does not seem the Gov. is too reliable or depndable at the present time.
Thanks , Jim
Fannie, Freddie, GM, Chrysler - - ????
In War time - it takes money, marbles and chalk to bring about destruction. Bridges and buildings and companies do not fall all at the same time, without great planning. Yes, they can fall individually - - but not all together - at the same time.
This above is a FACT. Great effort must be put forth in order to form a Perfect Storm that can re-shape the world. I almost admire, those who can bring down the World economies.
I am afraid America is being sold out to foreign countrys. Selling Chrsler to Italy etc and getting in debt to foreign countrys. They will soon own America.
I will soon be 68 and am still working. Everything I have is in IRA CD’s and other CD’s. My question: Will the FDIC be there for me?
in my opinion the thing to do is to let the market handle the break downs of any and all companys. if there is no interferance from the federal government, the market will began to fix itself and we will start to recover that much sooner.
Obama is deliberately driving U. S. into bankruptcy. So long as we leave him in power, there is no hope for the future of America. He is effectively running a one man government. He did not give Congress time to read the most expensive bill ever passed. They neglected their prime duty, knowing by reading a bill before voting! We have very little time left to get rid of Obama and save our nation.
I have seen your dialogue on short term deflation and long term inflation and dont really understand how this and the devalueing of the dollar all fit together or maybe its when they fit together. The most frustrating is how does Washington think we can pay off debt by borrowing. Taxes will have to increase or have a federal sales tax on everything that will be higher cost and have nothing left in purchasing power. Will the conversion of the dollar into the yaun do anything to pay off the debt.?
my feeling is very neutral to the failure of gm at the end of financial crisis of non discipline financial institutes. the world is changing and every industry has to follow the change or else lead the change. Auto industry in the States is no more competitive or productive. This new era is for Green energy and health care which will lead the economy of the next century. Workers has to find new job as the auto industry has to go. Those showrooms and car dealers are too luxury nowaday. For American, Auto industry is running “just in time” and does not need showrooms or car dealers any more, and customers will order new cars by internet direct from the factory on quere.
America will survive but in very different form. The next great depression is a given, but I am more concerned about the proliferation of nuclear weapons and our inability to stop it. Though we worry about terrorism, our retreat from the world militarily has horrific imlications. Our military leaders have yet to speak up on this matter as opposed to overseeing the gradual dissapation of our armed forces.
Frightening indeed.
Ray
I have some retirement funds coming due at the end of June. I have to roll it over to keep from paying taxes. What do you think of a gold IRA? The fees are about $150 a year which seems outrageous to me. But would this be better than a gold ETF? Either one does not seem safe if the US goes under. I feel like they will be confiscating the gold and the stock market will be worthless so there will go the ETF… What should I do?
Because of our U.S. Constitution, Bill of Rights, Congressional balance of power, our natural resources, our acknowledged worldwide know how and our past history of being able to overcome whatever comes along, I have the belief that the United States will survive and prosper …… although not in the near future. Until our President and the forces in our country begin to recognize the need for quality and integrity in all things, the light at the end of the tunnel will continue to remain invisible.
I have joined with you in you Contrarian Portfolio until I see the light in the tunnel.
Martin;
Too much debt is what got us in this mess. It’s like an addictive speed drug. Yes, it’s very difficult and painful to give up but that is where the solution is. However, instead of coming clean and starting the recovery process we are feverishly attempting to stay high on debt. At all costs we are refusing to sober up and become healthy. I need not tell you what happens to people who don’t give up speed drugs. We know they can appear active and OK while high but we also know the end result for addicts who don’t quit.
On the dollar versus gold
GOLD THE US DOLLAR
ALWAYS HAS INTRINSIC VALUE JUST A FANCY PIECE OF PAPER
IT BACKS CURRENCIES IT BACKS NOTHING EXCEPT CREDIT LINES
HAS NEVER GONE TO ZERO ALWAYS GOES TO ZERO
SAFE HAVEN IN BAD TIMES YOUR KIDDING,,RIGHT?
CAN’T BE MANIPULATED MANIPULATED EVERYDAY BY THE GOV.
CHINA IS BUYING CHINA IS SELLING OR SOON WILL BE
JAPAN IS BUYING JAPAN IS SELLING OR SOON WILL BE
CAN BE TRADED WORLDWIDE YOU’RE KIDDING….RIGHT?
ULTIMATE RESERVE CURRENCY NOT FOR VERY MUCH LONGER
By the way, if you think our economy is bad now, just wait til the US dollar loses it’s reserve currency status. Take Care.
Martin,
You have been accurate, not flawless however stunningly accurate and the comments you stated scare the you know what out of me. I think we all have to give up any notion of the way we want it to be and be with the way it is. The way it is is the way you stated and that is made up of assertions that without a doubt you have evidence for as we do too.
In the face of this oncoming reality we need to look at what will survive and what will thrive with a new set of eye glasses and make our moves accordingly. Thanks Robert
What would happen if someone (say Mr.Sorros, or some other person) decided to create a new currency backed by gold, or some other commodity? Of course only governments are currently allowed to print money but if confidence in the $ fell precipitously then I would expect that there would be very little they could do to stop such a process. When people are pushing round wheelbarrows full of $ notes & theives steal the wheelbarrows & leave the notes then such a new currency may take off? What do you think?
As long as the country subscribes to the idea that only the Govt. can create economic growth, we are in for a long slow period of declining growth and limited upside. Here’s the analogy: Have you ever met anyone wealthy that works for or runs the DMV, School Board, Post Office, or City/County Govt…The answer is no, unless they are on the take.
Entrepreneurs and profit seeking entities of the free-market got this country to 1/4 of the entire world economy. As hard is it is for the left to understand, only capitalist not beauracrats will elevate the nation to new prosperity. So as long as we have center left govts. in…I’m out!
The world - not just the US - is restructuring and I do not believe any nation will come out of this rough financial period without significant change. The nations that increase debt to ’solve’ a debt-created problem will most likely come out weaker. Too much debt, be it on a personal, corporate, municipal, state or federal basis is always a harbinger of future weakness or collapse. This story has been played out enough times for all of us to have witnessed its result. The only real question is what is ‘too much debt’ in a given situation.
The US government appears to believe that it has been backed into a corner and sees only one ’solution’. This solution is the problem just moved up the scale (ie trying to solve a debt crisis at the personal and corporate level by creating more debt at the federal level). However, federal debt IS ultimately a personal and corporate problem - the main concern is that it weakens everyone instead of just a few. This does not add financial strength to a nation. That is the unfortunate consequence of where the US is now headed. There is still hope that it may change course.
Perhaps collapse is necessary in some form for a meaningful restructuring to take place. I do not believe any person, corporation or government can spend its way out of a structural problem. We shall see.
Will America survive?? Absolutely. Will it be the same America we have known and loved during our lifetime? I don’t see how it could be. The debt burden we will pass along to our children and grandchildren will prevent the majority of them from enjoying the living standards we have enjoyed. In some ways, that will be a good thing because look what our addiction to debt and pie in the sky has done to this country. More really bad news on the horizon as we continue to pay the price for our excess. Late ’70’s & early 80’s inflation on the way. Higher borrowing costs, especially mortgages will kill many homeownership dreams, but, the smart ones will benefit by paying as they go, instead of accumulating too much debt and counting on future prosperity to pay it off.
Back to basics for equities. Positve cash flows, reasonable growth expectations, solid companies providing quality products and services at competitive prices. I remember when Utility stocks were for “Widows and children”, well, they have a product most people can’t live without, pay reasonable dividends and have predictable earnings unless the highfliers like Enron don’t stick to their knitting.
Stick with companies who have solid balance sheets, a good history of earnings and therefore solid management. For the near future, Asian market may outperform ours, but, without the U.S. their growth options are limited. Our country’s debt burden will hobble us, but, there will be good opportunities to buy solid U.S. companies at bargain prices in the future. Just don’t expect sky high P/E’s to return any time soon.
No real surprise with the GM’s demise. They started on this road back in the 70’s when they started going against the grain of what people want and legislation that followed asking for better mileage in autos. They resisted all the way until yesterday!
GOOD BY GM, hello Government Motors..Unfortunately we don’t have a say in what they build…copy Toyota, like you should have 30 years ago!
Thank you GM for adding to the demand for oil guzzlers and ultimately ruining this great country. Thank you GM for helping cause the latest wars and contributing to the thousands of young US service people.
Now Hummer will be sold to the Chinese, great…more transfer of military technology.
Where does that leave us now…will the new GM be worth investing in or like so many that have had bailouts just go belly up again.
Should we invest in China and forget about the US??
thanks
Martin
I’ve read your comments. Nowadays investors are running to the least bad option. The dollar is the worst option! Despite it’s obvious weaknesses the euro is looking stronger than it ever did it will become a hard curency only because the dollar will be destroyed. Commodity currencies will also look strong (and stable) post recession.
Mr Weiss - I am a long time follower of yours, bought your recent book. I trust what you say. My husband is more wishy/washy. At my urging he moved his 401 into save harbor, but with the upswing of the stock market, then yesterdays jump, even with GM filing…he is ready to hop back in. Please help, How do I explain this to my husband?
I don’t know what the future is, only God knows that, but I do know that if the US survives this, it will be a much different country than we are today. Our greed and consumerism, to buy more, better, bigger has led to this. We are being given the bill for the last few decades of uncontrolable spending and I am afraid that is won’t be just our present generation that will pay, but generations to come. In California we are facing massive cuts in government spending, and it seems that the most vulnerable and weakest are being hit the hardest. As I get closer to the Social Security years (I am 60) I wonder if it will be there for me when I retire. As for investments, I am still in a quandry about some of them. I appreciate the advice given in your newletters and am trying to use some of the advice to help my little investments to stay safe and if possible grow a little.
Heard some place that Einstein was quoted as saying, “The 2 most common things in this world is hydrogen and stupidity”. This last election helped prove that saying one more time. As a School psychologist I know that intelligence is the basis of all actions, especially when you recognize that you can make people dumb, but you can’t make them smart. What’s all that got to do with the premise we’re dealing with in the market? Everything, We just got a lot more dumb people around than smart ones, and as long as they got the same vote, without the same ambitions - we’re doomed. The sad thing about this all is - people are people regardless of where you go, so there’s no getting away from it all. Let the market go up - buy the inverse ETF’s make some money and then go fishing. Chaos WILL reign. Larry, you’re one of the smart ones!
alright , general motors , Ford, Chrysler , ETC. Where lies the problem with all Business
It’s not the man or woman putting on (Hub caps. ) or doing what ever . The problem is Mangement .. Big name ceo’s and the other crooks . All see to it that they and their
friends are taken care of . They collect Millions per year. travel on company jets they are
on huge expense accounts . Then they complain about the people making $50,000 -
60,000 a year . Some of the Ceos make that much per month. Yes it’s the union fault
It it wasn’t for the Unions the employes would be making like China. a dollar a day.
And it isn’t just the Big over- paid CEOs . The upper Mangement really wasn’t interested in makeing good dependable cars . If they had been interested they would made them .
It’s all politecs . They give huge donations to our politician’s , that way they don’t have to do any thing but complain about Labor cost .What a crock, Good Magenment means . We don’t cheat others out of a decent wage while we take all .
I’ve been in Business also . You take a little and leave some for the Employies and
for continued business operations. Paying huge salarys plus boneses to some of these some of these people for no other reason than a big Show .
Lyle Sharp
I feel our nation is in dire danger. There is a Sataic movement trying to destroy our beautiful country. Glen Beck on Fox News has been trying to unite those of us who know this. I pray that soon people will wake up and listen.
Most people are not aware that the Federal Reserve Bank is not owned by our government but that most of the less than 10 owners are European! Those people have made millions the last few months while others are losing their jobs!! We, as americans, must unite to protect our country! Only GOD can defeat the devil. We must turn to GOD for his help!
Believe me, I am not a finatic, but am an american who feels so blessed to have been born in this great country. I hope you will lend your hand to help save our country!
God Bless,
Sandra Martin
I am not able to see through this mess objectively. I work in Michigan and metal bending has been my family’s livelihood for several generations. I must depend on clearer heads to prevail and lead Michigan / GM / Chrysler through the debt tsunami. The US debt to too overwhelming for me to comprehend.
I hold about 50% in treas.bills and notes, 30% in reverse etfs,and 20% in gold and gold mining stocks.
Gidday Martin,
Yes I think America will survive, for now anyhow. If you don’t believe it you are week and will ultimately suffer and become a miserable being. Strength comes from ones belief in themselves and ones country. If you live in America and don’t believe in it, you are a burden on the country.
In saying that I do think this countries politicians, need to re read the constitution.
My only question is do you think the time has come to go long in the US dollar again.
Will America Survive?
Of course it will.
While countries like companies can go broke, they can not be wound up and cease to exist. The US will survive and the real question is what will life be like in the America of tomorrow?
Well, not unlike the way life will be in the other developed nations. Unlike the crippling inflation in Germany in the 1930’s the USA is not alone in the world facing the fact that the country is financially broke and it’s citizens will have to change their view of the future
Many Things will change and here are my thoughts on some of them: -
1. The power of the political lobby will reduce.
2. The power of trades unions will reduce
3. The power of special interest groups will reduce
4. Fervent Nationalism will resurface with both positive and negative aspects.
5. Patriotism and self interest will influence personal and political agendas.
6. Good old fashioned values of hard work thrift will re-emerge.
7. International corporations will become an even bigger threat to the sovereignty governments.
8. Weaker Governments will lead to more local conflicts.
9. People will stop looking to government to resolve personal issues. The “I want it all and I want it now” syndrome will disappear.
10. We will all learn to be grateful for less.
11. More families will have to have more than one adult working to survive.
12. Education will be more important in a jobless society.
13. There will be a backlash against immigrant workers who will be seen as taking American Jobs.
14. A more Xenophobic population will emerge
15. More extreme religious groups will emerge
16. Crime will increase.
17. All aspects of law enforcement will be stretched to the limit.
18. Local Corruption will become more prevalent.
19. The gap between the “haves” and the “have nots” will increase.
20. Governance will become more inward looking
21. Resurgence of self sufficiency as a goal for the country.
22. International Goals like “Reduce Global Warming” will be put on hold.
23. Space exploration and technological advancements will slow.
24. Funding for pure research will disappear.
25. There black market in anything and everything.
Unfortunate, folks are not going to go to the grocery store with a bag full of gold, and it seems that precious metals are the only thing holding it’s value.
Since the dollar is losing it’s value fast, we need a new source of barter, exchange, because the foreign currencies are not going to be accepted at the local retailers either.
What’s next?
Let’s get all this Democrats and present Administration OUT and send them same place else. They all should serve only two terms: one in office and the second one in jail.! ! !
Martin,
Although new to you publications, I have not seen you comment on the concept of ‘Peak Oil”. From what I am reading at present the world oil production has most likely peaked and from here on out there will be less oil to be shared with more people (especially china). Growth can only happen if there is an increase in energy supplies. I think this is a very big elephant in the room that no one is talking about.
Thanks
DW
FIRST - T H A N K Y O U so much for this venue !!! Read all above comments with great interest. Your messages and and your SAFE MONEY publications have tremendously enlightened those with open minds to see beyond the mainstream media messages. Your message is truly “REAL” - that is, see what is based on the facts you well reference; and then be ready for what’s coming based on historic references that clearly shout, “economic decisions have consequences.” This I do not think is Negative as some above have expressed. Your advice is well taken to sell stocks now on bear market rallies. This latest 2000 point rally from the early March, 2009 lows is so obviously orchestrated since the fundamentals are all in conflict with an up market. Your advice is well taken to buy only 3 and 6 month Treasury bills and avoid bonds so as not to lock into a lower coupon rate which will lead to declines as prices will go below bond face value. You have prepared us well to protect principal and be ready to receive the eventual higher interest rates that the global investment community will demand on our debt.
Yes, I agree debt brought down GM and debt is and will for some time be bringing down America - but will not bring down Americans. In a Democracy even though we have a representative democracy we Americans will restore America. We do NEED TO VOTE and make each one of our voices heard to our Representatives and Senators in Congress. Basic civics lesson: the President proposes but the Congress disposes.
I expect things to get worse than most predict. Invest in self sufficiency. Stock up on food, at least a 1 year’s supply for your household. Include those who will come home to you in your count. Store at least 3 days of water plus have the ability to purify a lot more. Store fuel to heat with and cook with. Generate electricity from solar and wind power and learn to survive on the level you can generate and store. Acquire non-hybrid seeds which are openly pollenated and keep reproducing after their own kind year after year by you planting their seeds year after year. Get good at gardening. Grow fruit trees. These necessities will not be for sale anymore since everyone wants to survive.
I’m glad I’m in complete safety at the moment. I, for the life of me, can’t imagine how the markets can be so UP on the day GM goes belly. Can someone, please someone, explain that to me????
Signed,
Clearly uneducated investor
If inflation and interest rates rise, will natural resources an energy follow, remain level or fall? Will China, Australia, and Canada continue to grow if we continue to tank? Will the Blue Dog democrats and republicans have a chance to stop the madness?
We are a small holding company comprised of various investments and have been in business since 1975. We’ ve not seen anything like this. There is no where to turn for income and appreciation.
Lets call a spade a spade. What has downed the economy is nothing that has been said by martin nor anyone as no one seems to be aware of mysticism. Mysticism is the only disease of the human mind there fore the economy. Dishonesty has run through the economy like a cancer and reality gives you the experience that that choice begets.
for instance it is a fact that there is such thing as a fact which means (f)ormular to (act) In a dishonest world whims and non sequtars are passed of as facts. The running of a business is a full on assessment of the facts and act accordingly but with whims anything goes. Facts regulate whims are renegade, take gm motors all that bail out money is a dishonest move as all that money went to someone its all very corrupt. but what do you expect when the source of money is a central banking system that makes money from nothing and lends it to the government at interest when all governments have the right to issue there own currencies so to me the banking system makes a murdering psychopath look sane. the worlds mad as a hatter. the aborigines say that the socalled civilasied world are in a dream state and not aware we have been born here here!!!!!!! but when the system collapses then you will know youve been born hang on to your hats all you disconnects
hi, martin–we will survive, but america might well be just a teensy bit different than we are used to! or maybe a whole lot different!!!!! i’m just a bit less pessimistic than are you–maybe somewhat more hopefull would be better. we are in deep do do–all capitalistic societies which have the kind of debt that we have are in the do do along with us–many more than us. what will happen to the dollar? god knows. should be buy the canadian dollar etf? australian?? or how about the brazilian real??? maybe even the philippine peso??? where will it end? gene
Martin, it seems to me that we are doing the same thing again that got us into this mess to begin with, financing homes with very little down, auto financing from GMAC (Ally) with the government bailing them out with tax payers money so they can finance Chysler and GM autos. The government continues to set up new programs of financing each day. Does anyone in Washington keep up with all these programs to be sure we are getting our monies worth and if any of them are working to straighten out this mess?
Now it seems that the government (taxpayers) has gotten itself into a mess begger with owning the largest amount of GM and a part of Chysler, trying to explain to our creditors that this is not a “buy America” deal!
LET THE REVOLUTION BEGIN.
Start a new holiday. Beat the crap out of a bankster day. Make THEM afraid to walk the streets. Make them shake in their shoes at the idea that they can make unrelated parties take the fall$$ for their misdeeds.
Is Obama really the President, when he won’t even produce his own birth certificate. If he has nothing to hide, then why is it an issue?
Produce it and put it to rest, or put him to rest as president!
The USA faces huge challenges, yet remember we are the innovator of modern capitalism. The strength of our citizenry resides in our resilience and ability to adapt our way out of difficulties. Our nation has always risen to challenges extremely well. Our work ethic is still one of the highest. After having traveled and seen how some other cultures think about work, I believe it is a mistake to bet against America. Our spirit and creativity is unmatched, the world over. China will give the USA a run for its money, to be sure. But I don’t know how many other nations will.
I am invested about 1/3 in gold and the rest in conventional stocks, some of which are ETFs in Chinese growth companies, others are in green tech.
I believe that America will survive by the Grace of God. However, the policies of the present Administration and Congress are making it more difficult. How can there be inflation when all of our taxpayer funds and those being generated by the printing presses are being poured into the financial “black holes”? The Full Faith and Credit of the U.S. is being severely tested. Thank for sharing your research.
I’d say the US (and other nations in sympathy) are setting the conditions for bull run in commodities such as oil and especially the precious metals. We haven’t had any interest in gold or silver for a full generation. Most investors today haven’t experienced the 60’s and 70’s rise in inflation. Real estate and tech have run their course. The next bubble will be somewhere no one is expecting right now. Once all this money printing and inflation hits the broad public’s mind, my guess it will be a repeat of 40 years ago.
Even with all the record “cash”printed it doesn’t come close to the 100 trillion lost in home prices and equities.
Since the debt of the US citizen has been collateralized as money(for credit etc) then we have had net loss in money supply, not inflation. Any printed money for Tarp,stimulus etc. Just went into a rathole to recapitalize the banks. How can there be inflation if the money never sees the light of day and is just used to fill potholes in bank books? Our DEBT has inflated, and the value of the dollars we owe in debt have inflated. But the dollar is not making any velocity and when the economy tanks again, there will be a rush to US dollars to delever speculative positions in commodities and other risky equities.
If the economy tanks again…
Basic logic precludes that going from 16m to 10m a year results in a 40% drop in not only car sales but also the parts that go into them. It looks that when our new order closes thousands of dealerships and when all the parts suppliers tank or downsize we could probably have at least another 100k unemployed. Tie this to the shadow housing market and the upcoming commercial RE market melt down I find it hard to see green shoots. The only green I see is that touted by the banking sector as they jury rig the books to turn toxic assets into paper profits. Get real, the other shoes has not fallen yet and please tell me where those 3 m new jobs are. The green shoots are black in my hood.
been reading you for years , the only thing i did right was buy gold and rare coins.
I wish I listened about real estate but Im Hung up there and miami is a hard sell.
So I still believe in commodities but 75% of my eggs are there Waiting for the parabolic
rise. Since joining your million dollar portfolio i’m concerened that your so far moves
are very conservative. ETF’s can do well but not ten times the money or a couple
of hundred times like your dads story. He took chances and if were going to make it
big its what we need to do soon. Is that where some of our saved ammo will go at
the right time? or will your reco’s remain conservative. The bond bubble interests me alot but how will we play this happening to score big. , Thanks ,Victor waiting to play
how can the U.S. A. go broke ? they have 8000 + tonnes of GOLD. CONVERT THAT TO MQNEY.
I study the BIBLE heavely. It is all there. I don”t think we have seen anything yet.From knee high to a duck . I was always told keep a tight control on the National Debt. You cannot borrow your way out of debt. I knew this was coming 3 and a half years ago. I think it amazes me the american people have not been told the truth yet! Europe 20/20 .com told us that far back. Iran opened there own oil distribution center ,selling oil for euro and yend. We have been living off the backs of the world for 40 years. Europe 20/20 said we will default on our currency mid summer 2009.
The only country that has ever compared to this country in the past is BELOVED ISRAEL in her hay day. As this country turns on Israel so will G-d turn on this country. I am a Christian but I LOVE my jewish Brothers and Sisters and I will stand with Israel come Hell or High Water. I think one of the best things that has happened to Israel is the election of Benjamine Netinyahu. The land for peace has never worked and G-d forbids it! If it had not been for the Jews in Israel the musalims would have killed each other off.I love my country U.S.A. I fought for it! But I LOVE the G-d of Israel More. Have a Blessed day!
dear martin, how america has become a land of bankrupt persons and corporates when people like you are living, why don’t you sue persons like allen greenpan
Why is it so many people when you discuss the dangerous financial road we are on say it will get better or I don’t want to talk about it? Technically the US govt. is bankrupt today. When will that translate to the man on the street? Are we facing massive private and public unemployment, if so when? With the B&G Printing Co. working 24 hrs how long till the dollar is worth less than a dime? If we are presently in the eye of the hurricane, when do we get part 2 of this storm? How much time do we have to gather hard assets to protect ourselves? How many financial institutions will go out of operation in the next 6 months? Your comments are appreciated. Thanks, John
Because (I guess) we can have deflation in our future I am 50% cash in an A- bank,and my brokerage account. and because I believe that we will have hypeflation by the 4h qtr. the other half is physical gold and silver eagles. 5% of my cash is not in the bank.
Do you think I should do differently?
Regards: RAY
Dear Martin,
I am retired and do not borrow any money and like to stay away from debts. I like to live in my means.
Regards
N. Bhattee
Martin,
I’ve followed your recommendations for several years now and been able to ‘weather the storm’ thus far. With the U.S. economy continuing to tumble I’ve found several bright spots in Asia - many involving commodities. Irregardless of what our President and Mr. Bernanke keep telling us, things are going to get a lot worse before they turn the corner and true recovery begins. I also believe that the “green energy” recovery is necessary but no where near the “quick fix” many folks believe it to be. Oil and natural gas will undoubtedly remain the primary sources of energy for many years to come and I’m betting on DXO and UNG as long-term vehicles to get us through the mess we’re currently in.
Jon
I feel we have blind people in office, who are leading the blind. Few of our democratic leaders have had any real job experience, and have never had to start a business from the ground up or make a payroll. I think these inept people have no idea what people want and their careless, and negligent spending of our money is driving us further and further into bankruptcy. But they dont seem to care about the individual person, as long as they have their dirty money from fannie mae and fannie mac and under the table from the lobbyist. I think our leaders are possessed by self gratification, greed and evil and they will have their day in Gods Court sooner or later so they better beware.
Dear D. Weiss, Many of my friends and business associates are losing hope, homes and long time family businesses including attorneys, dentist, car dealers, retailers, etc.,etc. Most of the banks are treating their longtime customers as enemies and loans are impossible to comeby. Many have discussed with me that their financial cushion might last another 6 to 9 months. Truly I have always prided myself in solving my financail problems overthe past 35 years but it appears that all levels of government are working against their citizens and compounding the crisis thereby eliminating my attempt to help myself. It appears that most folks are living in a dream world as to the seriousness of this finanical dilemma. I receive a daily email from a free site called Patriot Post which gives great insite to the beliefs, intelligence and hopes of our forefathers. I truly believe that the level of statesmanship, honesty, intergity, etc. of almost all our present elected leadership from local to federal is noway near the level of our forefathers. This situation is mostly due to apathy and major interference from the media with critism directed towards those who have the qualities mentioned who might would lead this country but refuse to be involved. May God give those of us that care the insight to protect and defend this wonderful country.
The train wreck to economic depression is right on track. We will survive but not due to government intervention but to American ingenuity and our gift to overcome adversity. Government does not know what it is doing and the people don’t really care.
I don’t see a recovery anytime soon. I think the banking industry is in serious trouble, and I don’t think our children should bear the burden of irresponsible government. My heart goes out to all citizens who have worked hard their entire life only to be left short changed by our so called leaders. GM will recover with time as a much leaner corporation,with new technology and a place in our future.
I dont even have to read the entire article to respond. Let me put this statement out there, How are we going to survive if we are in debt to China so much that Hilary Clinton is offering to give them “land” to pay them back what we owe them. “BUT”, she can go and give “millions” to Gaza ( “TERRORIST”) of our money. Oh! and now the “Sheiks that bailed our big banks out, WOW! Oh! did I forget the president that on April 21, 2009 joined us to the E.U. (now if we are a independent nation, how did obama (and why?) joined us to the European Union for? and all a sudden he is bragging about he being of muslim decent, you need to wake up and see what is really going on here people! I believe you need to read their quran (muslim bible) that they so strictly live by, their “peace” definition is NOT the same as ours, go to http://www.memritv.org you want to see how they feel about America and they will soon fly their flag over our whitehouse they chant, AND IT IS NOT JUST THE RADICAL TERRORIST YOUR STUPID NEWS MEDIA TELLS YOU, ITS ALL OF THEM!!!!! THEIR QURAN SAYS “ALL” SHALL BOW TO allah AND WE ARE INFIDELS AND SHALL BE KILLED, OUR HEADS CUT OFF AND HANDS AND FEET. READ THE QURAN AND SEE FOR YOURSELVES…. who is ignorant? that should be the question. Our goverment has gotten us in some serious trouble and we the little people out here are gonna suffer and pay for all their mistakes, we are already.. Why has CDC (center disease control) placed 500,000.00 disposable casket liners (that can hold 5 - 6 bodies been delivered to a piece of land in MA huh? if you need the video just go to utube you will find it there. whats really going on here in our country and who is really running OUR COUNTRY??? We see it is ok to do wrong and wrong to do whats right? It needs to be stopped and this country is not what the fore fathers fought for it to become, thats for sure, it is sad and a shame and a disgrace. People need to take a stand and WAKE UP! AND TAKE THIS COUNTRY BACK, it starts in the home, morals, values, the innocense of our children, get the filthy, nasty looking, things out of our stores/TV/radio/billboards/ out from here. Why are we selling sex and horror? look what it has done and filtered into this country, spread like a disease….and then get it out of our schools and go stand at the court house and back one another up on these issues until it gets out of here, this is the only way our country will survive. THE ONLY WAY! no amount of money is saving it, is it? exactly?
“Will US survive ?” Yes it will. But our future is probably similar to the track taken by Great Britain after WWII - more of the population wants socialism or a socialist leaning government - so = declining industries due to expensive regulatory compliance, increasing taxes, more government in all areas of life, less personal freedoms —- a nanny state.
tim gietner met with the chinese ,he said we would keep the us dollar strong and we where trying to reset our financial system. what he did was to admit the financial system is repeat is in serious trouble and gave no time frame to look forward to.he can not fool the chinese and any one else.good luck,william
Cynde and I believe the dollar is headed to zero value. We also believe that precious metals, copper, nickel and foreign currencies may be options. China is looking forward to buying tons and tons of copper for it exploding ‘modernization’ plan. We are looking at land out of the city and building a house as fast as possible (partially underground) with food storage before all *&^% breaks lose, using some of our dollars before they lose their value completely. We need a way to generate something of value to just pay the taxes. This government buyout is fascism. They are trying to usurp all water rights, giving huge parcels of our land to the U.N. and next will be the North American Union. Finally - the new currency for this union. Thousands more will be out of work, if not millions. They are undermining the constitution. Next is population control….in any way they can achieve it. You have offered us a way to capitalize on this terrible situation, and we thank God for that - but in the end, they will take everything away.
Bill
as long as we allow some people to print FRN that have no backing, I had a banker tell me years ago its only as good as you think it is . thats all its just bookkeeo ing entrys thanks Al Parker
Gold, silver and oil.
Survival time is just beginning.
Why did GM accumulate its mountain of debt? When it was successful, the government increasingly targeted the industry with many unfunded environmental, safety and labor laws. Here are two of the most agregious. First are the ever tighter cafe standards imposed on the industry that force development of expensive, unattractive vehicles that must be subsidized by the manufacturers to meet government-posed sales levels. Secondly, union pressures–backed heavy-handed federal government–for wages and costly benefit packages raised total costs beyond competitive prices at which Detroit could profitably sell its products. Now our government, to save the industry, is force feeding it giant doses of the same poison.
Martin,really sir I don’t know which way the economy is going and or whether G.M goes down and never comes back,the lession in their case is their foresight or lack of.Their design people must have noticed over the last two decades what and why people have been buying more japanese/korean vehicles and their market share was dwindling.This actually goes for all american vehicle makers,this has been on the horizon for many years ,it hasn’t just happened.You stay in business by making what sells,simple really.It took me two years of looking before I decided to replace my large car and buy an all wheel drive vehicle that didn’t handle like an APC, I looked at every domestic maker with no success, I really tried hard not to buy foreign but it came down to german or japanese.If G.M ever does raise it’s head again I hope for the peoples sake they bother to take into consideration what the future holds and what others are doing…….Des
Our economic downfall began when we agreed to free trade agreements, allowing American companies to export product technology and manufacturing know how to less developed countries (China/India), costing Americans thousands of jobs. Unions, who won high wages and benefits for unskilled labor can also accept some of the blame. Greed, government corruption and manipulation, lack of ethics, and the dumbing down of our educational system all contributed. America will survive if we take immediate action at the ballot box; we must return to the values of my parents World War II generation; cash for all purchases except for auto and homes. Less is more. Prayer and a return to our founding father’s beliefs are also very important.
I believe that the end game is for the US to be folded into a World Government, Economic authority and military, and the currency will be debased by at least 100 fold if not more. This will occur within the next 2 years or prehaps over the next 10 years. The US will exist in a sense, but not the US we all know and loved for years. There is no totally safe anything. It might be smart to hedge with commodities and gold, buy a farm and become as self sufficient as possible, join with other like minded individuals and create your own informal government by and for the people. Resist fiercely all and any attempts at a World Government and Economic Authority. It will be the biggest mistake possible for eternity.
The ups and downs of the markets only result in the gain and loss of money. Money can be made or lost rather easily. What is really at stake is the loss of free enterprise. The government now takes from the people and spends on whatever it wants without voter approval and their is no ending in sight. Thomas Jefferson said that “a people in fear of their government live in tyranny, and a government that lives in fear of the people lives in liberty.” Michelle Obama may say for the first time in her life she is proud to be an American and feels hope. I, for the first time in my life, am not proud of the mess that the government has put America into and I believe we are now beginning an era of tyranny.
Dr. Weiss:
I value your comments about the economy, but the market is currently on a bull run. We don’t know how long this will continue, but its been advantageous to play the long side, with, of course, some caution. Do you use any technical analysis in forming your outlook?
Thanks,
Al
Hi Martin, My husband and I are planning to sell our home and move closer to family. We live in Calif. Do you recommend we buy or rent? Home prices seem to be leveling off with fewer homes for sale. I am investing with your contrarian portfolio and since finding your service, I have very few sleepless nights anymore. Thanks, Donna
Martin,
All of this is unchartered ground for most of us and the building fear as to truly what to do with any money that we do have is getting to be an overwhelming fear. Personally I cannot believe how so many companies and institutions have, I guess, run their businesses so poorly. What ever happened to the “basics” of income vs expenses?
What happened with your / our petition that you were taking to Washington? Did you get an audience with anyone with any kind of political influence? Please let us know that status!
On the personal side, I know your company has investment opps which are great. For me and many others I am sure that committing funds that are required in those programs is as scary as the current crisis… so what should / could we be doing with any of the monies we do have? I don’t even feel good with my current banking relationship in paying my bills. I am fearful that ANY bank could be in the news at the drop of a hat so where do we turn for the basics of everyday life with our finances? Do we keep all in cash, not even invested in short-term treasuries etc and keep the cash “under the mattress”?
As my father used to say… “its pretty hard to remember that your objective was to clean the swamp when the alligators are biting at your ***!
Thank you for any good basic help and here’s to some more optimism returning to it all!
OK, Fritz was on TV this morning in his pink tie explaining why GM has declared Chapter 11 . He should be required to wear an obnoxious, polka dot bow tie like the rest of the Bozo’s who have managed this company into the ground over the last 40 years. Is anyone surprised that it took this long for them to fail? How did the one-time largest corporation in the world get to this point? Let’s roll back the calendar to 1971 to Motor Trend’s Car of the Year - the Chevy Vega! People wanted a small, economical, and dependable car and thought they could buy it from one of the Big 3. It would take an entire page to outline all the problems that GM designed into the Vega, but let’s look at one of the obvious ones - the engine. The engines had aluminum cylinder blocks and cast-iron heads. These engines suffered from a lack of durability. The cylinders scored, the heads warped, the valves burned, the valve seats cracked, the engines overheated, and they had major vibration issues. The same year, Toyota gave us an improved Corolla and Datsun delivered a 1200 Sedan that got 40+ mpg. GM grounded the aluminum engine block to the Vega’s frame. This caused body rust via “galvanic corrosion” an electrochemical process where one metal corrodes when it comes into electrical contact with a different type. This gained the Vega another title besides Car of the Year. It became the “car that started rusting while still on the showroom floor!” After the Vega success in the early 1970’s, GM built on their “never listen to the customer” mentality of product design. Over the next 40 years, GM delivered a never-ending string of funny-looking, poor-quality cars and trucks to the American consumer. . . “X”- cars, the Chevette, the Cadillac Cimarron and then the Catera, the Lumina, and more. And who can forget GM’s response to the “sport recreational vehicle” crowd…the Pontiac Aztek? Did they think that by spelling it funny people would be distracted from poor quality and goofy design? It looked like a deformed doorstop on wheels that came with an optional “conversion tent” that hung off the back so you could camp out wherever it broke down. And who could forget the “Transformer” truck…the Chevy Avalanche . . . half-rubber, half-metal, all ugly. And when Toyota was starting to crank out the Prius and define the eco-friendly vehicle of the future, what did GM respond with? That’s right, Hummers! The perfect vehicle for anti-socialists and soccer moms who don’t want to get stuck over a parking stone at the Mall. GM’s environmental callousness knows no equal in the auto world. They have carried it forth proudly right through to today with the availability of a GMC Yukon Denali Hybrid! Under the appearance of being “eco-friendly” GM is attempting to “greenwash” the American public into thinking that if you put a shiny “hybrid” sticker on the back, it’s OK to drive a gas-sucking, over-priced, socially irresponsible hog of a vehicle. So where is GM doing well? . . . in China! While American taxpayers are bailing out this dinosaur of a company, GM will be expanding operations in China. In fact, don’t be surprised when GM builds small cars and trucks in China and imports them back to the USA. Do you think that any of the profits that GM makes in China will be used to pay back the American taxpayer? Don’t hold your breath.
Visiting Walmart today all we saw was spanish speaking minorities and other welfare recipients . Add these people and others receiving government assistance or income of one form or another and what do you have left ? There is no question that this country is in a world of hurt and only a question of time before this country collapse’s !
In 1959 when I started my business I told my wife how wonderful it would be to some day retire and make $100 a week ! Do I need to say more ? prayers to all working people . Paul
We have naively allowed a class of politicians and banking elites to rule us into the global abyss of once great nations. We have traded eternal values and principles for the pragmatism of those who rule us. We must forge an intellectual revolution and take back this nation and pledge our fortunes to accomplish it. We will have to build great prisons and spend many a bullet to take down these traitors to the constitution.
If you and I (and numerous others) recognize the impending economic disaster coming if our government stays on its present course, how come the so-called “best and the brightest” (including Obama) don’t seem to recognize that the light at the end of the tunnel is an oncoming train? How can we stop the insanity and encourage a change in course?
I am almost 89 years old. I have been following you an your advice for many years. Even met your father at a seminar you gave at Ft. lauderdale some years ago. His and you advice seemed solid. So, our small savings account is in your hands for management and so far has worked out, keeping it. It sure has not grown like we would have liked but we have not lost it, either. I am also a reader of Robert Prechter who, as you know, believes in cycles. I do not believe I will liive long enough to see the end of the “Greater Depression” but have tried to instill in my family your philsopny but peer pressure prevails, I guess. Thanks for your help and adice. BFJ
Martin,
Everyone has an opinion including me! My hopes are that our country make good decsions moving forward. If we rely on our short term history we’re in trouble. What I need to do is protect my family which includes protecting the capital I still have. I read most articles from Money and Markets which I find extremely stimulating. My recent investment strategy include precious metals, basic materials, energy and foreign markets; all currenlty producing positive growth. I plan to stay this path paying close attention to changes in the market. I have considered Inverse ETF, but not yet at this time. I will be listening June 3rd “Weiss Management” Webcast which I hope will give my a better understanding of things to come. The one and most important strategy that has benefited my most is to make sure I maintain a strong cash position relative to my portfolio. Thank you!
I am very worried for my family and my country. I don’t believe in paper, I’m turning to gold and silver.
I want to comment of my more dramatic prediction that our economy will totally collapse by NLT late 2010 resulting in riots and eventual anarchy. When this happens, IMO, Obama will declare a national emergency thus “temporarly” suspending the Constitution and resulting in martial law.
I 100% appreciate your investment philosophy. I have too questions:
1. Is getting a Reverse Mortgage on my home an alternative I should seriously look at? The objective would be to have a fall back place to borrow money only IF needed but really to hopefully never draw against the allowable equity? Or would it make more sense simply to take out a line of credit on my home as a “fall back position.” The major difference I see is that with the former, if I draw against my equity, I don’t have any monhtly requirement to pay on the loan but wait to pay when home is sold.
2. IMO, we who love our Constitutional Republic and a true free market system have no chance of winning either of these through the normal political process. I will share with you how I arrived at this conclusion during 2008.
It seems to me that our only hope is to form Local Homeland Secuirty Units in every USA County, working directly under or with Sheriffs. The long term mission would be to retosre our Constitutional Republic, with short term goals of letting the PTB in DC KNOW that We the People are ready to resist them in a meaningful way if they attempt to (1) confiscate our ammunition/guns and attempt to take we “radical” free market/Constitutionalists into “protective custody because we are potential terrorists” and plasce us in one of the numerous, well documented FEMA Reeducation/Retention Centers.
IMO, unless there are 3-4 million folks ready to use force if necessary to keep our liberties, it makes little difference how effective your investment stratgies are. In fact, I could make a strong case that you are UNPATRIOTIC given your recommendations to buy foreign bonds, no American Treasuries/Long Term Bonds, get out of dollar denominated investments, and even buy gold/silver and other metals. IMO, you and your great collegues will be in great danger of being on the top list of those neededing “reeducation.”
Your thoughts on this?
Doug
2.
Will America survive?
Yes, but not without a lot of suffering and eventual efforts at honest restructuring … by HONEST individuals!
How do YOU feel rising interest rates and record-shattering money-printing will impact your income and investments in the weeks ahead?
We’re fine. We won’t be affected too much, except for the rising cost of things. Some of our neighbors are being extremely affected, though. Loss of jobs, trying to sell their homes purchased near the $600,000 mark in the last couple of years for at least the money they have in them … an impossibility! We are being affected personally by the loss of extraordinary neighbors. As for us, we still owe a little on our home … but were able to close on a refinance at 4.5% interest last week. Amazing! My husband has a secure job with the county … their budget has recently been passed for the year ahead. We have no idea what next year will bring, but in the next weeks ahead, as well as the next many months ahead, we will be fine. He is also receiving a fine retirement from the federal government … (Since they have lots and lots of paper, we shouldn’t have to worry … right?!) … and I convinced him to liquidate as much as possible and put it in an A+-rated credit union. He refuses to “lower” his expectations enough to turn everything into cash. His father, however (at 92), is still playing the stock market, ignoring the advice of his broker (and me!) and continues to loose massive amounts each day. We have also “stocked up” our shelves … so when this anticipated sequel to the Great Depression hits, we should still be able to take care of ourselves, needing to buy very little.
Which investments do you expect to spin off substantial profits next? Select U.S. stocks? Foreign stocks? Currencies? Precious metals?
You definitely don’t want to hear from me on this one!
Physical silver is the way to go.
Im heavily into gold/silver: both physical and paper. I believe like Jim Rodgers/Marc Farber, that a currency event is going to occur in the US and many other 1st world countries in the coming decade. Hyperinflation is NOT a demand-pulled event, it is a LOSS of confidence in a fiat (gov’t decreed) currency. Im siding on 5000+ years of history. Im a novice when it comes to options, shorting and such and want more of a safe haven than max investment returns. Silver has gone up almost 25% in one month, but there is more volitility in silver (poor man’s gold) than gold. However historical means are usually 15 oz of Ag to 1 oz of Au. I think the other investments can be great hedges, but you have to know what you are doing extremely well.
Geesh, with all the bailouts, the Fed’s printing out all that worthless money day and night, American companies closing up shop, all the unemployment, etc…. why would anyone think that they would be investing in anything American? Are there really that many American companies left here, and what’s left is owned by the Government? It seems that only the foreign companies in America are immune to failure?
The dollar is already worth less than a dime. What used to cost $1.00 in 1913 when the Federal Reserve was created now costs $21.57. And it’s only going to get worse.
Solution? Investments in precious metals, Swiss Francs (FXF) and the Canadian dollar (FXC).
Will America survive? The answer depends on the time frame under consideration. Just like the long-term growth rate of all organisms necessarily has to be zero, so too is the long-term survival prospects of all empires nil.
The real question is how long will America survive? Warnings signs of imminent demise abound: Ex-immigration, a declining population; skewed priorities–from dogs as people, to sports stars as heros; belief that something can be had for nothing; ignoring the rising powers across the globe; mountains of debt simply because we wanted bright shiny new things even as we needed nothing; an obesity epidemic reflecting the inability to suffer even the whisper of a hunger pang; the idea that a post-racial culture and economic “animal spirits” are not incompatible; a populace that refuses to serve in its defense, depending upon what amounts to a mercenary military.
There are many more. I see them everyday. The sad truth is that America is pushing the accelerator of her demise to the floor by refusing to acknowledge the dangers that two fat decades at the pinnacle of power have wrought. We have willingly traded freedom and responsibility for an illusion of security provided by a nanny Federal government and a money-printing Federal Reserve. America might have survived a thousand years had she not so quickly grown so fat, lazy and stupid.
I’d give her half a century, tops, in her present configuration.
WE HAVE GIVEN TO MUCH MONEY TO BANKS WITHOUT ANY REGULATION. GM, CHRSLER,AND FORD HAS BEEN THE LIFE BLOOD OF THE USA.
It is not a surprise to me that GM imploded. The philosophy of corporate America since the early 80’s has been ( I call it the “accountants revolution” to operate on a qtr by qtr basis. American CEO’s stopped the manufacturing process, maximized profits by all means of accounting processes, both illegal and legal. They had nothing left for a “rainy day”, everything that could be pushed to the profit side of the ledger was.
I kept saying, ” but the king has no clothes on”, I was fired, ridiculed, and told, “you have no business sense, or that is not how it works.” They broke a fundamental rule of business, “nothing is going to happen, until someone sells and someone buys.” They have destroyed ” customer service “, because you have to “watch your labor” to be profitable. I am not sure what math formula they used to come up with this philosophy, but you cannot go 1000 miles on 1 gallon of gas ! Sorry about that rant, I have a lot more bottled up, it never needed to come to all this. When fund managers started dictating to corporate America, corporate managers gave up the control of their companies, for what were, “bribes.” They destroyed the economy, putting millions of people out of work, and trampling their dreams into dust ! The government was complicit in all this, by taking off the brakes so the car would run a little faster. I’ll stop here. Thanks for indulging me,
Martin J. Hens
i suspect the g.m. bankruptcy is similar to the fall of saigon in 1975. it portends structural changes in the economy and society that are more than a secular bear market.
it is similar to the problems in health care. everyone needs a car and a doctor, resources are lost in finding them and much life is wasted. can we afford these loses?
t. parker,m.d.
I am a retired individual. most of my retirement money is in the government FERS AND TSP accounts. I have asked a couple times your opinion of these accounts. Ido not know how safe and profitable they are there.
In reference to the debt that the Obama administration is building I believe it is absolutely an act of financial suicide. Government money is one-sided in that it does not come from a demand for goods from a profit based source that can generate jobs and product. Government money comes from taxes and taxes do not generate jobs or a product that can be sold at a profit to generate and support jobs, pension and health plans, and capital for company growth. It’s really that simple. The thought that taxes can be used as a “stimulus” is simple minded, foolish, and very, very dangerous. Perhaps the goal of the administration is a covert attempt to bankrupt the nation so that taxes can be levied at extremely high rates giving the government complete control. This is certainly where all of this financial foolishness is headed so is it by incompetence or design? Either way there is only a very short time left to stop this runaway financial mess before it cannot be turned around. Hopefully the American public will recognize the dire consequences of this administrations actions and truncate its power base in the upcoming senatorial races.
Hey martin thnak you for all your insight…I was just wondering I have found an exploration compnay with a tremendous value in teh ground(duluth metals)How do you think this crisis will affect such companies as they will probably need credit to further the company into production stage or would they be better off as a takeover target?Also I am in a closed end fund paying almost 20% dividend what are your thoughts on that as well?thnak you in advance and best to you and your staff
My biggest concern is that I don’t want to lose anymore of my hard earned money. Do I bite the bullet and take my money out of my IRA now and bury it in my backyard? or do I roll it over into a gold IRA? Silver? Coins? Copper? What do we do to keep what we have left? By guns and bullets and barter with them? Help!! I’ve heard that even gold will be worthless, is this true?
I’m looking at all this mess from Europe. My brief question is: What is your personal opinion for the future of the EURO. Will the European currency suffer as well from inflation peril? Or will it be the economical loser from a moldering Dollar? Will the end of the Dollar be the start of a new “world currency”? And - what if - there is only one global currency? I know - the answer may fill books……
I am trying to do my part to “wake up” America to our 80 plus years of socialism. Some people are listening. But now I am asked the question “What can I do to take my country back”? How can I stop the politicians (Democrats and Republicans) from destroying our country with their spending programs? There are many apathetic voters because it seems that activist groups and lobby groups are running the show. Working people like my wife and I have their paychecks taxed and pay sneaky fees placed on phone, cable and other bills - all in the name of “This is good for America and good for the People”. Please give me some insight on what to do to stop the gov’t spending programs and force the gov’t to live within its means.
Oh,Martin.
Stock markets sometime has nothing to do with what the economy is doing.
Your analysis is good for the long term,not for the sort one.
It’s a trial and error procces.
Traders want sort term prophecies.
Yours,
Nick
I believe that the US government is headed for complete collapse. The government’s spending spree will lead to devaluation of the dollar. This in turned can lead to starvation, rationing, crime sprees. Is it to late to turn this around?
The president is talking about socializing healthcare. We cannot afford this! He is talking about raising taxes! Isn’t that the worse thing you can do during a recession/depression??
During the Great Depression people lived on farms. They knew how to feed themselves off the land. This generation does not know how to do without a grocery stores.
rate for 10 year treasury is up, GM went bankrupt. Why market rally? Is it to lure people in?
I find it incredible that the market has baked into it the GM bankruptcy. Or has it? The market has not fully felt the impact of the unemployment that will result with the bankruptcy not to mention the negative impact on GM retirees with their pensions and healthcare resulting in considerably less disposable income for those people.
Weiss Research,
We won’t survive. We will be carved into sectors and factions that will own every part of us—even the air will be difficult to breathe and perhaps metered.
I have been saying for a couple of years that this country is like a loaded freight train that is headed at a marble mountain, and the people at the controls will argue over who has the right to pull the brakes until the collision happens. When I look at the condition of this country as a whole, I suspect we’re very close to a collision.
Will we survive? Its hard to tell. If our leaders keep spending at the same rates then no. But I would assume they will wake up soon as Martin has predicted. In the mean time I expect they will continue to spend willy nilly under current economic leadership but as soon as the stock market crashes it will be obvious that the current economic leadership (thinkers and leaders) simply have misinterpreted what the Fed and government can do or its power to effect a change.
I don’t have the slightest doubt that they are just starting to realize this now even with the stock market rising. But certainly when it falls they will realize it with a very heavy certainty as all of society will come to realization that the something wrong everyone feels is truly that something is wrong. There was and is too much debt! Period! More debt won’t solve the problem. I find it amazing that these students of history and politics and law (our political and economic leaders) don’t realize the lessons so plainly and simply exhibited. My Dad taught me all these lessons and he was no genius. Just a hard working guy that got through the depression. Now our top economists/Fed governors don’t even understand the concept of too much debt. Isn’t it amazing the government didn’t accomplish the one thing it should be good at i.e. controlling rampant business. I’m inclined to think there is simply no way to set up a government which would control excessive debt and excessive debt causing activities.
Our survival depends upon when our leaders recognize the problem. I think that will be after an unbelievably fast collapse of the stock market ( or better termed debt markets).
Only then will leaders acknowledge what has happened. Although Obama appears to be a very intelligent and honest man he obviously doesn’t see the light at this point.
I think different financial vehicles will contain profits at different moments ahead. I suspect it will be extremely difficult to tell which ones will provide profits at which point.
I’ve calls on TBT-Long on GLD- Sept calls on DIA. I need more timing insight on the
new currency. What timing signs should we be lookiing for?
My Greatgrandfather had no education, no plumming, no car. My Grandfather had no education, an outhouse, and a T model Ford, but no TV. My Father had everything but education and a computer, but he made sure his two sons did. My sons became a computer expert and a Neurosurgeon. My point is, we are getting better because of our children. Out there, somewhere, are young people who will get through this and come out even better and have things that we have never heard of today. That is what I see!!!!
I believe that you have hit the nose on the head. Awhile back you recommended putting cash into Treasury bills, which I have started doing–I hope that I heard you right, since t-bonds seem to be in no-wheres-ville–Don
In answer to the question….What am I doing to prepare for the upcoming inflation scenario?
Bought a house with room for extended family to stay in an emergency.
stocked up on foodstuffs good for five years
generator on site
getting rid of debt
buying gold/silver
getting my health care taken care of
trade my yukon for a hybrid
Good day Martin;
Ok try this on for size….the US $ gets devalued, high end manufacturing returns to the US, the US exports become more competative and the US exports their way out of this mess.
Joseph
Our problems started when our forefathers didn’t hold the government responsible as all three branches ignored the Constitution. We citizens can read the plain English guarantees in the Constitution. We need to express outrage when a few people in a black robe interpret it in a way that is 180 degrees from what was intended. Our only hope for the future is that we throw out all government officials who violate their oath to uphold the Constitution and replace them with people who do. By the way, our representatives should not be allowed to profit by going to congress on our behalf. If they are not successful enough to pay their own expenses, then let someone who is personally responsible represent us. Do yourself all a BIG favor and read “The 5000 Year Leap”!!!!!
Hi,
If Japan and Germany made it after WWII, I am sure US can get up and run again, with its best asset educated, research oriented and entrepreneur minded people.
Important thing is to look where you made a mistake and not to repeat it.
The question really is how deep US economy will fall before realizing that old ways don’t work anymore. US created a global new economy, geometrically growing based on consumption increase. The big problem today is the more waste we produce, is better we are financially as a whole.
Environmental impact became a real problem..I for example imported 30Cent USD toys from Europe, Europeans received them all the way from China, then they came to Turkey, Than I distributed them, a kids parent bought it from a vending machine and children played with it for a few minutes and down it goes to waste… OK we all made money and wealth on it but at the cost of polluting our world only…The more we succeed, the more we all pollute.
Similarly electric cars were around for decades but which government will accept to live without the tax they receive from gas sales.? In Turkey 1/3 of all tax collected is from cars and gas related sales.
I am personally very happy this current global crisis happened as we gave the world a pollution brake for a few months, maybe years..
My point is even if this economic system recovers, it is not sustainable at the cost of our biggest and only real physical investment ….A breathable WORLD.
I also want to share an excellent joke about debt driven economy with you:
A rich Russian arrives to a Town Hotel. Wants to check and see the rooms first..leaves a 100USD at the desk and goes upstairs… The hotel owner quickly picks the 100 USD and pays the butcher what he owes…Butcher pays the grocer, grocer pays money he owes to hooker, and hooker takes the 100 USD bill and pays the hotel manager what she owes for a room…
Russian comes down and says he will not stay at the hotel and gets his 100 USD back and leaves the town… But everyone is happy as they all paid their debts…
Does this town sound familiar??
Not sure how “big picture” you entertain. What possible goal could our government (liberals) have to bankrupt this country? Could it simply be for power? While this goal seems very narcissistic, what would the far reaching consequences be?
Hello Martin:
I listen to a LOT of US radio, and see a lot of US news. I feel so helpless, because I want to help. Your Money and Markets, are the first I read each day; I have tremendous respect for you and your firm. I no longer have funds in any markets, but now only in term Dreposits with Credit Unions.
It’s as if I’m watching an ongoing afternoon “Soap Opera”. My common sense has always seen me through, and my opinion is a dire dilema ahead.
It is difficult not to understand the cheer leader position of the government not wanting to accept that the Team USA is in trouble. So they continue to cheer ahead in what seams an incredible delusion. In my view it appears that it would have been much better to recognize and accept the dire conditions and then come with a plan to help alleviate the pain of unemployed citizens and embark in an infrastructure creation (which is an investment that in the long run will produce economic benefits), increased funding for renewable energy, education and health also productive investments. But the craziness of bailing out big banks and big companies does not seem to allow the system to cleanse itself and bring out new life.
On the investment side, I agree with Clauss that the economic fundamentals do not warrant the market behavior so, I, do not understand why take a loss now when in the very near future the system will have to correct itself. Please explain?
What is Mr. Geithner doing in China to maintain the value of the dollar? What is China’s new role as an economic giant?
I dislike investing in Gold since it does not produce anything and does not help anybody but what else is there?
Perhaps unemployed folks will start their own businesses and perhaps local economies will begin to thrive - what is your thinking regarding new investment possibilities when you think out of the box? How many of the large companies will actually survive in their current form?
I thank for opportunity to make a comment…. the fact is this counrty is lost and is already bankrupt….. We have very limit options as a people and a country, and very little time to turn things around…which saddens me deeply for all my countrymen.
“He who controls the money, controls everything and everyone else!”
I will not put the blame on just one person, the president, if congress didn’t accept the policies they wouldn’t be voted in by them! The bottom line is that the money masters are the ones that have been pulling the strings all along while this complacent society sits in the pan while the heat is being raised a little bit at a time and no one seems to be feeling anything! The constitution was written to keep tyrants and traitors from taking over, but unfortunately those are the ones that are running this country that have made it just another piece of paper! They have trampled the constitution and sold themselves and the American people to the elite, for a piece of the pie….money!
God is the only one that can save this country, but he needs people of action like the founding fathers that were willing to die to live in a free society not persuaded or influenced by the power hungry, greedy tyrants in England!
Dr. Weiss,
I was thrilled to see you on the Glenn Beck show last night! Glenn and his audience need to read your new book. I think they would better understand the “craziness”,
as Glenn puts it. I hope they give you more air time having you back in the near future. I will email Glenn next! Keep up the good work! You were great!
I personally am investing in ETF’s. Your book has been a great help to me. Thank You!
I AM GLAD TO TELL YOU WHAT I THINK. GENERAL MOTORS WENT THE ONLY WAY IT COULD GO AFTER GIVING INTO THE
RELENTELSS DEMANDS OF LABOR FOR WAGES THAT WERE TO HIGH FOR THE BLUE COLLAR WORKER-NOT COLLEGE GRADUATES– FOR HIGHER AND HIGHER WAGES, RETIREMENT BENIFITS, VACATION LEAVE, SICK LEAVE-PAID - AND MEDICAL BENIFITS FOR THEIR WHOLE FAMILES AND PROPABLY SOME MORE THINGS TOO.. IN 1954 I GRADUATED FROM A PRFESSIONAL SCHOOL WITH A PROFESSIONAL LICENSE FROM A TOP UNIVERSITY AND WAS ABEL TO OBTAIN A JOB THAT AMOUNTED TO $2.25 AN HOUR AND A 54 HOUR WEEK WITH ONLY A 2 WEEK VACATION OFFERED . AT THAT TIME THE UNITED AUTO WORKERS HAD JUST SIGNED A CONTRACT FOR $18.75 PER HOUR PLUSS ALL THE OTHER FREEBIES. TODAY THE UNITED AUTO WORKERS DRAW FROM $45.00 TO $60.00 PER HOUR PLUSS ALL THE REST. I AM TELLING YOU THAT I RETIRED 90 % AT AGE 59 AND 100 % AT AGE 65. MY POINT IS THAT I WORKED LONG AND HARD FOR WHAT I EARNED AND DID NOT SIT ON MY RUMP LETTING SOME BIG TOUGH LABOR MAN TELLING ME WHAT AND WHEN TO DO AND HOW MUCH I HAD TO PAY HIM FOR TELLING ME WHAT TO DO.TO RETURN THE U A W THEIR FAVOR I BEGAN TO DRIVE A MERCEDES SOME YEARS AGO. GENERAL MOTORS AND CHRYSLER WERE BROKEN BECAUSE OF THE U A W AND THEIR LONG HAND IN OUR POCKETS. I WOULD LIKE TO HAVE THE UAW PRESIDENT–A MR, GITTENFINGER SERVE AS A DRICETOR OF G M AND SEE HOW HE WOULD HANDLE THE SITUATION. THE UNION THUGS SHOULD BE ABEL TO SEE ALL THE AUTOMOBILES AND ANY AND EVERYTHING COMING IN OUR COUNTRY EITHER MADE 100 % OFF SHORE OF ASSEMBLED THEIR. NOW WE HAVE A PRESIDENT BEING TOLD WHAT TO DO BY UNION BOSSES AND THEIR MEMBERS WITH THHEIR VOTES. WE ARE IN A HELL OF A SHAPE/ESS. ARTHUR HILL—TEXAS—
I’m very concerned as a Senior Citizen that there will be no Social Security or Medicare for any of us that are on these two programs now. I am disabled, have a handicapped daughter, and my husband is retired. We can we expect in the coming weeks, months, and years. We are concerned that we and everyone else that are in the same boat as we are in will be in the soup line within the next year. We do have a little 401K but it is in an annunity and can’t be taken out for 1 1/2 yrs. but we feel with all these years of paying for Social Security and all the other things we paid for that we would be taken care of the rest of our life. We want to know when Medicare and Social Security will be reviewed and fixed like everything else needs to be done. The people in the USA have gone to Hell in a Handbasket. Obama and his cohorts including some Republicans are nothing but (Left Wing Radical Muslim Communist). Obama is trying to take the US to the bottom of the barrel and will not stop until it is done unless we as Americans stand up to him and his evil scoundrels. More TEA PARTIES and more standing up to the Governors and Senators of our state and at the White House.
Over the past several years I have worked hard to increase my business but have taken on debt to do so. I now see that I need to significantly reduce that debt. I need your help on whether I should use my profits to pay off debt or invest…your input would be greatly appreciated. I honestly have no idea where this economy is headed but I do know that Larry Burkette of Crown Financial Ministries predicted this downfall calling America a house of cards.
thanks,
Martin-
1. Will America survive? Yes, but not as we have known it.
2. Rising interest rates and money-printing will negatively impact my income when people get so scared they stop spending on all but food, clothing & shelter. I’m almost all in gold/silver & short t-bills so that has best chance of weathering the coming storm.
3. Investments I expect to spin off profits next are gold & silver, metals stocks and companies with strong balance sheets that own assets you can touch in inflationary times, including oil & gas stocks.
I am keeping it simple, living cheaply,and preparing for hard times. We have gone soft as a nation to the point of following a demagogue over the cliff…
I sincerely hope that I’m wrong, but…I think that at some point, China, who is keeping our economy alive, by continually “loaning” us money will get fed up. It will either call the loan which would bankrupt the country immediately, or it will just stop loaning money. Both scenarios pretty much end up the same way. They could very well end up owning much of America. Other countries who have been “loaning” (giving) us money may also call the loans and end up owning parts of the country, too. Unless Obama finds a REAL way to jump start the economy (as in enabling the “little guy” and not trying to control everything), our future doesn’t look very promising. The ONLY way I can see to get the economy going is to get people jobs so that they will spend money. Most of us need to hoard the little we have now.
I am 87 yrs old so do not worry about future investments. I have counseled my two boys though to buy gold/silver and emerging nations stocks. I also like microsoft long! Study and observation of current events will help investors of future!
I admire your research and if younger would subscribe.
L.Averill
Hi Martin,
I have a question regarding your portfolio.
Is there a minimum dollar figure that needs to be invested to make up for the transaction fees. I am concerned that a small amount may be consumed by transaction fees.
Thank you,
should i keep my currency in U.S dollars or convert to other currencies say the canadian dollar
I am wondering if I can buy some investment products on-line without having a stock broker or person to handle the accounts. I have never invested before. I had a home which I will sell soon. I borrowed a lot to help a disabled child and can’t live in the home any longer, and now the price has fallen. I don’t have the money to invest much, in fact, am having a touch time. When I sell the home I may wish to invest in some products.
How can I this on-line and how can I start learning about how to understand if I am ahead or losing. I need to learn a lot, but realize that this is very important.
Marilyn
Martin,
I was born in 1934, the son of a US Army Air Corp three striper, who enlisted in 1928, when he didn’t know where breakfast was coming from that morning. He retired 30 years later as a colonel with a Command Pilot rating, after which he worked as a stockbroker long enough to put together a solidly profitable portfolio of municipal bonds. Those years were America at its best.
I grieve for America’s future. I am a committed Christian believer and Bible student. I have witnessed the prophetic return of the Jewish people to their homeland, and have spent some time there. I recently finished my third reading of the Bible, concentrating on the prophecies now being fulfilled in Israel. The enemies of Israel in the prophsied battle of Armageddon are easily identifiable by anyone familiar with the history of Israel. The U.S. was a major benefactor of Israel from 1948 to very recent times. Obama and Clinton are rapidly erasing that relationship. I have searched diligently for any mention of the U.S. in their future, and found none. And now Pravda, with accuracy, is ridiculing us for our rapid left turn into socialism.
For the last eight months my investments have consisted entirely in precious metals, rare coins and mining stocks.
As Pravda said”the American descent into Marxism is happening at breath taking speed”.
But the American public doesn’t seem to care. They’ll only wake up when the economy goes down the drain and no longer functions. Then Paulson’s comment about martial law will seem as prescient as Martin’s analyses. But it’ll be kinda late. I’m a little guy with half my money in T-bills (uh-oh?) and perhaps 15% in gold coins and gold ETFs. I think the liberal indoctrination in our schools has done the intended job. A poorly educated citizenry is controllable.
4 oz. of gold for a 100k portfolio ain’t nothing. should be at least 10. today GM, tomorrow, America. goodbye U.S.A.
Martin,
I am surprised that you keep pounding the same old drum. As long as we have an administration and congress bent on spending and taxing we will move ever closer to becoming a third world nation. You supported the man and his party. Did you not do your homework, or were you one that also drank the Kool-aid?
I just read Nick Guarino’s multi-page article which states that gold is about to crash to
$300.00 by 2010. He states that housing, autos, and many other consumer items are cheap and getting cheaper as the current depression deepens. Also, there is little chance for inflation in this environment. Do you agree/disagree? Thank you.
You have asked if America will survive, and I believe the answer is the word that is too scary to utter…”no.”
You have been advising the purchase of short-term Treasury bills, assuming that because the nation never defaulted during the Civil War, it won’t default during the coming crisis. I think that is a mistaken notion.
I’m heavy on precious metals looking for high inflation which will be provided by our president and his gang of fools.
As subscriber to Safe Money all I can say is I wish everyone did. Thanks
America has been the most prosperous and powerful nation in the world because of our Constitution and the freedom it provides. It defies reason to think that increased government intervention, higher taxes, more regulations and the crazy monetary policy will lead to anything other than economic chaos. I am looking for conservative leadership who respects the Constitution, rule of law and capitalism. Until then, I am not just a bear but a Polar Bear.
Welcome to the NWO,
Constitutional America was the last speed bump on the road to world government and it is now being taken apart piece by piece. The unconstitutional “Federal” Reserve Bank has over time bled America white, and now wants to become the “World Bank”.
As long as Congress is in session no one’s life,liberty or property is safe!
This phrase has more truth today than ever before.
Support Ron Paul’s HR 1207 (with 179 co sponsers) to audit the Fed, & expose it’s role in this criminal take-down!
Gold/silver has always been valuable.
Fiat currency, in time, will always become worthless.
Martin ~
I am a small time investor in the stock market (formerly known as Anheuser-Busch until it was recently purchased by InBev) and a small time investor in a diversified mutual fund/stock portfolio through Ameriprise. So, I’ve only dipped my big toe and tested the market thusfar in my life. I’m 47 and I have a wife and one 10 year old daughter. I don’t really have a question that can be answered, but I’m extremely concerned with all of the sensationalistic things which are happening in our economy. This situation with GM just reinforced the stresses I have. What are your thoughts on how we continue to pile up debt as a nation and we have to pass it on to our kids?
Thanks in advance for your thoughts!
Doug Brandon
dougbrandon1962@yahoo.com
Dear Martin,
I expect America to survive even its government!
Specifically, I expect certain sectors to do very well.
Namely, agricultural products and supplies, energy and drillers etc., precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and uranium), WATER, and eventually good farm land.
The banks, brokerages, and other cheaters will suffer some big setbacks. At least, I hope they will.
There will be exceptions. Wells Fargo will do well. Annaly.
Retailers that sell cheap like Costco, Walmart, Kmart, Dollar Stores will do well.
Chocolate makers and booze distillers should do well. Same with tobacco sad to say.
Big and little bakers and grain deals should do fine.
BUT
all bets are off if our money fails…meaning hyperinflation becomes rampant.
With no means of transaction available to replace the dollar America can not survive.
Even a Euro or Yuan or Yen or a basket of currencies is better than a dead dollar.
I understand Obama’s postion. He and his party believe they have a mandate to
save the bastards who caused this mess. Wrong! We all were completely sick of G. W. and his criminal behavior and his secret governing techniques. While Obama is open he is making some wrong moves I fear. I like the guy. But he is bankrupting the Treasury to save industries that need to be in bankruptcy court.
Finally, I see no way that America can survive if it keeps living beyond its means..either individually or as a government. What I do see is the government seizing private assets to pay for public bailouts. I am talking of IRA’s and 40l’s. Don’t think it can’t happen. Think Brazil, Argentina, etc. It can happen. When governments get too desperate they will do anything to survive. Never mind that they caused the situation. They will survive even if private funds don’t.
So.
Gold and Silver and stashes in Switzerland will not survive if Uncle gets desperate.
It is for the greater good. Yeah.
Panama and Austria are beginning to look very inviting.
Your advice from Weiss is only valid if the government does not change the rules.
One last thing: What I see next is that to ’solve this crisis’ we will need a BIG war to put everyone back to work. It worked before with WWII. It worked for a while even with a little war, Iraq and Afghanistan. Will it work with N. Korea and/or Iran?
Keep in mind that we are broke as a nation. What happens if we try to fight a big war with no money or credit? At some point we get defeated big time and have to leave
hundreds of billions in war materials in some far off place. And America is then left unprotected. That is not good. What’s worse is having no way to get our troops home again. Think Dunkirk. Ooops!
All this is just a big theory..based on historical precedents.
What will happen is just a guess.
What I hope will happen is that our government will awaken and see that throwing good money after bad is not good for the country or business.
Aloha, Tom
GM is no different than the American public. If their is a dollar to borrow, lets do it. With easy credit. why not take the cruise, we’ll just use the credit card.
For many years when the Japanese were building thier economy, the savings rate was at 20%. We americans must and should reduce our morgages and loans to the point where one paycheck per household will maintain our standard of living. Consumption should not and cannot be the driving force behind our economic growth, because if it is, there will not be any r&d for new and exciting products for the future.
Don Jorgenson
would you be a seller of irish banks….bank of ireland and allied irish banks
Mr. Martin Weiss,
It’s very sad for America because we are drowned in the MEGA DEBT. I hope America will survive, only God knows tomorrow. Of course, printing money will decrease the purchase power. I won’t be surprised to witness the coming INFLATION. I love this country, and it’s so frustrating seeing hard working people and retiring people get hurt. As a rule of thumb, I have always tried to live below of my means. I am not an investor by trade, but I sense that any things we need to live on or survive with would be the common sense choices.
I am the new Money Safe Subscriber at your researched company starting this month. I appreciate your passionate voice in this time of market crises to steer people away from dangerous stocks. I have not gotton any of your recommened stocks yet because I am not so
familiar with them yet. But believe me, I won’t hesitate to buy when I understand what I am buying.
Transformational times. Creditor nations questioning the U.S. Dollar as a reserve currency and /or Americas strength to offer fair value on it’s debt. I have no confidence the Fed isn’t in addition to it’s Q.E. , also purchasing directly or indirectly contracts or derivatives in the equity markets. Politically, traditional alliances are challenged and dangerous olive branches are being offered to adversaries. America is being fundamentally altered under the guise of crisis intervention. World bodies and agencies are going to trump domestic authorities. The IMF, G20, & Creditor Nations will call the shots. Elections have consequences, sometimes catastrophic. I think globalizing ones portfolio and investing in things that hurt when dropped on your foot will outperform. I would also like to understand more how to succeed with currency market investments.
From the UK, in no great shakes either, I’d bet on the US recovering before we do. Of course, the far east may become wealthier, but the US is an entrepreneurial nation, it still has a relatively business-oriented hands-off Government compared to Europe for example [despite the $13trn!]. Whether indexes can any longer be relied on to grow is more doubtful. Perhaps stock picking like Buffett is the long term answer. Stable politics is a big bonus for the US. I’ll probably put all my cash into a world index and forget about it at some point in the next couple of years!
PRECIOUS METALS WILL PROBABLY BE THE COMMODITY THAT WILL PULL AMERICA THROUGH ALTHOUGH WHEN YOU GET DOWN TO IT, THE ONLY THING THAT WE REALLY NEED ARE FOOD AND SHELTER BUT THE METHODS BUY WHICH WE EXCHANGE THE FOOD WOULD PROBABLY BE GOLD AND SILVER EXCEPT IN THE CASE OF BARTERING OR EVEN EXCHANGE FOR GOODS THE GOVERNMENT NEEDS TO GO BACK TO OUR ORIGINAL CURRENCY TYPE WHICH IS GOLD AND SILVER COINS. IT WORKED IN THE PAST AND IT WILL WORK IN THE FUTURE
Will those holding GMAC Smartnotes lose all their investment?
Folks,
Martin is right. Socialism is wrong. The new administration is clearly practicing socialism in its finest form. See Wikipedia.com and take a look at the definition of socialism and note not the similarity, but the exact roadmap upon which the new administration is relying. You have to own GOLD and SILVER. The equity market bubble will pop. We are witnessing a classic suckers rally that will end at some point, who knows when, but it will end. New lows are in the future and when they come, all the talk of green shoots, a bottom and the end of the recession will end until the next suckers rally. If these were normal recessionary problems, the pundits would be right. The bottom would be in. But this is not an ordinary recession and it is going to last 10 years no matter what they finally decide to call it. Remember, the experts in 2007 said there would be no recession… they were wrong then and the 90% of economists who are predicting the end of the year 2009 as the end of the recession are WRONG… just like they were in 2007. I must be getting old as this is becoming so obvious…
How are puts and calls designated on the volume and price of a stock (bought, sold or not shown)
I truly believe we have lost our way as a country. What saddens me most, however, is how few see the freight train coming that will forever alter our way of life. Call it perpetual optimism, call it denial, call it projecting the past into the future - whatever you want to call it, it is sad that so many are so oblivious to change, and by default are letting it happen. God Bless what used to be America.
Hi Martin:
I hear what you are saying about the hole we are digging ourselves as our treasury keeps printing more and more money and how this expansion of the money supply will result in horrific inflation. But on the other hand, through this economic and housing collapse we have seen historic money destruction. People here and in other countries have seen their investments, real estate, stocks and bonds, shrink in value. Yes this is a huge redistribution of wealth, but don’t these factors offset each other? Our Treasury is just pumping the money back into the system that had previously evaporated so deflation doesn’t take hold.
The only element of our capitalism today that is not relatively dishonest is the entrepeneurial sector. The public companies, major industries and unions cannot compete and make a profit unless they cheat by misrepresentation, lying and stealing. The financial sector is at the acme of this fraudulent pyramid and, oh yes, the government permeates every level of fraud one can imagine.
Hype has worked well in duping a naive and insulated American public but it will not wash - especially in the Far East. More and more we are left with nothing but hype to sell to others and I stand in amazement of the brazen emmissaries we send overseas to peddle our faulty wares. Hype is what we know best.
We have neither the gumption nor the moral fiber to check our excesses or scheming ways. Our dishonesty has become a way of life - economically, socially and politically.
Anyone care to guess where we are headed?
M Merhige Miami, Fl
I think its simple….the US govt is assuming massive debt with the intention of never paying it back, dollar for dollar. They ll change the rules …..restructure the debt….file for ” govt bankruptcy ” but still stay in business…..I m not smart enough to figure out the dynamic……how about you ? bloggers
Martin, you have got me throughly confused. There is all of this negative comentary, then yesterday you come out with buy recs. on two stocks. I am well in the hole with your ETF recs. and you’er now saying you are ready to sell them. How about a better game plan?
You are entirely correct in your assesment of where the whole worl’d’s economy is headed. However, the situation is far more serious than you will admit, for fear of causig a real panic. Every day it is looking like the pattern for this catastrophe is following that of the book of Revelation. We could well be living in the time of the end of this particular civilization. There have been many before that built up glorious buildings and then disapeared from sight, leaving only a few ruins for later acheologist to dig up. This one may be no different. The oil powered machinery has taken us from the horse and buggy in less than a century. It has made it possible to destroy much of this planet. When this is all over the survivors - There will not be many will have to go back to the traditional way of travel . By foot, or if lucky, by horse power. The History channel ran a program on what the earth would look like in succesive years if it were without humans. Others are thinking my way also——-
We will survive. General Motors will eventually be Ford Buicks, Ford Cadillacs,
etc.etc. Ford is already and happy to compete with G M .
A EXCERCISE IN FUTILITY by Our Government.
Well i think now is not the time to blame anyone. This economy did not get like this overnite. GOD has nothing to do with it, we have to rise as one and get the country out of the hole.
Martin:
When do you suppose that Limbough, Hennity, Beck and the rest will finally realize that Obama cares nothing about the USA and is running for the presidency of the world, and have the fortitude to say it?
Dear Martin,
You and your co-horts have done a fine job making the public at large aware of the seriousness of the situation. In ones private life no one can live beyond their means —for any extended period. I have been aware of this from my parents for along time.AMERICA will survive if the will is there, which I think is there. Good luck ,and keep up the good work.
Dear Martin W., Let us pray, and let us use the Spirit of intelligence to make a difference by doing. 1st by identifying the repairable problems: High Credit demands from Banks and Retail Companies. (Standardized interest and payments must not be forgiven, but paid back with reasonable and honorable agreements.) Think “American”.
2nd, the five day work week: Computers have made work simplification tools. Look at the European vacation. The US has not improved because of greed.
3rd, money: let work and the Social Security Trust fund be the new Dollar Standard by allowing/creating a Credit system to compete with lending institutions: THE Answer!!!
I still like dividend paying stocks. My biggest fear there, of course, is that many companies will be forced to cut their dividends to increase capital (as many already have). I try to do my research and choose cash-rich companies. I also like gold and silver, although only a small (3%) of our portfolio is in those metals— both a little physical metal and some mining companies. Would you recommend a lot more? I recently bought into a TIPS mutual fund just in case inflation begins to kick in, but again only a small percentage of total portfolio. We own some Chinese and Indian individual stocks also that are doing well so far. Long term, I have no idea where the global economy will take us, but we just stay diversified and hope that we will make it through our retirement years which are just around the corner. Oh, and we are also fairly cash heavy in a couple of B banks: just wish we could earn a little more interest!! Best of all, we are debt free– no mortgage, car, or credit card debt, which I believe is absolutely essential for anyone considering retirement these days.
I feel that America will collapse very soon!
I read your emails because so they so accurately reflect my own beliefs. No, just like numerous businesses were past the point of no return, I believer the US government is well past the point of no return. I think the government is going to keep handing out money to try to stay in power until it absolutely collapses. I don’t see a single ray of intelligence or financial management skills in the US government. If people ran their personal finances like the US government runs the country’s finances, 100% of them would be totally insolvent.
Folks it’s all part of the plan, bankrupcy of the US of A. The printing facility in Denver , co. is printing Amero’ as fast as it can go 24/7/365. The money will change to Amero– maybe, just maybe one will receive 50% of the value of the present greenback. All part of the plan for One World government, One World Tax base and reduced population by a conservative 45%. When the money is moved by shipping containers how much more does one need. Just suppose the that a dollar bill is .010 thick, 6.125″ long x 2.625″ wide. stack then 48″ high on te stand shipping pallet 42″ x 48″ . The distance is un-imaginable in length as to our present US debt much less 3.8 billion a day. folks we as a Nation won’t survive. Things are not getting better and if our President has his way, he’s got a big truck headed down hill at high speed, and the “T” at the bottom and no hope of making a turn, strainght into the ditch…. Folks understand it’s not ‘Our President’ the rules, those above are the ones that don’t care about the little man. Those of us the earn the normal yearly wage of$35k to $500k aren’t even on the playing board. Even those earning millions a year aren’t on the board. Forget hanging on, not a happening. Enjoy while you can……..
Coneger
I have never been more concerned over the future of the U.S. I have gone through several “crises” including Howard Ruff’s societal breakdown. I believe that we are facing a fundamental challenge to our political and economic systems. I don’t pretend to know who is at the root cause of these challenges, but they are obviously powerful and focussed on their goals. If you look at other countries that have experienced this type of challenge, there would appear to be little that the individual can do to protect himself from such systemic breakdown, although I believe that what you have done, personally, is probably the best survival plan.
I certainly do not have an extensive grasp of economics, however, I was always under the impression that “free market capitalism” provided extensive opportunity AND extensive risk. Since it seems that there is very little possibility of a company truly “failing” (because in most instances the government,ie, taxpayers) are picking up the pieces and the concommitant bills, where is the motivation for directors, CEO’s etc, to run their business prudently, not take on extensive debt and run a profit-bearing enterprise?
Why is our government in the business of rescuing failing banks & businesses at the expense of the taxpayer, who has essentially had no voice in these decisions?
This is not a game for the weak of heart…..I am going to buy my ETF positions again at todays position and ride this bear market delirium back down. This surge is a fake just like our gov…..gravity works but it takes time…..CHINESE STUDENTS LAUGHED IN THE FACE OF GEITHNER ABOUT THE SAFETY OF CHINESE INVESTMENT IN US TREASURIES SAYS IT ALL….WE ARE IN SERIOUS TROUBLE. Bill
If America goes, there will not be a sufficiently stable currency to allow for much international trade. Practically speaking, there is still a truly massive value in what American produces each day. The human capital factor per capita far exceeds the great depression. Dire and painful adjustments - no doubt. A worthless dollar and destruction of America’s economy - very unlikely. Should we liquidate everything and buy gold or silver? By itself, that won’t produce much. Seems like a good time to really prepare for a radically different and far more efficient economy. That requires a fair degree of downtime and retooling no matter what trade or profession one is in. Now is a good time to do that and to anticipate the future in whatever industry one finds themself. The need for goods and services cannot diminish forever. Thanks for your thoughts.
The worst part about this whole auto sector mess dates back to before the whole dog and pony show in Washington. Remember those auto execs saying that all they needed was a few billion dollars to get their companies over the hump? Well, they got those billions. And now that money is gone. And chapter 11 was still the outcome… How come the rest of the coutry could see this coming ? By the way, does anyone own a GM that isnt a truck of some sort ? Probably not.
When this country is ridiculed by Pravda for falling headlong into Marxist Socialism, you’ve got to know we’re in some serious trouble. Unfortunately, under the current management, it looks to me like the United States has two wheels over the brink of the cliff, and the brakes are gone…
When the government establishes a practice of voiding valid contracts, all the while telling us how important it is to follow the rule of law and giving sweetheart deals to its political supporters, we’re cooked. It’s plain to see that unless we stop thinking for ourselves and join the rest of the sheeple, we’ll be slaughtered next!
I have no idea what the future holds for America. We have forsaken our moral paths for immorality calling it open mindedness and our work ethic for socialism and entitlements. I thank you Dr. Weiss, for the insites you are providing and I am taking your advise as far as I can in protecting my assets.
I heard the Dollar is going to be obsolete between Aug-September of this year.
Its scarey to think of what can happen. I do not understand the printing of phantom money and then accusing N. Korea of counterfeiting our $100 bills.
Obama is guilty of counterfeiting trillions of dollars - With this type of spending spree - I guess there trying to break in that Amero! Scarey whats going on - everything is happening so fast!
Money is the root of all evil
We are not going to survive this, at least not as the same country we went into it as. A nation cannot continue to spend beyond its means and then convince itself that the cure to the problems that were caused by too much spending is more spending. That our leaders will not admit this tells me one of two things:
1. They are not telling us the truth - or-
2. They are incompetent
Either way, we cannot survive with such “leadership.”
A good many of us are hard working, God fearing men and women. We wake up every day and try to do what’s right, while the people we send to Washington fleece us. It’s time to secede from this corrupt union, one state at a time. It is our only hope of continuing the goal of the Founders. We are not abandoning America by advocating such measures. We are preserving it. It is Washington that has abandoned us, and if we are foolish enough to continue to support this madness and pay taxes to this corrupt empire, we deserve what we get.
I encourage each and every reader to do the following immediately:
1. Buy hard gold and silver, at least enough to get you through a meltdown.
2. Do not send your sons and daughters to die for this corrupt regime. The military was once a noble calling, but there is nothing noble about it now.
3. Find ways to limit the taxes you pay. Buy less, work less. Go Galt.
Do it today. Take America back.
I am surprise that your blog posted Ed Anderson’s comments. We are all concerned about the economy, but do we really need to read these moronic and bigoted comments by Mr. Anderson?
Martin, let’s all stay calm, and stay secure in mostly short-term treasury bills and some FDIC insured CDs. When long-term rates rise, you will give us the signal to get into intermediate and long-term treasury notes and bonds. After the eventual pullback in equities occurs, you will let us know when to get some good corporate bonds and dividend yielding stocks.
My impression is that “shorting” in this volatile market is very tough. Maybe best to sit in short-term treasuries, CDs, and some gold.
Martin, thanks for all your sound advice; and let’s keep the “haters” and “conspiracy freaks” off your website—please!
I think we lost America when we start encouraging everyone to go into debt with credit cards, no payment for a year credit and raising our children to expect instant gratification without earning it? Obama is now in charge of completing the job and doing a hell of a job of it, he considers himself king of the world and no one in Washington is ready to step in front of the run away train.
GM’s downfall is harbinger of American businesses falling like dominos due to the Obama administration’s actions.
Personally, I believe Pres. Obama will use the fallout to move toward a definite socialistic style of goverment and the nationalization of any business he thinks will pull his fat out of the fire.
“Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to PROTECT LIBERTY when the GOVERNMENT’S PURPOSES ARE BENEFICENT! Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by EVIL MINDED RULERS. The GREATEST DANGERS TO LIBERTY LURK IN INSEDIOUS ENCROACHMENT BY MEN OF ZEAL, WELL MEANING BUT WITHOUT UNDERSTANDING!” Louis Brandeis, Associate Supreme Court Justice 1916 - 1939
The Obama administration clearly does not understand or respect the free markets and personal freedoms and liberty (including the freedom to fail) which have made this country the most prosperous in history. Protecting one class over another is unconstitutional. The UAW’s win over bondholders is unconstitutional and will come back to haunt this administration and all legitimate bond holders. Why are we protecting the UAW and punnishing bondholders who are retirees and ordinary investors? This is disgraceful, unethical and very dangerous.
What chance do you feel , that american currency , goes the way of the mexican peso , and makes all middle class people poor ?
Dr. Weiss,
GM, the company “too big to fail”, is in court filing for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection NOW!!!
When will these United States of America, the country “too big to fail”, be in court filing for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection???
A friend tried to convince me today: “They (the government of the US of A) don’t have to do that. They can print all the necessary money they need”. Soon after that remark an Earth-World-America shaking Revelation hit me:
Hire all those millions of unemployed Americans, make them build 7/24 money printing presses as fast as they can! Occupy all those emptied buildings of GM and Chrysler for those machines and have them printing $$$ as fast as those machines will run without going up in smoke!!!
There is just ONE small hurdle to overcome/remove before all THAT money is going to do some good for OUR Government/Country: How can we get rid off all those “qualified/experienced ceo’s/presidents/money managers” who knew how to fill their pockets, to fleece ours, to precipitate their companies/countries into hundreds/trillions of Dollars of debt, without throwing them into jail (and the key away)???
And I am not so sure if that would even work, since they got enough money to buy/convince their jailers to let them out!!!
Any idea how to do that, without us getting thrown into jail and rot away there since we ain’t gotten their dough???
Hans in New Mexico
Yes, America will survive. Rising interest rates will curtail purchases of hard assets, such as homes. Yet unsustainable government programs, such as social security and medicare, should be phased out over a the next 20+ years.
Well chosen Home Health Care Services may offer good profits in the future; foreign stocks in countries like Brazil may also offer good opportunities. I recently met two Australian couples; while they said their country was in recession, their banks were in good shape. Another opportunity?
I’ve read your recent book, but find it hard to invest in Treasury Bills, especially with the falling dollar. I need safe investments that will offer solid growth and dividends. I wish you would address retiree needs also (many lost thousands in their retirement accounts and home equity). Many of us no longer trust our government.
It is an interesting question. Maybe we ought to look at history.
Once upon a time China ruled the World;
Then the Monguls with an Empire from the China Sea almost to the Mediterranean;
Then the Turks may be;
Then Italy (how could a country as small as Italy rule the World?)
Then Spain - remember Columbus? (how could a country as small as Spain rule the World?)
Then France - remember Louisianna? (how could a country as small as France rule the World?)
Then Britain - remember the Empire on which the sun nevers sets? (how could a country as small as Britain rule the World?)
Then the USA.
and now ………………. Japan …… China?
Could it be a rotation? Stranger things have happened,
I have read and agree with some of the comments. We are sadly in a worse financial crisis than the Great Depression, possibly. No company is to big to fail, the government should have let them all go under. I feel for the people who would and some still are losing their jobs, but now the whole contry may go under. Natrue abhors a vacuum and someone would have come along to fill the void. I believe the initial stimulus was more to save the powers that be: the rich who would have suffered way more than the average American if these institutions would have been allowed to go under. It may have shaken the world economy, instead of just destroying the USA in the not to distant future, but so be it. I am mostly conservative in my beliefs and don’t believe in the redistribution of wealth, but I am sorely disappointed with all of Washington. I’m sure we have a few good ones in office, but all indications are showing that the barrel is full of mostly rotten apples, not just a few. Over 60% of Americans were against the stimulus package and they passed it anyway. It seems as the people or majority no longer have a voice. The word politician has become another word in the vocabulary of profanity. They tell you what you want to hear to get elected and then do as they please or the big financial interest dictate. In this day and of information almost immeadiately available we finally get a look at what is going in Washington DC, almost in real time. Maybe the rest of America will finally wake up and hold their representatives accountable. I have been joking with a few friends at work about the collapse of society and whether they would be able to survive or not, being they were raised as city bred folk, so to speak. I was country and grew up hunting, fishing and trapping and can survive off the land and it’s bounty. Can most of America? I doubt it.
I am a merchant marine (professional sailor) by trade and have been to some of the most impoverished places on the planet. We may have been in a dire situation letting these companies go under, but it would have been survivable. The rest of the world may have suffered also, there is suffering happening every day unrelieved. If the debtors come to collect will we roll over and allow them to take parts of this country from us. Obama already sent Hillary to China and agreed to allow them to take land in lieu of what we borrowed if we fail to pay. Some may, possibly even a majority. Then again maybe not, :). I did not sign this loan agreement or any other that our government is holding us all accountable for, therefor I do not feel obligated to honor them. I proudly served our country before and during the 1st Gul War and would do so again. It may be in view of what I think is the right way and not coincide with Washington. If things don’t turn around soon we may have a revolution on our hands and they are never pretty or civil.
Any hope of salvation lies in massive cuts in spending on anything that is not absolutely necessary. Foreign aid, sorry 3rd world but we have to take care of our own house first before we can help you with yours. Research, if it’s not economically viable then let private funding drive it. Infrastructure, yeah some of it needs to be put on hold until things are settled and moving in a positive direction.
As soon as Mr. Obama and his cronies get out of the picture, American ingenuity will take over and begin to sort out this mess, created by the aforementioned.
What is your feeling about General Electric, is it in danger of a down-melt?
I was once told, “If you have to ask…..You already know the answer.”
So, with that in mind, to the Question (Is the US Next?) the answer is YES.
If I were to write checks without money in the bank, I’d go to jail.
These bastards are killing us, with only their hunger for power to drive them.
When did it become us and them……This is one country, we are on the same side right?!?!
Or maybe, People without morals….
some kind of guide lines of what is “Right” …………Can Justify anything.
I am doing several things to protect capital:
Weaning out stocks not paying healthy dividends
Maintaining substantial cash balance in stock accounts and IRAs
Put $5K in SDS contrarian fund
Looking for more high dividend stocks and will buy gold stock on a substantial drop in price of GLD.
I am 65 year old retiree.
Did anybody catch Mary O’Grady’s interview with Richard Fisher, President of the Dallas FED in the Wall Street Journal last week? If not please see the below link. That interview together with Dr. Weiss’ et al. analysis of the current US fiscal situation are the most accurate and sobering of all. According to Mr. Fisher’s numbers the unfunded liability of the US “gubment” is $99 TRILLION. That is what the Dallas FED has calculated, not some right-wing-out-of-work-banker-conspiracy-theorist (me) cooking up propaganda. Assuming 300 million US citizens, our equal share of this unfunded liability is $330,000 each. Will the US survive? Doubtful in its’ present form.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124303024230548323.html
Just like the Soviet Union imploded ,now it is Capitilism turn….as political and economic governments realize , they really dont have the answers to how to run a country……As former president Gorbachav has said recently somewhere in the middle of these two economies is the answer……..it is a sure bet that the give away policys that Washington has had for a long time is draining our Social Security System and the whole country………we really need to go back to understand what a government is for and get back to the Will of the People……..which our government has not had for a long time…………….
Hi,
America has built a house of debt cards that has finally fallen. I go to America on business once or twice a year, and all I saw was the growth of America financed on debt, at the personal level, at the city level, at the state level, and the country finances of wars, etc. Ever where I went and looked, America was spending money hand over fist! It simply could not continue! If I ran my business like that, I wouldnt be in business, yet the very people that might loan (or not loan) me money didnt see it coming.
All those mortgage brokers of sub-prime mortgage SHOULD GO TO JAIL! Or all the people they put out onto the streets should be allowed to go live at the mortgage brokers house.
Deriatives, not sure I understand them. My best explanation I heard, was I borrow money from somebody to ‘gamble’ on anything and everything, and If I lose, that is somebody’s else problem. Deriatives should be made illegal by the government and all ‘financial experts’ that used them should be FIRED, on the street, or In Jail. If I gambled the equity in my house in Las Vegas and lost, Las Vegas would come and take the house! Same should happen to all those companies as a warning to future gamblers!
Did you hear the internet joke on how to solve the financial crisis in America? 40 Million people over age 50 get $1 Million each as severance pay, they must quit their job and create 40 million jobs, unemployment solved! Each of them must buy a new house, housing market solved! Each of them must buy a new car, auto industry solved. Mathimatically is would cost $40 Trillion! However, America saved the big shots and bankrupted everybody with $52 Trillion of debt? America spends $2 in debt for every $1 it creates?
As for GM, Chrysler, Ford, they have ignored the world producing energy efficient vechicles, If they dont compete with Toyota, Honda Hybrids, German efficient Diesels, they Close up now and cut our losses. Let GM and Chrysler Fold! Send the message loud and clear to Ford, compete or Die!
As for the world, the world will soon abandon America $ and re-establish other currencies based on trade and commodities, or other REAL assets, not Toxic assets. Definitely Gold will continue to be a hot commodity, Oil and Gas will boom (and Peak Oil is happening), and Water resources will become hot! The oil and gas boom will eventually bring the entire market down.
As a Canadian, I am now looking to buy 25% on the $ CHEAP real estate in America and rent it back to Americans, wait for the housing market to eventually level out or increase and take the money and run.
Just my opinion!
My immediate concern is General Electric.
Hi Martin,
Do you still feel that stocks are headed for another big plunge?
Thanks
We will survive but it will be a 10 year depression. So let us tighten our belts and learn to conserve. We have had it good for years. Now we learn to live like other people. Its a good experience. Good growth is part of the reason for being in the earth??? Of course I am not too happy about this but what can we do, we elected the dummies that did it to us . If we elected the other team they would do the same thing. Its Karma????
Joe
I recently signed up and have been following your newsletters. I’ve always had a positive outlook, with the market down…it’s on sale, if you have the x-tra money now’s the time to invest. Is this the wrong mentality? We still put money away for saving.
Yes I agree these are dark times. However with all the news that is fairly bad, the Dow still went positive yesterday and holding its own today. Apparently the majority of stockholders have a positive attitude about our economy or they wouldn’t be investing in more stocks at this time driving the market up. I have held onto a reverse market ETF (DXD) thinking that surely the market will start tanking again however dumped it today. Hated to take the loss but getting tired of the price going down. I find it almost impossible to out-think this market! Do we have intelligent investors or they all just a bunch of dummies????
My Comments Only/Lee
Good Day,
The staggering debt is alarming to me, I have not been in the stock market for three years. I know I have missed some growth opportunities, however being 70 years of age I have stayed in cash for a measly 2 percent return; however, i have sustained no losses. My retirement funds can only be moved one time a month, this is the primary reason I have stayed in cash as a lot of damage could ensue in a month long time frame. What do you suggest I do or have I erred on the side of safety?
Ralph
Our nation has changed and is still changing–for the worse in my opinion. We have no vision of where we were, where we are or where we are going. There appears to be much that parallels the Fall of the Roman Empire.
i see nothing but a disaster looming when the kid clowns in washington dabble in anything. commodities, gold and shorts are the only thing happening in the mkt. as long as the big o is in charge.
I know one thing for certain, the money that my wife and I safed to help support us in ou old age (85) isn’t helping much now. Between no interest and inflation, if we were not debt free, we would be on the streets.
2 comments—-
1) I have (had) 100,000.00 in in the weiss bear strategy. It is not doing
any better than my fidelity or franklin templeton junk. He is hung up on in and out of rydex.
2) I am loosing my shirt holding all of the inverse etfs you recommended–commercial property,etc
My bni. fcx, ge, gold and silver are making me money!
Dear Martin,
I read what you espouse and it made enough sense to me so that I invested in the Contrarian Portfolio. However, I read equally convincing and prominent economists who disagree with you. I have read equally compelling scenarios for both deflation and hyperinflation. There is no consensus; only what appears to be rational explanations from intellectually impressive individuals coming to 180 degree different conclusions with ample facts to support their opinions.
I have been a buy and hold investor for quite a while and still am to a certain extent. I am retired (5 years now) and live on my interest, dividends and distributions only (along with SS). I have not had to touch my principal thus far for living expenses, but have seen it diminish nonetheless because of all that has transpired over the last two years. I pulled out of the stock market in March of 2007 EXCEPT for my Canadian Royalty Trusts, MLPs’, and individual municipal bonds (all triple AAA as well as being able to stand alone without any rating). I understood that the MLPs’ and CRTs’ stock price would take a hit in a down market, but would probably continue to pay their dividends and distributions albeit @ somewhat lower dollar amounts. I had built in a 75% cushion (much of which has dissapated). The hit to the stock prices has been worse than I anticipated. I also own gold, gold miners, and silver stocks and etfs’ worth 2.5% of my liquid assets. I am trying to think long term and feel that these assets will be of value in an inflationary or hyper-inflation enviornment. We own our real estate free and clear and think (perhaps in error) that it will retain and increase in value in a hyper-inflation scenario.
I have no idea what is going to happen tomorrow, let alone several months or years from now. I bought into the million dollar portfolio because what you say seems absolutely logical to me and I want to hedge my bets by diversifying to mute large movements in either direction. Despite all of this I remain very confused about the future. Things change with lightening speed and so many external forces are @ play (that I do not even realize are there) as engines of dramatic change. I still do not know whether to plan for inflation or deflation or both, and despite doing extensive reading remain conflicted and unsure about my family and my country’s future economic stability. With millions of people out of work (and more coming) along with decreasing wages, how can prices for discetionary purchases possibly go up? On the other hand, with the monumental debt our country has piled up and continues to pile up; how can we avoid a drastic devaluation of the US$ with de facto massive inflation resulting?
I am sorry for such a long drawn out diatribe, but I guess my frustration and lack of being able to get a handle on all this is showing through. Perhaps you could respond to the deflation/inflation issue on your blog or next Contrarian confernce (or both). Thank you for your patience in reading this
My wife and I are depression kids who made it by working hard in academic life here and abroad, and playing by the rules.
We are fighting a dual battle - preservation of capital with modest gain to pass on to a large family - by using the Martin-and-Claus program - and selling our older house from which we moved to newer one.
We have a “double whammy” wish - that the bear market rally will hold long enough to see hopeful buyers for our house, and that Martin and Claus are right - soon!
Thanks, but we could certainly use a hopeful sign.
Robert L. Poorman, Ed.D.
WILL AMERICA SURVIVE?
The John Birchers have been warning America of this since 1958 ! Read The Gulag Archipelago book - America is at the same crossroads as Russia was in 1905 onward.
With the mass media “in their pockets” , I do not see how the American citizens will hear/realize the truth in time to turn this thing around.
STOCKS?
Stock up on at least a year of survival items & foods for your family.
What is amazing to me is why the market keeps going up. The report of leading economic indicators is released. The talking heads say “It didn’t drop as far or as fast as projected” Then the market goes up. GM declares bankruptcy another 100,000 unemployed and the dow goes up appox. 220 points on June 1. I have been trying to get a refi and I noticed that the mortgage interest rates are up 1% from last week. What possible logic can people be thinking when they buy, buy, buy.
Dear Dr. Weiss:
I think America, under the Obama administration, is on the same road the Roman Empire was on 2000 years ago. Debasement of the currency, profligate spending,
increased government control of our formerly-capitalist companies and banks.
Meanwhile, I am investing in precious metals and foreign stocks.
\
Regards,
Bart Hartzell
Kirkland, WA.
Dear Mr. Weiss,
I have only recently become familiar with you and have found your information
very important.
Cash and Gold seem to me to be wise looking forward.
Mr. Obama, Mr. Geithner, and Mr. Bernanke what experience do they bring to the table.
When was the last time they paid out of the money from there own company the salary of an employee?
Mr. Weiss all you need to do is look at the Debt vs. the Assets and that tells you the truth. What does our balance sheet look like?
I learned long ago to not send good money after bad. Apparently, the US Government doesn’t know about this advice. It has propped up many a bank that is scheduled to fail anyway (think Citigroup for one), and now is pouring billions into the rat-hole called General Motors. GM used to be “King of the road”, but it is now “road-kill”. If the Federales continue their reckless money-throwing ways, the United Staes will implode, and everyone, rich, poor, young, old, wise, stupid, quick or slow, will become victims. Life is short here on earth, and only those who precede in death us who remain will escape the awful consequences.
Dear Martin,
You and your colleagues are doing a great job and the real financial situation in the usa is much clearer because of this. However, I live in the UK and cannot get similar information (to what you provide) for my country to help me make good investment decisions. Can you please help by:- a) either providing your views on what a UK investor should be doing or b) providing another appropriate source of information for people like me.
Thanks and keep up the good work.
Irvin
I think commodities will go up rapidly. food,gold,silver,metals ect. I also think that
housing will have to go up with the rise in commodities. select stocks should rise and
it appears asian stocks especially India & China should rise.